Tapio头像
外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
  • 2

    方案

  • 17

    粉丝

6/7 last WON in this league! $$$

2024-10-25

比赛分析

解读理由

Piast Gliwice VS Lechia Gdansk



Piast Gliwice welcome Lechia Gdansk in this Polish Ekstraklasa round 13 clash at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach in Gliwice very early Saturday morning Beijing time. A The level of this league is very somewhat mediocre by European standards. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of lower than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very promising opportunity here! We have done very well betting on this league. Piast Gliwice are "nothing special" as a team – finishing in 10th place last season. At the moment they are in 8th place with 18 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is smaller. They have scored only 12 goals, one less than the visitors. Their offense lacks speed, creativity and individual skill to seriously challenge for a top-6 place. Even so, they are, of course, the better team here in terms of pure class. Lechia Gdansk were promoted to this level for this season and have had a mediocre start (by their standards) to the season. They have grabbed nine points. They can improve as the season progresses. Their midfielders should be more active in defending.. They have allowed too many goals, 23, but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is "only" 18.45. With the expected lineups the odds of around 1.45-1.50 on the home win are simply too low. We will take the Gdansk +1.5 goals handicap option!


The hosts have won only one of their last five Ekstraklasa matches. This win came a week ago over Korona Kielce 2-0 on the road as favourites on the betting market. However, the hosts had more goal attempts and shots on goal (5-2). The visitors did generate a little more in xG though – 1.53-1.42 to be precise. In round 11 they were quite lame, deservedly losing to Pogon Szczechin 0-1 on the road. The hosts had a few more goal attempts and shots on goal and also generated much more in xG – 2.34-0.89. In round 10 they were very disappointing offensively, losing to Jagiellonia 0-1 at home. They had more goal attempts but lacked passing accuracy and creativity at key moments/areas. They managed only one shot on target! Moreover, despite being priced around 1.80 to win, Gliwice managed only 0.66 in xG – the visitors' number was 1.44. Gdansk have not, in all honesty, been in strong form recently but have still won two of their last six Ekstraklasa games. Furthermore, they have lost just one of their last eight games by a margin of more than one goal. They do lack individual skill for this level but fight very hard and do not give up if/when they end up trailing.. They lost to Legia, one of the biggest teams in Poland, 0-2 at home in their last game. Legia were, of course, very clear favourites. Gdansk did have a decent nine goal attempts but Legia were simply too strong in this match.. In round 11 Gdansk started well against Stal Mielec away from home – leading 1-0 at halftime but in the 2nd half the hosts, clear favourites in this game, deservedly scored two unanswered goals. In round 10 Gdansk were, once again, the underdogs but took a point from Widzew Lodz, currently in 7th place, at home. It was a 1-1 draw but the visitors generated moderately more in xG. In round 7 Gdansk proved that "an a good day" they can perform well even on the road, beating Gornik Zabrze 3-2 as very clear underdogs on the betting market. They had only 29.20% ball possession but still generated a little more in xG – 2.21-2.16.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Piast Gliwice VS Lechia Gdansk



北京时间周六凌晨,格列维茨将在格列维茨的米耶斯基和格列维奇球场迎来波兰足球联赛第13轮对阵格但斯克。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平有些平庸。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场低于联赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个非常有前途的机会!我们把赌注押在这个联赛上做得很好。Piast Gliwice作为一支球队“没什么特别的”——上赛季只获得了第10名。目前他们以18分排名第8。然而,它们的期望值点数(xPTS)更小。他们只进了12个球,比客队少一个。他们的进攻缺乏速度、创造力和个人技术,无法挑战前6的位置。即便如此,就纯粹的水平而言,他们当然是这里更好的球队。格但斯克莱希亚本赛季被提升到这个级别,本赛季的开局(以他们的标准)很平庸。他们已经拿到了9分。他们可以随着赛季的进展而进步。他们的中场应该更积极地防守。他们丢了太多的球,23个,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)“只有”18.45个。根据预期的阵容,主场获胜的赔率在1.45-1.50左右,这实在太低了。我们将采取格但斯克+1.5个进球障碍选项!


东道主在最近五场比赛中只赢了一场。这场胜利是在一周前客场2-0战胜科洛纳凯尔策的比赛中取得的,是博彩市场上的热门。然而,东道主的进球尝试和射门次数更多(5-2)。访问者在xG中确实产生了更多——准确地说是1.53-1.42。在第11轮比赛中,他们表现得很差劲,在客场0-1输给了什切钦,这是他们应得的。主队有更多的进球尝试和射门,并且在xG - 2.34-0.89的比赛中产生了更多的进球。在第10轮比赛中,他们的进攻非常令人失望,主场0-1不敌雅盖隆尼亚。他们有更多的进球尝试,但在关键时刻缺乏传球的准确性和创造力。他们只射正了一球!此外,尽管Gliwice的定价在1.80左右,但它在xG上的得分仅为0.66,而客队的得分为1.44。说实话,格但斯克最近的状态并不好,但他们在最近的六场比赛中仍然赢了两场。此外,他们在最近的八场比赛中只输了一场超过一球的比赛。他们确实缺乏这个级别的个人技能,但他们非常努力,如果/当他们落后时也不会放弃。在上一场比赛中,他们主场0比2输给了波兰最大的球队之一莱吉亚。当然,莱吉亚是最受欢迎的球队。格但斯克确实有9次不错的进球尝试,但是莱吉亚在这场比赛中实在太强大了。在第11轮,格但斯克在客场对阵米列茨的比赛中开局不错,半场1-0领先,但在下半场,主队——本场比赛的夺冠热门——理所当然地打进了两球。在第10轮,格但斯克再次处于下风,但在主场从目前排名第7的维德泽·罗兹那里拿走了一分。平局是1比1,但客队在xG产生了更多的进球。在第7轮比赛中,格但斯克证明了“一个美好的一天”,他们甚至可以在客场表现出色,以3-2击败戈尼克·扎布热,在博彩市场上非常明显处于劣势。他们只有29.20%的控球率,但在xG - 2.21-2.16上仍然产生了更多的进球。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。