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外籍分析师
拉托维亚籍人,职业足球分析师
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UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE 欧国联 希腊VS爱尔兰

2024-10-13

比赛分析

解读理由

Another game in UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE. This time we are moving to Greece where home side will face guests from Ireland.


This week’s biggest surprise makers Greece will face another opponent, and I don’t think there is a team right now who want to play against Greece right now. In Nations League they have strong 9 points in first three games – they played on road against Ireland and England and managed to win them both. Greece football is back after many years being in pretty bad situation. After 2004 win in EURO they just disappeared form football map and they played as massive underdogs for some years, but now we see things are changing.


Ireland is not bad, of course, but in last international break both teams already met each other and then Ireland played at home and Greece won comfortable 2-0. What’s most important stat lately about this Greece team is that last win over England wasn’t even lucky win because if we look deeper in stats then only ball possession was on England’s favor and all other stats were equal.


Ireland won in Finland few days ago and it will be also harder for them to win second straight away win here.


In my opinion the odds here are not placed on actual look on both teams, so I think there is good value. In my opinion fair price should be here around 1.50 on Greece or even lower.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

另一场欧足联的比赛。这次我们将前往希腊,主队将面对来自爱尔兰的客人。


本周最大的惊喜制造者希腊将面对另一个对手,我认为现在没有一支球队想要和希腊比赛。在国家联赛中,他们在前三场比赛中获得了9分,他们在客场对阵爱尔兰和英格兰,并成功地赢得了两场比赛。希腊足球在经历了多年的困境后又回来了。在2004年赢得欧洲杯之后,他们就从足球地图上消失了,有好几年他们一直处于劣势,但现在我们看到情况正在改变。


当然,爱尔兰还不错,但在上个国际比赛日,两支球队已经相遇了,然后爱尔兰在主场比赛,希腊以2比0轻松获胜。最近关于这支希腊队最重要的数据是,上次战胜英格兰并不是一场幸运的胜利,因为如果我们深入研究数据,就会发现只有控球权对英格兰有利,其他数据都是一样的。


爱尔兰几天前在芬兰赢了一场比赛,对他们来说,要在这里连续赢得第二场比赛也会更加困难。


在我看来,这里的赔率并不取决于两支球队的实际表现,所以我认为这很有价值。在我看来,希腊的合理价格应该在1.50左右,甚至更低。

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