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End of Deschamps era? 欧国联 法国VS比利时

2024-09-09

比赛分析

解读理由

Monday's most interesting Nations League match will be played in Lyon at the Parc Olympique Lyonnais, when France, which is on a surprising losing streak, hosts Belgium. France returned to the field on Friday after the European Championship semi-final loss (1–2 to Spain) in the League of Nations as a big home favorite (about 58%) against Italy. However, the match turned out to be a complete fiasco for France, because, despite the opening goal, France lost to Italy 1-3. In addition, the result was fully deserved as the Italians were sharper and hungrier in the match, both in the light of the statistics and with they eye test. Italy won the xG by 0.8–2.1. A fair loss to France, at home to a badly weakened Italian squad who missed a lot of regulars!

The French name list is impressive, but the performances are not!


The current coach of France, Didier Deschamps, has been leading his troops for more than 12 years, and only once before during Deschamps' tenure has the country lost three matches in a row. This happened at the beginning of the national team coaching career in the spring of 2013.

France was already a disappointment compared to expectations in the European Championships, so the Nations League matches may suddenly become very important games for Deschamps - in terms of the rest of the season.

Belgium started their Nations League campaign with a really solid 3-1 win at home against Israel. The shot count in the match was in favour of the Belgians 26–9 and the expected Goals count xG 3.1–0.4. Kevin De Bruyne, who scored two goals, is the star of the team. Based on his club team games (Manchester City), De Bruyne is in a very good form now, and the class is the best in the World.


In this match, in addition to the big brother-little brother arrangement, Belgium also has a small motivation/revenge advantage on its side, that the 0-1 loss experienced in the quarter-finals of the EC final tournament specifically to France awaits payment. The teams are expected to be free of injury concerns.

In terms of betting, the match odds pretty much correspond to our power ratio estimates, but I see some value in Belgium on paper, and in my mind, I have a feeling that France might collapse and that this is the end of the Deschamps era!

If one of these sides had to be chosen for the games, it would be +0.5 handicap Belgium at odds more than 1.8.

Good luck!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周一最有趣的国家联赛将在里昂的里昂奥林匹克公园球场举行,届时连败的法国队将迎战比利时队。上周五,法国在欧洲杯半决赛中以1比2不敌西班牙,作为主场最受欢迎的球队(约58%)重返赛场。然而,这场比赛对法国队来说是一场彻底的惨败,因为尽管打进了第一球,法国队还是以1-3输给了意大利队。此外,这个结果是完全应得的,因为意大利人在比赛中更加敏锐和饥饿,无论是根据数据还是他们的视力测试。意大利以0.8-2.1的比分赢得了本届世界杯。输给法国是一场公平的比赛,在主场输给了严重削弱的意大利队,他们错过了很多主力球员!

法国人的名单令人印象深刻,但表演不是!


现任法国队主教练迪迪埃·德尚(Didier Deschamps)已经带队12年多了,在德尚任职期间,法国队只有一次连输三场比赛。这件事发生在2013年春天,我刚开始执教国家队。

法国在欧洲杯上的表现已经令人失望了,所以国家联赛可能会突然成为德尚非常重要的比赛——就本赛季剩下的比赛而言。

比利时以主场3-1大胜以色列开始了他们的国家联赛之旅。本场比赛的射门数为26比9,预期进球数为3.1比0.4。Kevin De Bruyne进了两个球,是球队的明星。从他的俱乐部比赛(曼城)来看,德布劳内现在的状态非常好,他的水平是世界上最好的。


在这场比赛中,除了大哥小弟的安排之外,比利时还有一个小小的动机/复仇优势,那就是在欧锦赛决赛1 / 4决赛中0-1输给法国,等待着他们付出代价。这两支球队预计都不会有伤病问题。

在投注方面,比赛赔率与我们的力量比估计相当一致,但我在纸面上看到了比利时的一些价值,在我看来,我有一种感觉,法国可能会崩溃,这是德尚时代的终结!

如果必须选择其中一方参加比赛,那么比利时的胜率将是+0.5,赔率将超过1.8。

好运!

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