A fine match to bet on! 荷乙 格拉夫VS埃因FC
2024-09-06
比赛分析
解读理由
De Graafschap VS FC Eindhoven
De Graafschap host Eindhoven FC for this Eerste Divisie round 5 battle at De Vijverberg in Doetinchem early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Dutch football and its level is pretty good by European standards – for a second tier I mean. A clash of better than average quality by this league's standards is on the cards here. Last season De Graafscap played a pretty strong season, finishing in 6th place with 63 points in their pocket after the regular season. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was lower. In the 2022-2023 season Eindhoven FC did much better than De Graafschap but last season was a disappointment; they ended up in 14th place with 43 points in this league with a total of 20 clubs. They should have potential for improvement this season! Even so, the hosts are the better team in terms of pure class here. Both teams have a pretty good situation in terms of absentees. With the expected lineups even taking the home advantage into account - the current odds of around 1.60 on the home win are still too low! We will take the Eindhoven +1.5 goals handicap option. Let's also not forget that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts are the bigger team here – but only by a narrow margin. Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated total of around seven million euros. The Eindhoven squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about eight million euros.
Both teams have grabbed a respectable seven points so far. Graafschap play more offensive football which has resulted in them scoring 11 goals but they have also allowed nine goals! Only the rock-bottom teams, Roda, have conceded more goals! The hosts are, mainly because of taking excessive risks, pretty vulnerable to counter attacks in (negative) transitions.. This is something Eindhoven are, in fact, quite good at! Eindhoven have netted the ball only six times – but have also allowed only four goals in this league this season. Moreover, they have lost only one of their last five games. This defeat came on the 25th of August at home against Jong Ajax 0-3. No, Eindhoven did not play particularly well but the visitors performed well above their normal level. However, the match was pretty balanced as a whole.. Both teams had 11 goal attempts and Eindhoven recorded one more and several more dangerous attacks. I will not overreact to this disappointing result. In their last game Eindhoven faced Vitesse on the road as pretty clear underdogs on the betting market but took a 1-1 draw. The hosts had two more goal attempts but both teams recorded the same number of shots on goal in this pretty defensive clash. In round 2 Eindhoven were priced around 3.80 to beat Telstar on the road but grabbed a fine 3-0 win after a very strong performance. They recorded two more shots on target and the final score does flatter Eindhoven.. The hosts have won two of their last five matches. In their last game they defeated Roda 4-1 away from home and deserved to win. However, the final score is misleading. De Graafschap recorded only three more shots on goal than Roda. The hosts even had more dangerous attacks. Before this De Graafschap were disappointing at home, failing to beat Jong Utrecht despite being priced around 1.55 to win. The match was a very balanced one – and the final score was 1-1. Both teams had the same number of goal attempts and shots on goal but Jong Utrecht recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks. In round 2 De Graaschap were quite imbalanced on the pitch, losing to Excelsior 1-3 on the road. They, too, had their chances to score more than one goal.. The hosts recorded two more goal attempts - 13-11 to be precise.
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德格拉夫沙普VS埃因霍温
北京时间周六凌晨,德格拉夫夏普主场迎战埃因霍温,将在德维弗贝格球场进行联赛第5轮的比赛。这是荷兰足球的第二梯队,以欧洲的标准来看,它的水平相当不错——我是说对于第二梯队来说。以联盟的标准来看,一场高于平均水平的冲突是有可能发生的。上个赛季格拉夫斯卡普踢得相当强劲,常规赛结束后以63分排名第6。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)较低。在2022-2023赛季,埃因霍温足球俱乐部的表现比德格拉夫夏普好得多,但上个赛季令人失望;他们最终以43分排名第14位,总共有20家俱乐部。他们本赛季应该有进步的潜力!即便如此,东道主在实力方面还是更胜一筹。两支球队的缺阵情况都很好。考虑到预期的阵容,即使考虑到主场优势-目前主场获胜的赔率约为1.60仍然太低了!我们将选择埃因霍温+1.5个进球障碍的选项。我们也不要忘记,根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,东道主在这里是更大的球队——但只是微弱的差距。事实上,他们的球员估计总价值约为700万欧元。另一方面,埃因霍温队的身价仅为800万欧元左右。
到目前为止,两支球队都获得了可观的7分。格拉夫沙普踢得更具攻击性,这导致他们进了11个球,但他们也丢了9个球!只有垫底的球队罗达丢了更多的球!东道主,主要是因为承担了过多的风险,在(负面)转变中很容易受到反击。事实上,这是埃因霍温队非常擅长的!埃因霍温本赛季只打进6球,但也只丢了4球。此外,他们在最近的五场比赛中只输了一场。这场失利发生在8月25日主场0-3负于阿贾克斯。不,埃因霍温踢得不是特别好,但是客队的表现超出了他们的正常水平。然而,这场比赛总体上是相当平衡的。两队都有11次进球尝试,埃因霍温队记录了一次和几次更危险的进攻。我不会对这个令人失望的结果反应过度。在上一场比赛中,埃因霍温在客场面对维特斯,在博彩市场上他们显然处于劣势,但最终以1比1战平。主队有两次进球尝试,但在这场相当防守的冲突中,两队的射门次数相同。在第二轮比赛中,埃因霍温在客场击败Telstar的价格约为3.80,但在表现非常出色后,他们以3-0的比分取得了胜利。他们又射正了两脚,最终的比分确实让埃因霍温感到高兴。东道主在最近五场比赛中赢了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们在客场4-1击败罗达,理应获胜。然而,最终的分数是误导性的。格拉夫恰普的射门次数只比罗达多3次。东道主甚至有更危险的进攻。在此之前,德格拉夫沙普在主场的表现令人失望,尽管以1.55英镑的价格赢得比赛,但未能击败Jong Utrecht。这场比赛非常势均力敌,最终比分是1比1。两支球队的进球次数和射门次数相同,但乌得勒支的进攻次数和危险进攻次数更多。在第二轮比赛中,德格拉夏在球场上表现得相当不平衡,在客场以1-3输给了埃克塞尔。他们也有机会进不止一个球。东道主又有两次进球,准确地说是13-11。
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