5/5 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-09-29
比赛分析
解读理由
AIK VS Hammarby
AIK and Hammarby lock horns in this Allsvenskan round 25 clash at Strawberry Arena, in Solna, Stockholm, Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the first tier of Swedish football. The level of this league is mediocre by European standards. However, football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind, of course – can expect a game of high quality by this league's standards here.. My fans and I have yet another awesome betting opportunity to extend the winning streak of five picks betting on this league! Moreover, we have won a stunning of 10 picks in a row! I must say that I really struggle to understand the odds here.. Let's first take a look at the absentees; AIK will be missing Ali, Ellingsen and Fesshaie. As for Hammarby, Winther is injured. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Hammarby are the bigger team here - by a decent margin. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 27 million euros! The AIK squad is valued at around 22 million - which is slightly too high! Hammarby have won the last two games between the two teams. Moreover, AIK have won just one of the last seven matches against Hammarby. In May Hammarby won 2-1 at home after having 58% ball possession and recording many more goal attempts (13-7), shots on goal, shots off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated more in expected goals (xG). Hammarby were better than AIK last season (as well). Indeed, AIK finished in 11th place with a very disappointing 36 points! Hammarby ended up in 7th place with 44 points in their pocket. I want to highlight that Hammarby have very good head coach and play extremely well-organized football. They have allowed only 21 goals! Only Malmö, the dominant team in this league this season, have conceded less goals – 19. Hammarby have also been more effective than AIK, scoring four more goals. The AIK defence does not have a solid structure and silly individual mistakes have been too common. They have allowed 35 goals – more than Sirius, currently in 8th place.. The biggest bookies with the largest stake limits offer AIK odds of around 2.10 to send to visitors home empty-handed. I strongly disagree! Even with the substantial home advantage – based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based analysis - AIK are only narrow favourites. The Hammarby +0.5 goals handicap is the smart choice here!
Hammarby have been in fine form recently and must be sky-high in confidence! They have not lost any of their last 11 games – winning 7/11. Moreover, they have allowed just one goal in their last four matches! In their last game they comfortably defeated Häcken 2-0 at home. Häcken are only in the 9th place but are a much better team than the standings would suggest.. Hammarby recorded many more goal attempts and shots on goal – 7-3 to be precise. Before this Hammarby were priced around 4.10 away from home against Elfsborg but took a point after a tactically very smart game. I loved the way Hammarby shut down the dangerous Elfsborg offense, allowing the hosts only two shots on goal. Hammarby had 63% ball possession! In round 22 Hammarby lacked some offensive creativity and had to settle for a 1-1 draw against Norrköping. The visitors, however, defended much better than usual in this match and deserve credit for that. Before this they bookmakers expected a 50/50 game between Göteborg and Hammarby but the visitors masterfully suffocated Göteborg's offense whilst recording 13 goal attempts themselves. 0-1 was the final score.
AiK, on the other hand, have won two of their last four games. In their most recent match AIK beat a much smaller team, Sirius, 1-0 away from home but managed only two shots on goal – the hosts managed five. I was not impressed with AIK's offense as a whole. Many of their attacks were too slow and predictable.. Before this Aik defeated a very poor team, Kalmar (15th place) 1-0 on the road as very clear favourites but the match was somewhat balanced! AIK recorded one more shot on goal and goal attempt (7-6) but both teams had three shots off goal. With this kind of performance they are unlikely to beat Hammarby.. They were in great form results-wise in August, winning all five Allsvenskan games but had a lot of luck in doing so.. For example in round 21 they beat IFK Värnamo 1-0 away from home, priced around 2.05 to win but the hosts had many more goal attempts, attacks (179-84) and dangerous attacks. This "hot" streak probably excited the bookies and recreational bettors too much.. I will not be fooled the final results only, of course. Lastly I want to mention that AIK are only in 4th place, two points behind Hammarby - with a score difference of only +1! Even Sirius (8th place) have a much better goal difference..
GOOD LUCK and a huge thank you to all my old - and a big number of new fans!
该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
AIK VS Hammarby
北京时间周日晚,AIK和Hammarby将在斯德哥尔摩索尔纳的草莓竞技场进行第25轮比赛。这是瑞典足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是中等的。然而,足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——当然,考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场高质量的比赛,以这个联赛的标准来看。我的球迷和我还有另一个很棒的投注机会,以延长在这个联赛投注的五连胜!此外,我们已经连续赢得了10个选秀权!我必须说,我真的很难理解这种可能性。让我们先来看看缺席的人;AIK将会错过阿里、艾林森和费舍。至于汉马比,温瑟受伤了。根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,哈马比在这里是一支更大的球队——以相当大的差距。事实上,他们的球员估计总市值约为2700万欧元!AIK队的价值约为2200万美元——这有点太高了!汉马比队在两队之间的最后两场比赛中都赢了。此外,AIK在最近7场与Hammarby的比赛中只赢了1场。5月,哈马比在主场以58%的控球率赢得了2-1的胜利,他的进球次数(13-7次)、射正、射外、进攻和危险进攻都比他多。他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG)。Hammarby上赛季也比AIK好。事实上,AIK以令人失望的36分排在第11位!Hammarby以44分排名第七。我想强调的是,汉姆比有非常好的主教练,踢得非常有组织。他们只丢了21个球!只有本赛季在联赛中占据统治地位的Malmö队丢了19个球。哈马比也比AIK更有效率,多进了4个球。AIK的防守没有一个坚实的结构,愚蠢的个人错误太常见了。他们丢了35个球,比目前排名第八的天狼星还多。最大的博彩公司拥有最大的赌注限额,开出的AIK赔率约为2.10,让游客空手而归。我强烈反对!即使拥有巨大的主场优势——基于我复杂的、强有力的数据分析——AIK也只是微弱的热门。Hammarby +0.5个进球障碍是明智的选择!
汉马比最近状态很好,信心一定很高!他们在过去的11场比赛中没有输过一场,7胜11负。此外,他们在最近的四场比赛中只丢了一个球!在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以2比0轻松击败Häcken。Häcken虽然只排在第9位,但比排名显示的要好得多。哈马比记录了更多的进球尝试和射门——准确地说是7比3。在此之前,汉马比在客场对阵埃尔夫斯堡的比赛中被定价在4.10左右,但在一场战术上非常聪明的比赛后拿到了一分。我喜欢哈马比阻断了埃尔夫斯堡的进攻,只让主队两次射门。哈姆比有63%的控球率!在第22轮比赛中,哈马比缺乏进攻创造力,只得1-1战平Norrköping。然而,客队在这场比赛中的防守比平时要好得多,值得赞扬。在此之前,博彩公司预计Göteborg和Hammarby之间的比赛将是50/50,但客队巧妙地压制了Göteborg的进攻,同时自己也有13个进球。0比1是最后的比分。
另一方面,AiK在最近的四场比赛中赢了两场。在他们最近的一场比赛中,AIK客场1-0击败了小得多的球队天狼星,但只射正了2次,而主队射正了5次。我对AIK的整体进攻印象不深。他们的许多攻击都太慢,太容易预测。在此之前,Aik在客场1-0击败了一支非常弱的球队,卡尔玛(第15名),这是一个非常明显的热门,但比赛有些平衡!韩国队在比赛中有1次射正和射门未遂(7比6),但两队均有3次射偏。以这样的表现,他们不大可能击败汉姆比队。他们在8月份的成绩非常好,赢下了所有5场阿尔斯温斯坎队的比赛,但是运气很好。例如,在第21轮,他们客场1-0击败IFK Värnamo,胜率在2.05左右,但东道主的进球次数、进攻次数(179-84)和危险进攻都更多。这种“火爆”的连胜可能让博彩公司和娱乐赌徒太兴奋了。当然,我不会只被最终结果所愚弄。最后我想提一下,AIK只排在第4位
排名第一,落后Hammarby两分,而积分差距只有+1!即使是天狼星(第8名)也有更好的净胜球。祝你好运,并非常感谢我所有的老粉丝和大量的新粉丝!
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。
