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足球分析师
塞尔维亚人,职业体育玩家。
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Benzema, Mbappe, Griezman 欧洲杯德国VS法国

2021-06-15

比赛分析

欧预赛

已完赛

星期三2021-06-16 03:00

解读理由

It's the clash between two great football nations, two neighbor nations, between the last two World Champions, between two nations that are amongst the top 5 candidates to lift the EURO 2020 trophy.

Germany is not the team we used to know, let's say in the 2014-2016 period. Head coach Joakim Low will leave the side after this tournament ends and rather than build for the future, he seems determined to make his last games in the national team positive. However, the local fans are not so optimistic about their team's chances at this Euro - rather bookmakers put more trust into the German NT for this competition. Why is that? Well, I think it's because bookmakers think Germans will be ok with this underestimating role from their fans and will work hard to prove the nation wrong. Normally, German mentality is a well-known thing, their unity between the players is naturally on a good level and is hard to win against them without big effort but still, this is not the best Germany in the last years.

France, on the other side, are the strong favorites for the trophy. France's defense was the rock on which the World Cup in Russia 2018 win was built and ahead of them the returning Karim Benzema adds to a frontline overloaded with a bunch of talent. With Karim Benzema and Antoine Griezmann having recovered from recent injuries, the French coach can unleash his fantastic attacking trio on Germany. It's a team to excite fans of the world champions and unlike at the WC in Russia three years ago, I don't expect the manager to have to revise his plans after the opening clash. The French side is well prepared for the challenge and is enough confident of getting a good result. Everything is on the French side before this game. In theory, Germany's greatest hope are that the 14K fans at the Allianz Arena will lift the hosts and scare the Didier Deschamps' squad, but such professionals as France players see this as the ideal opportunity to stamp their authority on the big competition.

For sure, German team reached at least the semi-finals of every single major competition from the 2006 WC to Euro 2016, but the last three years have been poor for their standards. After the World Cup disaster, they finished bottom of their 2018-19 Nations League group, were demolished 6-0 by Spain in November 2020, and allowed a 2-1 home defeat by minnows North Macedonia in World Cup qualifying in March. This all doesn't sound good enough for Germans to be favorites in the match against current world football leaders, France.

I predict France win here, simply this is a value bet which is clear as the blue sky, and even with the draw, we are winning the bet. Enjoy the tournament!


这是两个伟大的足球过度,两个邻国,最近两个世界杯冠军之间的对决,这两个球队是2020 年欧洲杯冠军的前 5 名候选球队。

德国不是我们以前认识的2014-2016 年期间那支球队。本次欧洲杯后,主教练勒夫将离开球队,他似乎想要在国家队的最后一次大赛中取得积极的成绩。然而,当地球迷对他们的球队在本次欧洲杯上的机会并不那么乐观——相反,机构在这场比赛中更加信任德国 。德国人会接受他们的球迷低估这个角色,并且会努力证明是错误的。通常,德国人的心态是众所周知的事情,他们球员之间的团结自然是在一个很好的水平上,很难有球队能战胜他们,但这仍然不是最好的德国。

另一方面,法国队是夺冠热门。法国的防守是奠定 2018 年俄罗斯世界杯胜利的基石,回归的卡里姆·本泽马(Karim Benzema)加入了一群才华横溢的进攻线。随着卡里姆·本泽马和安托万·格里兹曼从最近的伤病中恢复过来,法国教练可以在对阵德国的比赛中排出他们最强的进攻三人组。这是一支让球迷兴奋的球队,与三年前在俄罗斯举行的世界杯不同,我不认为主教练会在首场比赛后必须修改他的计划。法国已经做好了迎接挑战的准备,也有足够的信心取得好成绩。在这场比赛之前。从理论上讲,德国最大的希望是安联球场的 14000 名球迷将吓到迪迪埃·德尚的球队,但像法国球员这样的职业球员认为这是一个理想的机会。

可以肯定的是,从 2006 年世界杯到 2016 年欧洲杯,德国队至少进入了每项重大比赛的半决赛,但过去三年的水平一直很差。经历世界杯灾难后,他们在 2018-19 国家联赛小组中垫底,在 2020 年 11 月被西班牙 6-0 击败,并在 3 月的世界杯预选赛中以 1-2输给北马其顿。这一切听起来还不足以让德国人在与现任世界最强的法国对中热门。 我预测法国会赢下比赛,至少不会输球。让我们一起享受比赛!

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