Peru VS Colombia

Peru welcome Colombia for this South America World Championship Qualification round 7 battle at Estadio Monumental in Lima, the capital of Peru, Saturday morning Beijing time. A clash of lower than average quality by this competition's standards is expected here. The main reason for that is the substantial difference in class between the two teams. Indeed, Colombia have a substantial edge over Peru in all areas of the game! Odds of around 1.80 on the Colombia win are widely available on the betting market and we will take it! They have a 61.50% chance of taking all three points. Colombia have improved in recent years and are in 9th place in the FIFA Ranking – above many strong European national teams! Yes, the 9th place is a little too high but Peru are in decline and are only in 41st place in the FIFA Ranking. This is slightly too high. Colombia have started the qualification well and are in third place with a fine 12 points. They have taken three wins and three draws. Peru, on the other hand, have been terrible, taking just two points! They have scored just one goal and have conceded eight goals. Yes, they have potential for some improvement but the bookies seem to give this potential way too much emphasis..

Colombia were excellent, even better than I would have expected, in the Copa America this summer. The tournament was played in the USA. Colombia went all the way to the final but got beaten by the reigning World Champions, Argentina - led by the iconic Leo Messi - at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. An extra time was needed. Lautaro Martinez scored the only goal in the game in the 112th minute. However, Colombia played very well and could easily have won! They had 55% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target. Both teams generated 1.46 in expected goals (xG). Before this Colombia beat Uruguay, a very strong team, 1-0 as underdogs. They generated 1.77 in xG – Uruguay managed 0.67. Before this they crushed Panama 5-0 and took a point from Brazil. They had many more goal attempts and shots on goal than the Brazilians and also generated much more in xG - 1.34-0.41 to be precise. Peru failed to score a single goal in Copa America but "stole" a point from Chile, a pretty limited team. Chile were the better team on the pitch though, recording many more goal attempts (10-6) and generating more in xG – 1.44-0.58. After this draw they lost to Canada (0-1) and Argentina (0-2) and were very lame offensively in both games. In June they beat a poor team, El Salvador 1-0 as big favourites in a friendly game but failed to really impress me..

秘鲁VS哥伦比亚

北京时间周六上午，在秘鲁首都利马的纪念碑体育场，秘鲁欢迎哥伦比亚参加本届南美世界杯预选赛第七轮比赛。按照这次比赛的标准，预计这里的比赛质量将低于平均水平。主要原因是两支球队在班级上的巨大差异。事实上，哥伦比亚在比赛的各个方面都比秘鲁有很大的优势!在投注市场上，哥伦比亚队获胜的赔率约为1.80，我们将接受它!他们有61.50%的机会获得全部三分。哥伦比亚近年来有所进步，在国际足联排名中排名第九，超过了许多强大的欧洲国家队!是的，第9名有点高，但秘鲁正在下降，在国际足联排名中仅排在第41位。这有点太高了。哥伦比亚在预选赛开门红，积12分排名第三。他们取得了三胜三平的战绩。另一方面，秘鲁表现糟糕，只拿了两分!他们只进了一个球，丢了8个球。是的，他们有一些改进的潜力，但博彩公司似乎过于强调这种潜力。

哥伦比亚队在今年夏天的美洲杯上表现出色，甚至比我预期的还要好。比赛在美国举行。哥伦比亚一路杀入决赛，但在佛罗里达州迈阿密花园的硬石体育场，被由偶像梅西率领的卫冕世界冠军阿根廷队击败。需要额外的时间。劳塔罗·马丁内斯在第112分钟打进全场唯一进球。然而，哥伦比亚队踢得很好，本来可以轻松获胜的!他们有55%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数、射正次数和射偏次数。两队的预期进球数均为1.46 (xG)。在此之前，哥伦比亚以1比0击败了乌拉圭，这是一支非常强大的球队。他们在世界杯上的进球数为1.77，乌拉圭为0.67。在此之前，他们以5比0大胜巴拿马，并从巴西手中拿到1分。他们的射门次数和射门次数都比巴西人多，准确地说，他们在xG(1.34-0.41)的得分也比巴西人高得多。秘鲁在美洲杯上一球未进，却从实力相当有限的智利队那里“偷”了一分。智利队在球场上表现得更好，他们的进球次数更多(10胜6负)，创造的进球也更多(1.44-0.58)。在这场平局之后，他们分别输给了加拿大(0-1)和阿根廷(0-2)，两场比赛的进攻都很差劲。今年6月，他们在一场友谊赛中以1比0击败了实力不强的萨尔瓦多队，但没能给我留下深刻印象。