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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A GREAT match to bet on! $$$

2024-10-28

比赛分析

解读理由

Galatasaray VS Besiktas JK



Galatasaray and Besiktas lock horns in this Turkish Super Lig round 10 battle at Rams Park in Istanbul very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is rather high by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of excellent quality by this league's standards here! Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very interesting betting opportunity. I expect an entertaining - and quite possibly a heated clash – with several yellow – or even red card(s).. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com Galatasaray are the bigger team here – by a very clear margin! Indeed, their players have an estimated market value of some 242 million euros. The Besiktas squad is valued at around 142 million, which is too high. Three of their players are overvalued.. Galatasaray have not lost any of their last 10 games in front of their extremely demanding and loud fans! They have now won four of the last five matches at Rams Park. They are the reigning champions of Turkey and the owners have invested (even) more money in this season's squad!  For example, they acquired an extremely fast and skilled elite striker, Nigerian Victor Osimhen, from one of the best teams in the Italian Serie A team, Napoli, champions of  the 2022-2023! They also have Mertens and Icardi to name a few very good players..  Last season Gala won 18/19 home matches with a score difference of 51:15. In total they won 33/38 matches in this league – taking a stunning 102 points! Besiktas, on the other hand, grabbed only 56 points but should be better this season.. They have grabbed 20 points this season – five less than Galatasaray. Besiktas have scored 17 goals and have conceded only five goals. Yes, they have defended better than I would have expected but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is still bigger.. Gala have netted the ball a whopping 28 goals - and have allowed eight in the Super Lig. Besiktas simply cannot match Gala in any area of the game. They will be missing Rashica and Uysa, Gabriel Paulista is questionable. As for Gala, Jakobs has a knee injury. Gala to win at the odds of around 1.85 is the professional bettor's choice here with a 63% chance of winning – once again!


Last Thursday Gala defeated a Swedish team, Elfsborg, 4-3 in a UEFA Europa League (UEL) round 3 battle. They had 66% ball possession and recorded a whopping 23 goal attempts and also had many more shots on goal – 11-6. Moreover, Gala generated 3.67 in expected goals (xG). Before this they beat Alanyaspor only 1-0 at home but did not allow the visitors a single shot on goal – recording eight themselves! Before this Gala beat the reigning champions of Greece, a very dangerous team, PAOK, 3-1 in a UEL round 2 clash. Gala recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal and shot off target – 11-2. The xG numbers were 2.77-0.76. On the 17th of last month Gala swept past Gaziantep 3-1 at home, recording 25 goal attempts and 3.65 in xG. It was a fine offensive performance - illustrating the fact that Gala have many offensive strategies and formations in-play!


Besiktas have won three of their last six games, losing 2/6. Last Thursday they took a lucky 1-0 win over a pretty big team, Lyon, in France in the UEL. This surprising win probably affects the odds (way too much) here.. Lyon, indeed, recorded 30 goal attempts and also generated much more in xG – 3.01-1.56 to be precise. It was " a miracle" that Lyon failed to score as the Besiktas defence was under huge pressure for most of the 90 minutes.. Before this Besiktas defeated Konyaspor 2-0 at home but the visitors managed a pretty high 11 goal attempts and 0.82 in xG.. In round 8 Besiktas were priced around 1.75 to beat Gaziantep on the road but it was a 1-1 draw after a pretty low-quality clash.. The hosts had many more goal attempts but Besiktas, despite a pretty lame offensive performance, managed two more goal attempts – 13-11.



GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

加拉塔萨雷VS贝西克塔斯JK



北京时间周二凌晨,加拉塔萨雷和贝西克塔斯将在伊斯坦布尔的公羊公园球场进行土耳其超级联赛第10轮比赛。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是相当高的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场按照联赛标准的高质量比赛!最重要的是,我和我的粉丝又有了一个非常有趣的投注机会。我预计会有一场有趣的——很可能是激烈的冲突——几张黄牌甚至红牌……根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,加拉塔萨雷在这里是一支更大的球队——以非常明显的优势!事实上,他们的球员的市场价值估计约为2.42亿欧元。贝西克塔斯队的价值约为1.42亿美元,这太高了。他们的三个球员被高估了。加拉塔萨雷最近10场比赛在他们的球迷面前没有输过一场!他们在公羊公园球场赢了最近5场比赛中的4场。他们是土耳其的卫冕冠军,老板们在本赛季的阵容上投入了更多的钱!例如,他们从2022-2023赛季意大利甲级联赛冠军那不勒斯队获得了一名速度极快、技术精湛的精英前锋,尼日利亚人维克多·奥西姆恩!他们还有莫滕斯和伊卡尔迪等优秀球员。上个赛季,Gala在主场赢了18/19场比赛,比分差距为51:15。他们在联赛中总共赢了33/38场比赛,拿到了惊人的102分!另一方面,贝西克塔斯只拿到了56分,但本赛季应该会更好。他们本赛季拿到了20分,比加拉塔萨雷少5分。贝西克塔斯进了17球,只丢了5球。是的,他们的防守比我预期的要好,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)仍然更多…加拉已经打进了惊人的28球,在中超联赛中丢了8球。贝西克塔斯在比赛的任何领域都无法与加拉匹敌。他们将失去拉什卡和尤萨,加布里埃尔保利斯塔也不确定。至于加拉,雅各布膝伤。晚会以1.85左右的赔率获胜,这是专业投注者的选择,有63%的机会获胜-再一次!


上周四,在欧联杯第三轮比赛中,加拉队以4比3击败瑞典球队埃尔夫斯堡队。他们有66%的控球率,记录了惊人的23次进球尝试,也有更多的射门——11比6。此外,Gala的预期进球数为3.67 (xG)。在此之前,他们在主场仅以1-0击败了阿兰斯波尔,但没有让客队射进一球——他们自己也射进了8球!在此之前,加拉在UEL第二轮比赛中以3-1击败了卫冕冠军希腊,一支非常危险的球队,PAOK。加拉记录了更多的进球尝试、射正和射偏——11比2。xG值为2.77 ~ 0.76。上个月17日,加拉主场3-1大胜加济安泰普,全场进球25次,全场进球3.65次。这是一个很好的进攻表现,说明了加拉有很多进攻策略和阵型。


贝西克塔斯在最近6场比赛中取得3胜,6负2负。上周四,他们在UEL幸运地以1比0战胜了一支相当强大的球队里昂。这个意外的胜利可能会影响这里的赔率(太多了)。里昂在本场比赛中有30次射门,准确地说,在xG - 3.01-1.56赛季,他们的射门次数要多得多。在贝西克塔斯的防守在90分钟的大部分时间里承受着巨大压力的情况下,里昂没有进球,这是一个“奇迹”。在此之前,贝西克塔斯在主场2-0击败了科尼亚斯波尔,但客队却有相当高的11次进球和0.82次射门。在第8轮,贝西克塔斯在客场击败加济安泰普的价格在1.75英镑左右,但在一场相当低质量的比赛之后,双方以1比1战平。主队有更多的进球尝试,但贝西克塔斯尽管进攻表现相当差劲,但还是有两次进球尝试,13胜11负。



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