Juventus VS Parma

Juventus host Parma in this Italian Serie A round 10 battle at Allianz Stadium in Turin early Thursday morning Beijing time.. This is the 4th-best league on the planet. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of better than average quality by this league's standards here.. However, my fans and I have yet another very interesting opportunity here! We have done very well betting on the Serie A! There is, of course, no doubt about the fact the Juventus are the better team in terms of pure class here.. The have an edge over Parma in all areas of the game. However, the bookies trust them too much here! The main rationales behind this pick are the fact that Juve's performances have declined from early season – and Parma being much better than the standings would suggest.. Indeed, Parma, a traditional Serie A team in Italy, were promoted (back) to this level for this season. They went through big financial problems a few years ago - playing in lower levels of Italian football, but are on the rise now! They have performed significantly better than I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis.. Parma have grabbed eight points, but are only in 17th place. However, I will not let this fool me.. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is pretty good - 13.98! They have scored a decent 12 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is 16.45. Juve are in 3rd place with 17 points but their number of xPTS is marginally smaller.

I want to highlight that Juve surprisingly rarely crush their opponent, even at home.. This is very important to understand in handicap betting.. We will take the Parma +1.5 goals handicap with a clearly over 60% chance of winning – once again! Juve have not won any of their last five games by a margin of more than one goal. In fact, they have won only one of their last three matches.. Last Sunday they took a point from Inter in Milan though a 4-4 draw - after a very intense and entertaining clash! The hosts recorded more goal attempts (18-10), shots on goal and shots off target. Inter also generated much more in xG – 3.43-1.98 to be precise. Before this Juve lost to Stuttgart at home 0-1, priced around 2.00 to win by the bookies. It was a UEFA Champions League round 3 clash. Juve's performances was extremely disappointing as a whole! They were   unable to deal with the pace and intensity the Germans played with.. Juve generated a pathetic 0.27 in xG – the Germans managed 2.67! Juve's Danilo was sent off in the 84th minute but Stuttgart were the much better team even before the red card! They recorded 22 goal attempts, Juve's number was seven.. 

Parma have played three draws in a row hut would have deserved more points than three from these three matches.. In their last match they played a 1-1 draw with Empoli at home but Parma recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target. The xG numbers were 1.88-0.16 in their favour! Before this Parma faced Como on the road and took a point as very clear underdogs according to the bookies. Both teams had three shots on goal and Como generated a little more in xG – 1.11-0.93 to be precise. In round 7 Parma had to defend against Bologna on the road but did so in a well-organized way as clear underdogs on the betting market! No goals were scored. Let's remember that Bologna were very strong last season and play in the Champions League league phase this season! Bologna recorded only one more shot on goal in this game – 3-2.

GOOD LUCK!

尤文图斯VS帕尔马

北京时间周四凌晨，意甲第10轮比赛将在都灵安联球场举行，尤文图斯主场迎战帕尔马。这是世界上第四好的联盟。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场高于联赛平均水平的比赛。然而，我和我的粉丝在这里还有另一个非常有趣的机会！我们对意甲的押注做得很好！当然，毫无疑问，从纯粹的水平来看，尤文图斯是一支更好的球队。他们在比赛的各个方面都比帕尔马有优势。然而，这里的博彩公司太相信他们了！这个选择背后的主要理由是尤文的表现从赛季初开始就有所下降，而帕尔马的表现比排名所显示的要好得多。事实上，意大利传统的意甲球队帕尔马在本赛季升到了这个级别。几年前他们经历了严重的财政问题——在意大利踢较低水平的足球，但现在正在上升！他们的表现比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的要好得多。帕尔马拿到了8分，但只排在第17位。然而，我不会让这个欺骗我…他们的期望值（xPTS）相当不错——13.98！他们打进了不错的12球，但他们的预期进球数（xG）是16.45。尤文以17分排名第三，但他们的xPTS数量略少。

我想强调的是，尤文令人惊讶地很少碾压对手，即使是在主场。这在残障投注中是非常重要的。我们将以帕尔马+1.5个进球的劣势，很明显有超过60%的机会获胜——再一次！尤文在最近的五场比赛中没有赢过一球以上的比赛。事实上，他们最近三场比赛只赢了一场。上周日，在一场激烈而有趣的交锋之后，他们在米兰以4-4战平了国际米兰，拿到了一分！东道主的进球次数（18胜10负）、射正和射偏次数都更多。准确地说，Inter在xG - 3.43-1.98中也产生了更多。在此之前，尤文在主场0-1输给了斯图加特，博彩公司开出的赔率在2.00左右。这是欧洲冠军联赛第三轮的比赛。尤文的表现总体上令人失望！他们无法对付德国人的速度和强度。尤文的进球只有可怜的0.27，而德国人却只有2.67！尤文的达尼洛在第84分钟被红牌罚下，但斯图加特甚至在红牌之前就表现得更好！他们有22次射门，而尤文只有7次。

帕尔马已经连续三场平局，但他们本应该从这三场比赛中得到比三分更多的积分。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场1-1战平恩波利，但帕尔马的进球次数、射正和射偏次数都更多。他们的xG值是1.88-0.16 ！在此之前，帕尔马在客场面对科莫，根据博彩公司的数据，帕尔马很明显处于劣势，并拿了一分。两支球队都有三次射门，准确地说，科莫在xG - 1.11-0.93中创造了更多的射门机会。在第7轮，帕尔马不得不在客场防守博洛尼亚，但他们组织得很好，在博彩市场上显然处于劣势！没有进球。让我们记住，博洛尼亚上赛季非常强大，本赛季将进入欧冠联赛阶段！博洛尼亚在本场比赛中仅以3比2的比分射门。

好运！