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83% PREMIER LEAGUE WINS! 英超 维拉VS埃弗顿

2024-09-14

比赛分析

解读理由

On Saturday night, 8 games in the English Premier League are going to happen. One of the matches is going to be between Aston Villa and Everton. After 3 games, Aston Villa has 2 wins, 1 loss, a total of 6 points and 7th place while Everton has 3 losses, zero points and the last, 20th position. In this game, I predict Aston Villa's win.

Aston Villa has won both road games. At first, they beat West Ham 2:1 and in the last round before the break, Villa beat Leicester 2:1. The only loss was at home against Arsenal 0:2. While they lost, Aston Villa had a bigger xG as their rating was 1.28 while the opponents had only 0.87. In the first game against West Ham, xG ratings were similar but it was as much better against Leicester. So far Aston Villa has created xG of 4.6 while xGA is at 3.6, with a difference of +1.

Everton's start of the new season has been very poor. They lost 0:3 to Brighton at home, followed by a 0:4 loss to Tottenham on the road and the last game before the break - 2:3 to Bournemouth. This loss was tough because Everton was leading 2:0 until the 87th minute when opponents scored 3 goals in 9 minutes and secured the win. Everton hasn't created many scoring situations, as their xG after 3 games is 3.2, xGA is 6.2 with a difference of -3.

It remains to be seen what approach Unai Emery takes to team selection, given Aston Villa's Champions League debut takes place on Tuesday, so some squad rotation cannot be ruled out. Both Leon Bailey and Matty Cash are sidelined, while Tyrone Mings is short of match fitness despite taking part in training alongside another long-term absentee, Boubacar Kamara. Everton's captain Seamus Coleman picked up an injury while playing for the Republic of Ireland and is a doubt for Saturday's game, two more defenders, Jarrad Branthwaite and Nathan Patterson, are unlikely to return just yet.

I'm going with Aston Villa. They have played much better, they are at home where they had a very good record last season (12 wins and 4 draws in 19 games, +20 in goal difference) and they have beaten Everton in 4 out of the last 5 Premier League meetings at home.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周六晚上,英超联赛将有8场比赛。其中一场比赛将在阿斯顿维拉和埃弗顿之间进行。3场比赛结束后,阿斯顿维拉2胜1负,积6分,排名第7,埃弗顿3负,积0分,排名倒数第20。我预测这场比赛阿斯顿维拉会赢。

阿斯顿维拉赢得了两场客场比赛。首先,他们2:1击败了西汉姆,在中场休息前的最后一轮,维拉2:1击败了莱斯特城。唯一的失利是在主场0:2输给阿森纳。虽然输球,但阿斯顿维拉的xG值更高,为1.28,而对手只有0.87。在第一场对阵西汉姆联的比赛中,xG的收视率是相似的,但对阵莱斯特城的比赛则要好得多。到目前为止,阿斯顿维拉创造的xG为4.6,而xGA为3.6,两者相差+1。

埃弗顿新赛季的开局非常糟糕。他们在主场0:3输给了布莱顿,随后客场0:4输给了热刺,中场休息前的最后一场比赛2:3输给了伯恩茅斯。比赛进行到第87分钟,埃弗顿以2比0领先,对手在9分钟内连进3球,确保了比赛的胜利。埃弗顿没有创造多少得分机会,3场比赛后他们的xG是3.2,xGA是6.2,差值是-3。

考虑到阿斯顿维拉的欧冠首秀将在周二举行,埃梅里将采取何种方式来选择球队还有待观察,所以不能排除一些阵容轮换的可能性。利昂·贝利和马蒂·卡什都缺阵,而泰龙·明斯虽然和另一名长期缺阵的卡马拉一起参加了训练,但他还没有适应比赛。埃弗顿队长谢默斯·科尔曼在代表爱尔兰出战时受伤,能否参加周六的比赛是个疑问,另外两名后卫贾拉德·布兰斯维特和内森·帕特森也不太可能复出。

我支持阿斯顿维拉。他们踢得好多了,他们在主场取得了上赛季非常好的战绩(19场12胜4平,净胜球+20),而且他们在最近5次英超主场交锋中4次击败埃弗顿。

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