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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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6/8 last WON in this league! $$$

2024-09-07

比赛分析

解读理由

France VS Italy



Italy challenge France for this UEFA Europe Nations League League A round 1 at Parc des Princes in Paris early Saturday morning Beijing time. "Challenge" is, indeed, all I believe they are capable of here.. Indeed, France have a significant edge over Italy in all areas of the game! Even so, a match of good level by this competition's Group F2 standards is on the cards here. France are in 2nd place in the FIFA Ranking at the moment. I rate them as the 3rd-best national team – with the best possible lineup, taking into account the substitutes – in the world. They were a slight disappointment performance-wise in the EURO 2024 in the summer. The expectations were high, after the very strong performance in the EURO Qualification - and making it to the World Cup Final in Qatar in 2022. However, let's remember that France were beaten by the eventual champions of Europe, Spain, in the Playoffs 1-2. France's performance was okay as a whole. They even recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target. They also generated more in expected goals (xG). France, too, could easily have qualified for the final. On their way to the final, France defeated Portugal and Belgium after magnificent defensive performances - without allowing a single goal! Both opponents were/are among the best teams in Europe.


Italy are in 10th place in the FIFA Ranking but this definitely is too high.15-16th would be a more accurate place for them at the moment.. Italy were not great in the (EURO 2024) Qualification Group C – grabbing only 14 points – the same number as Ukraine managed to grab.. England easily won the group. Let's remember that Ukraine failed to qualify for the Playoffs in the EURO 2024.. Italy were poor in their last match, losing to Switzerland, 0-2 in the first round of Playoffs. The Swiss generated more in xG and many more goal attempts. Italy managed only one shot on target. They were the favourites on the betting market in this match but were very disappointing – especially offensively. They are in a rebuilding phase and might do much better in 2-5 years time.  However, even a point from the game against France would be a surprise.  The French have an over 65% chance of winning. Odds of around 1.60 are widely offered by the biggest bookmakers. France's possible starting lineup: Maignan; Kounde, Saliba, Konate, T. Hernandez; Kante, Tchouameni, Zaire-Emery; Dembele, Thuram, Mbappe is full of word-class players and has no real weaknesses! I recommend my fans to watch especially Saliba, who is one of the best defenders on the planet. He plays for Arsenal in the English Premier League, clearly the best league in the world! Kylian Mbappe (Real Madrid, the reigning champions of Europe) probably needs no introduction and is one of the deadliest strikers in the world. He suffered from an annoying nose injury in the EURO 2024 - which bothered him quite a lot in many games -  but should be back to his old (excellent) self by now!


In the opening round of EURO 2024 group stage Italy beat the worst team in the tournament, Albania, 2-1 and deserved to win - but failed to really impress me as a whole. Italy generated only 1.55 in xG. Italy were priced around 1.35 to win the game by the bookmakers. In round 2 Spain dominated Italy, despite winning only 1-0. Italy managed only one shot on goal - Spain, on the other hand, managed eight! Moreover, Spain had an impressive 20 goal attempts. The xG numbers were very clear in Spain's favour, 2.12-0.22 to be precise. Before losing to the Swiss, Italy played a balanced match against Croatia as favourites on the betting market. It was a 1-1 draw in the end and Italy's Zaccagni scored the 1-1 goal in the 90+8th minute. 



GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

法国VS意大利



北京时间周六凌晨,意大利队将在巴黎王子公园球场与法国队争夺欧冠联赛甲级联赛第一轮。“挑战”确实是我相信他们在这里所能做的一切。的确,法国在比赛的各个方面都比意大利有明显的优势!即便如此,一场符合F2组比赛标准的好比赛还是有希望的。法国目前在国际足联排名中排名第二。我认为他们是世界上第三优秀的国家队,拥有最好的阵容,考虑到替补。在夏季举办的2024年欧洲杯上,他们的表现有点令人失望。在欧洲杯预选赛中表现出色,并进入2022年卡塔尔世界杯决赛之后,人们的期望很高。然而,让我们记住,法国队在季后赛中被最终的欧洲冠军西班牙队1-2击败。法国队的表现总体上还不错。他们甚至记录了更多的射门次数、射正和射偏。他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG)。法国队也可以轻松晋级决赛。在进入决赛的路上,法国队在出色的防守表现下击败了葡萄牙和比利时——一球未失!两个对手都是欧洲最好的球队。


意大利在国际足联排名中排名第十,但这绝对太高了。15-16日对他们来说更准确。意大利在(2024年欧洲杯)预选赛C组表现不佳,只拿到14分,和乌克兰拿到的一样多。英格兰轻松赢得小组头名。让我们记住,乌克兰没能进入2024年欧洲杯的季后赛。意大利在上一场比赛中表现不佳,在季后赛首轮0-2负于瑞士。瑞士人创造了更多的xG和更多的进球尝试。意大利只射正了一脚。在这场比赛中,他们是博彩市场上最受欢迎的球队,但表现非常令人失望——尤其是在进攻端。他们正处于重建阶段,可能在2-5年内做得更好。然而,即使在对阵法国的比赛中只得到一分也是一个惊喜。法国队有超过65%的获胜机会。最大的博彩公司普遍提供约1.60的赔率。法国队可能的首发阵容:梅尼昂;孔德,萨利巴,科纳特,T.埃尔南德斯;坎特,tchoumeni,扎伊尔-埃默里;登贝莱、图拉姆、姆巴佩都是世界级的球员,没有真正的弱点!我建议我的球迷去看这场比赛,尤其是萨利巴,他是这个星球上最好的后卫之一。他在英超为阿森纳效力,这显然是世界上最好的联赛!姆巴佩(皇家马德里,欧洲卫冕冠军)可能不需要介绍,他是世界上最致命的前锋之一。在2024年欧洲杯上,他的鼻子受伤了,这让他在很多比赛中都很困扰,但现在他应该能恢复到以前的状态了!


在2024年欧洲杯小组赛的首轮比赛中,意大利队以2-1击败了比赛中表现最差的球队阿尔巴尼亚队,他们当之无愧地赢得了比赛,但整体上却没能给我留下深刻的印象。意大利的gdp仅为1.55。博彩公司将意大利队的胜率定在1.35左右。在第二轮比赛中,西班牙队以1比0战胜了意大利队。意大利只有一次射门,而西班牙则有八次射门!此外,西班牙队有令人印象深刻的20次射门。xG数据非常明显对西班牙有利,准确地说是2.12-0.22。在输给瑞士之前,意大利在博彩市场上与克罗地亚进行了一场势均力敌的比赛。最后双方1-1战平,意大利的扎卡尼在90+8分钟打进了1-1的进球。



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