7/10 last won in this league!
2024-09-09
比赛分析
解读理由
Sweden VS Estonia
Estonia challenge Sweden in this UEFA Europe Nations League League C round 2 battle at Strawberry Arena in Solna, Stockholm, very early Monday morning Beijing time. "Challenge" is, indeed, all I believe they are capable of here.. Sweden have a massive edge over Estonia in all areas of the game. Consequently, a match of only mediocre level by this competition's Group 1 standards is expected here. The Estonia defence is relatively well-structured and the players do fight hard. However, the defenders' skill-level and experience of defending against opponents of Sweden's caliber is inadequate. Offensive Estonia are an extremely poor team! I would be surprised if they were to score here.. We will take the Sweden 1.5 goals handicap option. Odds of around 1.45 are available on the betting market. We have a 76% chance of winning. For the fans wanting to fo for higher odds the -2.5 goals handicap is a good option. Odds of as high as 2.30 are available and the chance of winning is 53%. The two teams last locked horns in a competitive game in November 2023 and Sweden won "only" 2-0 at home. They were, however, totally dominant – generating 2.97 in expected goals (xG). The Estonians managed 0.04 and failed to record a single shot on target. In January this year, Sweden won 2-1 at a neutral location - Stelios Kyriakides Stadium but were the much better team in a friendly game. Estonia managed only 0.32 in xG. In front of their loud fans, in a competitive game Sweden should be fired up, eager to prove that they are are good national team. They finished in 3rd place in the EURO 2024 Qualification Group F, behind Belgium and Austria, two strong countries. Yes, they were a little disappointing, mainly because of the (too) late rebuilding of the team. They took 10 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) was somewhat higher. They can, and most probably will, improve! Estonia were awful in the same group, taking just one point and scoring two goals in eight games. They allowed 22 goals" Most importantly, I do see them having any potential for real improvement.
Sweden are in 29th place in the FIFA Ranking, This is a little too low though. Estonia are in 123rd place, which is more or less correct in my opinion.. Estonia were very poor in their last game, despite losing only 0-1 to Slovakia at home. Slovakia are a weaker team in terms of pure class than Sweden. Slovakia had a whopping 26 goal attempts and generated 2.56 in xG. Estonia were unable to consistently attack in an organized way - their offensive players lack the skill and speed to do so against even mediocre teams, such as Slovakia. Estonia managed only 0.06 in xG! They did beat a few lowly opponents in friendlies in June but before this games they were crushed by Switzerland (4-0). Sweden swept past Azerbaijan a few days ago away from home. They recorded 30 goal attempts and clearly more in xG – deserving the three points! Lastly I want to mention that Azerbaijan are a stronger team than Estonia..
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瑞典VS爱沙尼亚
北京时间周一凌晨,在斯德哥尔摩索尔纳草莓竞技场举行的欧足联欧洲国家联赛C轮第二场比赛中,爱沙尼亚对阵瑞典。“挑战”确实是我相信他们在这里所能做的一切。瑞典在比赛的各个方面都比爱沙尼亚有巨大的优势。因此,以本次比赛的第一组标准来看,这将是一场平庸的比赛。爱沙尼亚的防守结构相对较好,球员们也很努力。然而,这些后卫的技术水平和经验都不足以抵御瑞典这样的对手。进攻型的爱沙尼亚是一支非常糟糕的球队!如果他们在这里进球,我会很惊讶的。我们将采用瑞典1.5个进球的障碍选项。博彩市场上的赔率约为1.45。我们有76%的胜算。对于想要获得更高赔率的球迷来说,-2.5个进球障碍是一个不错的选择。赔率高达2.30,获胜几率为53%。两队上一次交锋是在2023年11月的正式比赛中,瑞典队在主场“仅”以2比0获胜。然而,他们完全处于统治地位——产生2.97个预期进球(xG)。爱沙尼亚人只进了0.04球,没有一次射正。今年1月,瑞典队在中立场地斯泰利奥斯基里亚基德斯体育场以2比1获胜,但在友谊赛中表现要好得多。爱沙尼亚在xG中仅获得0.32分。在他们响亮的球迷面前,在一场激烈的比赛中,瑞典应该被点燃,渴望证明他们是一支优秀的国家队。他们在2024年欧洲杯预选赛F组中排名第三,落后于两个强队比利时和奥地利。是的,他们有点令人失望,主要是因为球队的重建(太)迟了。他们拿了10分,但他们的期望分数(xPTS)略高。他们可以,而且很可能会改进!爱沙尼亚在同组表现糟糕,8场比赛只拿到1分打进2球。“最重要的是,我确实看到他们有真正进步的潜力。
瑞典在国际足联排名中排名第29位,不过这个排名有点太低了。爱沙尼亚排在第123位,在我看来这或多或少是正确的。爱沙尼亚在上一场比赛中表现非常糟糕,尽管他们在主场只以0比1输给了斯洛伐克。斯洛伐克在纯粹的水平上比瑞典弱。斯洛伐克队有惊人的26次射门,全场射门2.56次。爱沙尼亚无法以一种有组织的方式持续进攻,他们的进攻球员缺乏技术和速度,即使是面对斯洛伐克这样的平庸球队。爱沙尼亚在xG中仅获得0.06分。他们在6月的友谊赛中击败了一些实力较弱的对手,但在这场比赛之前,他们被瑞士(4-0)击败。几天前,瑞典队在客场横扫阿塞拜疆队。他们有30次射门,显然更多的是在xG上——应该得到三分!最后我想提一下,阿塞拜疆队比爱沙尼亚队更强。
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