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【10月1日】100% CHAMPIONS LEAGUE! 欧冠 埃因霍温VS里斯本

2024-10-01

比赛分析

解读理由

On Tuesday night, the UEFA Champions League continues and one of the games will be between PSV Eindhoven and Sporting. In this duel, I predict that Sporting won't lose.

PSV started the Champions League campaign with a 1:3 loss on the road against Juventus. Despite controlling the ball more, PSV didn't have a chance because Juventus created more opportunities to score. PSV's xG was only 1.04 while Juventus had 2.92. If we look at PSV's performance in the local championship, the team is playing very well but it's hard to compare Eredivisie to Champions League.

Sporting is also dominating the local championship, and the team has won the last 8 games, including the Portuguese league and Champions League. In their Champions League opener, Sporting hosted Lille and beat them 2:0. The opponents got a red card, allowing Sporting to dictate the tempo more, but the 1st goal was scored when both teams had 11 players. Sporting created an xG of 1.62 while Lille had 0.41.

PSV's Sergino Dest is unlikely to be ready for this game, while Hirving Lozano and Fredrik Oppegard are also doubts. As for Sporting, Pedro Goncalves and Marcus Edwards are big question marks, while Diogo Pinto is also doubtful.

Both teams are performing very well in their local championships and I see this as a very tight duel. PSV has scored 10 goals and conceded 1 at home in their local championship, while Sporting has 17 scored and 1 conceded on the road. With both team showing great football, I wouldn't be surprised to see this game ending with a draw and that's a better outcome for Sporting. Opta Analyst also favors Sporting chances to win as there's a 40% chance for their win while a draw is listed as 25.7% possible. Overall, 65.7% chance that this match will end in our favor.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周二晚上,欧洲冠军联赛继续进行,其中一场比赛将在埃因霍温和里斯本竞技之间进行。在这场决斗中,我预测里斯本不会输。

埃因霍温在欧冠联赛中以1:3的比分输给了尤文图斯。尽管埃因霍温控球更多,但却没有机会,因为尤文图斯创造了更多的进球机会。埃因霍温的xG值仅为1.04,而尤文图斯为2.92。如果我们看看埃因霍温在本地联赛中的表现,球队踢得很好,但很难将荷甲联赛与欧冠联赛相提并论。

里斯本竞技也在当地的锦标赛中占据主导地位,球队赢得了最近8场比赛,包括葡萄牙联赛和欧洲冠军联赛。在欧冠揭幕战中,里斯本竞技主场迎战里尔,并以2:0击败里尔。对手得到了一张红牌,这让里斯本竞技更多地控制了节奏,但第一个进球是在两队都有11名球员的情况下打进的。体育的xG值为1.62,里尔为0.41。

埃因霍温的塞尔吉诺-戴斯特不太可能为这场比赛做好准备,而洛萨诺和奥佩加德也有疑问。至于体育,佩德罗·冈萨尔维斯和马库斯·爱德华兹是一个很大的问号,而迪奥戈·平托也令人怀疑。

两支球队都在各自的地方锦标赛中表现出色,我认为这是一场非常激烈的对决。埃因霍温在本地联赛中主场进了10球丢了1球,而里斯本竞技在客场进了17球丢了1球。两支球队都有出色的表现,我不会对这场比赛以平局结束感到惊讶,这对竞技来说是一个更好的结果。Opta Analyst也看好体育获胜的可能性,因为他们获胜的可能性为40%,而平局的可能性为25.7%。总的来说,这场比赛有65.7%的可能性会对我们有利。

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