Shrewsbury Town has one of the weakest teams in the league. With a squad valued at just 5.75 million euros, only newly promoted Crawley Town is worth less in League One. Their primary objective is to avoid relegation, as they did last season, finishing 19th, just 4 points above the drop zone.

In their most recent game last weekend, they won 3-5 against Crawley, breaking a seven-game winless streak. This marked only their second victory in 11 rounds. Their coach, Paul Hurst, worked wonders in avoiding relegation when he took over at the beginning of the year, but his win rate this year 2024 is just 22%.

Shrewsbury’s two victories this season came under fortunate circumstances. In their 3-0 win against Leyton Orient, they were completely outplayed, with only 26% possession but were extremely efficient. In their latest match against Crawley, they staged a late comeback, scoring three goals in the last 15 minutes after Crawley went down to 10 men due to a red card in the 56th minute. However, they were outplayed in the first half once again.

There’s a common trend in Shrewsbury’s wins this season: they are high-scoring games. They’ve only kept a clean sheet once in their last 17 games, meaning they have to score multiple goals to win. With 20 goals conceded in 11 games, they currently have the worst defense in League One. This poor defensive record is a continuation of their struggles from last season.

On the positive side, they have been able to find the back of the net regularly, despite lacking a reliable scorer. Some of their best players are young talents from the Chelsea and Arsenal academies, such as Castledine and Charles Sagoe Jr. (who recently joined on loan), offering a glimmer of hope for the team.

Exeter City, on the other hand, is in much better form. They are a mid-table side but have made an impressive start to the season with 16 points from 9 games, suffering only one defeat in their last eight matches, including seven victories.

Their strong point this season has been their defense, conceding very few chances and goals. That's normal: their best players are defensive midfielder Ryan Woods from Hull City, goalkeeper Joe Whitworth from Crystal Palace, and defender Pierce Sweeney.

They’ve kept five consecutive clean sheets and have conceded just six goals in nine games, making them the best defensive team in the league so far. This is a concern for a team like Shrewsbury, which needs to score at least 2-3 goals to have a chance of winning games.

Exeter hasn’t played a match since October 5th, meaning they are fresher than Shrewsbury, who played over the weekend and will likely suffer from fatigue. After several seasons of mid-table mediocrity following their automatic promotion from League Two in 2022, Exeter is now pushing for a playoff spot.

Given their current form, Exeter is in a much stronger position than Shrewsbury. I expect them to keep another clean sheet and win this match, just as they did in March (0-3).

什鲁斯伯里镇的球队是联赛中最弱的球队之一。球队价值仅为575万欧元，在英甲联赛中只有新升班马克劳利比他们更低。他们的首要目标是保级，就像上赛季一样，他们只比降级区高出4分，排名第19。

在上周末的最近一场比赛中，他们以3-5战胜了克劳利，打破了七连胜的纪录。这是他们在11轮比赛中的第二场胜利。他们的教练保罗·赫斯特（Paul Hurst）今年年初上任时，在保级方面创造了奇迹，但他今年2024年的胜率仅为22%。

什鲁斯伯里本赛季的两场胜利是在幸运的情况下取得的。在3-0战胜莱顿东方的比赛中，他们完全被击败了，只有26%的控球率，但他们的效率非常高。在与克劳利的最后一场比赛中，在克劳利第56分钟被红牌罚下10人的情况下，他们在最后15分钟内打进3球，上演了一场逆转。然而，他们在上半场又一次被击败了。

什鲁斯伯里本赛季的胜利有一个共同的趋势：他们都是得分很高的比赛。在过去的17场比赛中，他们只保持了一次零封，这意味着他们必须进很多球才能获胜。他们在11场比赛中丢了20个球，目前是英超防守最差的球队。这个糟糕的防守记录是他们上赛季挣扎的延续。

从积极的方面来看，尽管缺乏可靠的得分手，但他们已经能够经常找到球门。他们的一些最好的球员是来自切尔西和阿森纳青训营的年轻天才，比如卡斯尔丁和小查尔斯·萨戈（他最近被租借加盟），这给球队带来了一线希望。

另一方面，埃克塞特城的情况要好得多。他们是一支中游球队，但本赛季的开局令人印象深刻，9场比赛得到16分，在最近的8场比赛中只输了一场，其中包括7场胜利。

他们本赛季的强项是防守，丢的机会和进球都很少。这很正常：他们最好的球员是赫尔城的防守型中场瑞恩·伍兹，水晶宫的门将乔·惠特沃斯和后卫皮尔斯·斯威尼。

他们已经连续5场保持零封，并且在9场比赛中只丢了6球，这使他们成为迄今为止联盟中防守最好的球队。对于像什鲁斯伯里这样的球队来说，这是一个令人担忧的问题，他们需要至少进2-3个球才能有机会赢得比赛。

埃克塞特自10月5日以来就没有打过一场比赛，这意味着他们比周末比赛的什鲁斯伯里更有活力，他们可能会感到疲劳。埃克塞特在2022年自动从英乙晋级后，几个赛季一直处于中游水平，现在他们正在争取进入季后赛。

考虑到他们目前的状态，埃克塞特的地位比什鲁斯伯里强得多。我希望他们能再次保持零封并赢得这场比赛，就像他们在三月份（0-3）所做的那样。