Annecy VS Amiens

Annecy and Amiens lock horns in this French Ligue 2 round 4 clash at Parc des Sports  early Saturday morning Beijing time. A match of somewhat mediocre quality by the Ligue 2 standards is expected. The Ligue 2 is of quite high level by European standards – for a second tier I mean. Amiens are definitely the better team here by class. Amiens were much better than Annecy last season already. They finished in 8th place - taking a total of 53 points. Annecy, on the other hand, grabbed 46 points, finishing only in 14th place. Amiens scored – and allowed 36 goals. The 36 goals conceded was the second-lowest number in the Ligue 2. Their defence – and are not expected to have any major weaknesses. Yes, under intense, well-structured pressing they sometimes struggle but Annecy are not expected to be capable of doing that here.. Annecy scored 49 goals and allowed 50 goals in the 2023-2024 season. Let's also remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Amiens are the bigger team in terms of players' estimated total market value – a pretty wide margin! The Amiens squad has an estimated market value of some 13 euros. The Annecy players are valued at a total of seven million euros. Last season Annecy failed to defeat Amiens. In October it was a 1-1 draw but Amiens recorded more goal attempts and shots on goal. At home Amiens deservedly won 1-0 and generated much more in expected goals (xG) 1.34-0.32 to be precise.

At the moment Amiens occupy the 4th place in the standings with six points in their pocket. They have scored four and have defended very well – allowing just one goal. Annecy have grabbed just one win – and a total of four points. Their score difference is 5:5. Annecy have lost two of their last three games. In their most recent game they lost to Sion 1-2 at a neutral location. Before that they "robbed" a point from Caen on the road. They had an extremely low 23% ball possession. The hosts also recorded many more goal attempts (12-8), shots off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. Indeed, Annecy didn't deserve a point. In round 2 Annecy lost to Martigues 2-4 at home as clear favourites – priced around 1.70 to win. Amiens have lost just one of their last five matches. In their last game they defeated Lorient 1-0 at home as big underdogs, priced around 4.50-5.00 to win by the bookies at the time of kickoff. They had to defend quite a lot but did so extremely well!  With the expected lineups, taking the home advantage into account Annecy deserve to be extremely marginal favourites. However, their odds of around 2.15 to win are too low! We will take the Amiens +0.5 handicap.

GOOD LUCK!

安纳西VS亚眠

阿纳西和亚眠将在北京时间周六凌晨在体育公园进行法甲联赛第四轮对决。按照法甲联赛的标准，这是一场质量一般的比赛。按照欧洲的标准，法甲是相当高的水平——我的意思是，对于二线球队来说。亚眠队绝对是班上最好的球队。亚眠上赛季已经比安纳西强多了。他们获得了第8名，总共获得了53分。另一方面，安纳西拿到了46分，仅排在第14位。亚眠进了36球，也丢了36球。36个失球是法甲第二低的数字。他们的防守——而且预计不会有任何重大弱点。是的，在强烈的、结构良好的压力下，他们有时会挣扎，但在这里，人们不指望Annecy有能力做到这一点。阿纳西在2023-2024赛季打进49球，失50球。让我们也记住，根据一个知名且受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com，就球员的估计总市值而言，亚眠是更大的球队——差距相当大!亚眠队的市场价值约为13欧元。安纳西球员的总身价为700万欧元。上个赛季，安纳西未能击败亚眠。10月，双方1-1战平，但亚眠的进球次数和射门次数都有所增加。在主场，亚眠当之无愧地以1-0取胜，并创造了更多的预期进球(xG) 1.34-0.32。

目前亚眠在积分榜上以6分排名第四。他们进了四个球，防守也很好，只丢了一个球。安纳西只赢得了一场胜利，总共拿到了4分。他们的比分差是5:5。安纳西在最近三场比赛中输了两场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在一个中立的地方以1比2输给了锡安。在此之前，他们在路上“抢劫”了卡昂的一个点。他们的控球率非常低，只有23%。东道主的进球次数(12胜8负)、射门次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数也更多。的确，安纳西不应该得一分。在第二轮比赛中，安纳西在主场以2-4不敌马蒂格斯，被认为是最受欢迎的球队，他的胜率约为1.70英镑。亚眠在最近五场比赛中只输了一场。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场1-0击败了洛里昂，尽管他们是大输家，开球时博彩公司的胜率约为4.50-5.00。他们不得不防守很多，但他们做得非常好!在预期的阵容中，考虑到主场优势，安纳西应该是非常边缘的热门。然而，他们的胜率只有2.15左右，实在太低了!我们将采用亚眠+0.5的劣势。

好运！