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Free la liga 2! 西乙 阿尔巴塞特VS埃瓦尔

2024-09-09

比赛分析

解读理由

After 3 rounds both are midtable, but the xG tells are a story that Albacete have started rather poorly. Last round they lost away at Malaga, who took a red card at 1-1 at 39th minute! A painful loss, but partly reflects the other poor performances of Albacete so far.

I did discuss Eibar last round and picked them to win over Levante. They dominated the game and created enough chances for several goals in an entertaining attacking performance, but ended up drawing 2-2, which was also the result on the previous round away in Santander.

According to my eye test, Eibar is once more close to promotion this season, while Albacete is far away, a midtable team.

Although neither team was among the teams with the fewest goals in the series last season, especially their expected goals of 3.03 and 3.40 in the three games of the early season are wildly high compared to how low-goal a game is played in La Liga2 on average. Albacete scored 7 goals in the first three matches and Eibar's 9 in the corresponding matches. It should be noted that Albacete's goal and score balances for the entire last season do not quite match the way of play of its current coach Alberto González. After González's arrival (27.3.), in the last 11 league matches of the spring, the goal average of Albacete's matches was only 2.0 goals per game. The overall goals per game average in La Liga2 was 2.23 goals per game last season and 2.24 per game in the opening games of this season.

Of course, the sample is so limited that we should not yet care about any numbers whether it is real data or xG, but Eibar especially look like fun to follow whereas Albacete is more a defensively weak team than anything else. They lost the possession to Elche by 20-80% in the match they won, they did counter dangerously but if you never have the ball you should not be a favourite to win, and in my papers Eibar is stronger than Elche was.

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该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在3轮之后,他们都是中游,但xG告诉我们一个故事,阿尔瓦塞特已经开始相当糟糕。上一轮他们客场输给了马拉加,马拉加在第39分钟1-1被红牌罚下!这是一场痛苦的失利,但部分反映了阿尔瓦塞特迄今为止的其他糟糕表现。

上一轮我确实讨论过艾巴尔,并认为他们会战胜莱万特。他们控制了比赛,并在有趣的进攻中创造了很多进球的机会,但最终以2比2战平,这也是上一轮客场对阵桑坦德的结果。

根据我的视力测试,本赛季埃巴尔再次接近升级,而阿尔瓦塞特则遥遥领先,是一支中游球队。

虽然这两支球队都不是上赛季在系列赛中进球最少的球队,但特别是他们在赛季初的三场比赛中分别为3.03和3.40的预期进球数,与西甲平均每场比赛的低进球数相比,还是高得离谱。阿尔瓦塞特在前三场比赛中打进7球,埃巴尔在相应的比赛中打进9球。值得注意的是,上赛季阿尔巴塞特的进球和得分平衡与现任教练阿尔贝托González的比赛方式不太匹配。González(27.3球)加盟后,阿尔巴塞特在今年春季联赛的最后11场比赛中,场均进球仅为2.0球。上赛季西甲联赛的场均总进球数为2.23球,本赛季首场比赛为2.24球。

当然,样本是如此有限,我们不应该关心任何数字,无论是真实数据还是xG,但Eibar看起来特别有趣,而Albacete更像是一支防守薄弱的球队。他们在比赛中输掉了20-80%的控球权,但他们赢了,他们的反击很危险,但如果你从来没有控球权,你就不应该是获胜的热门,在我的论文中,埃巴尔比埃尔切更强大。

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