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Odds wrong! 意甲 威尼斯VS乌迪内斯

2024-10-30

比赛分析

解读理由

Probable lineups:


Venezia is bottom of the table and perhaps they are one of the weakest in the Serie A, but the table lies as they have played so far only 3 matches at home and 6 away, and should they win today they would actually be level with almost 10 other teams!


The only win so far is at home, vs Genova. At the xG-table Venezia already have 10 points, only one point less than their poor visitors Udinese who have won only 1 out of their 4 away games. A bit more below:


Eusebio Di Francesco's Venezia snapped their three-game losing streak by picking up a point away to Monza at Brianteo on Sunday.

In Serie A, with a balance of 1-2-6 in the last ten games, Venezia led the game twice with Mikael Egill Ellertsson's goal and Michael Svoboda's goals in the 39th minute. From Monza, Georgios Kyriakopoulos first in the 23rd minute and then Milan Djuric just before the half-time whistle brought the hosts even with their goals. Monza's French midfield wizard Warren Bondo watched the red card on the eve of the game with two warnings, flying to the shower. Expected goal xG narrowly won by Monza.

Midfielder Bjarki Bjarkason, who did not play the entire early season due to a hernia, and Croatian winger Marin Sverko, who missed the last couple of games due to injury, are doubts. The hosts' Finnish top scorer Joel Pohjanpalo, who is at the top of his club's scoring statistics with two goals, should once again be in Venezia's starting-11.

Udinese, piloted by Kosta Runjaic, is currently in seventh place in Serie A after collecting a total of 16 points with 12-11 goals from nine games with a balance of 5-1-3. Above, the trio of Fiorentina (16), Atalanta (16) and Lazio (16) are less than a breath away with equal points in places four to six.

In their previous game, Udinese took their fourth home win out of their five home games at the Bluenergy Stadium, where Cagliari went down 2-0 last Friday.

Lorenzo Lucca headed in Hassane Kamara's cross for the home team's 1-0 winning goal in the 38th minute. Keinan Davis stylized a couple of defenders after deflecting the ball into the upper right corner and the final score was 2-0 in the 78th minute. Expected goal (xG) was recorded clearly for Udinese, Cagliari hardly created any chances, but they are notoriously bad travellers.

Udinese's defenders Thomas Kristensen and forwards Gerard Deulofeu, Alexis Sanchez and Florian Thauvin are certain to miss this match due to their knocks. Midfielders Arthur Atta and Martin Payero are possibly also on the sidelines. In the January transfer window, the name of Lucca, who leads the club's goal statistics with four goals among Udinese's top scorers, is guaranteed to be underlined in several big Serie A clubs with a thick red pen. In this game, Lucca shines with certainty even in the visitors' opening.

The thing is friends, Venezia are my favourite to win this game, and odds are far from correct, Venezia to win should be around 2.50. Pohjanpalo to score (pic below), Venezia to win!


Good luck!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

可能的阵容:


威尼斯在积分榜上垫底,也许他们是意甲最弱的球队之一,但积分榜的原因是他们目前只打了3场主场比赛和6场客场比赛,如果他们今天赢了,他们实际上会和其他近10支球队并列!


迄今为止唯一的胜利是在主场对阵热那亚。在xg积分榜上,威尼斯已经积了10分,只比他们可怜的客队乌迪内斯少1分,乌迪内斯在4场客场比赛中只赢了1场。下面还有一些:


周日在布里安特奥,迪弗朗西斯科的威尼斯队在客场战胜蒙扎的比赛中拿到一分,结束了他们的三连败。

在意甲联赛中,最近10场比赛的比分是1-2-6,威尼斯队在第39分钟凭借埃勒特森的进球和斯沃博达的进球两度领先。蒙扎的基里亚科普洛斯在第23分钟率先破门,半场哨响前的德尤里奇则将主队的进球扳平。蒙扎的法国中场奇才沃伦·邦多在比赛前夜看了两张红牌,飞到淋浴间。预期目标xG被蒙扎险胜。

中场球员比亚基·比亚卡森由于疝气缺席了整个赛季,克罗地亚边锋马林·斯维尔科由于受伤缺席了最近几场比赛,他们的表现都令人怀疑。东道主的芬兰籍最佳射手乔尔·波扬帕洛(Joel Pohjanpalo)以两粒进球高居俱乐部射手榜榜首,他应该再次出现在威尼斯的首发11人名单中。

乌迪内斯在科斯塔·伦贾伊克的带领下,9场比赛打进12球11球,积16分,目前排名意甲第7位,战绩为5胜1负3负。上图中,佛罗伦萨(16分)、亚特兰大(16分)和拉齐奥(16分)的积分相差无几,分别排在第4和第6位。

在上一场比赛中,乌迪内斯在蓝能源球场取得了他们五场主场比赛中的第四场胜利,上周五卡利亚里在蓝能源球场以0 - 2落后。

洛伦佐·卢卡在第38分钟接到卡马拉的传中头球破门,主队以1-0获胜。凯南·戴维斯将球踢向右上方的角球后,将几名防守队员制服,比赛进行到第78分钟,最终比分为2-0。乌迪内斯的预期进球(xG)记录得很清楚,卡利亚里几乎没有创造任何机会,但他们是出了名的糟糕的旅行者。

乌迪内斯的后卫克里斯滕森、前锋德乌洛费、桑切斯和索文肯定会因伤缺席本场比赛。中场阿瑟·阿塔和马丁·帕耶罗也可能缺阵。在1月份的转会窗口,卢卡的名字肯定会被几家意甲豪门用粗红笔标出。卢卡在乌迪内斯射手榜上以4粒进球领跑了俱乐部的进球数。在这场比赛中,卢卡甚至在客队的开场就表现得很出色。

问题是,朋友们,我最喜欢威尼斯赢得这场比赛,赔率远不正确,威尼斯赢得应该是2.50左右。波扬帕洛进球(见下图),威尼斯赢了!


好运!

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