A fine match to bet on! 丹麦杯 霍森斯VS维堡
2024-09-04
比赛分析
解读理由
AC Horsens VS Viborg
Horsens and Viborg lock horns in this Landspokal Cup clash at Nordstern Arena Horsens very early Thursday morning Beijing time. They play in the 1st Division, the second-highest level of Danish football. Viborg on the other hand, play in the Superliga, the first tier of Danish football. I want to emphasize that the difference in pure class between these two leagues is substantial! Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of somewhat mediocre quality by this competition's standards here.. Horsens have had a decent start to the season and currently occupy the 4th place in the standings. They have grabbed 14 points in eight games. They have netted the ball 13 times, 5-7 goals less than the three top-teams have scored. Their defence has not been very impressive. Horsens have allowed 11 goals and their defensive structure is far from great. They will face a touch test here against a Superliga team, Viborg. Some squad rotation from both teams' managers would not be a surprise here. Even so, I expect both teams to do their best on the pitch. With the expected lineups – taking the home advantage into account - the visitors have a 51% chance of winning in the 90 minutes of play. Odds of around 2.20 are available on the betting market. Horsens have won only one of their last seven home games.. Viborg finished in 8th place last season and were not even close to being relegated. They are in 8th place at the moment as well, more or less meeting my expectations in the tough Superliga. They have grabbed six points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is bigger. They have scored a respectable 12 goals and have allowed 15 goals. They have much more firepower than Horsens!
Let's also not forget that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Viborg are the bigger team here - by a substantial margin! Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated around 20 million euros. The Horsens squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about eight million euros. This is too high though, some 6.50 million would be a more accurate number. In their last game Horsens played okay on the road against Hvidovre. It was a balanced, entertaining game - 3-3 was the final score. However, Horsens were pretty imbalanced on the pitch. Before this they failed to beat a pretty limited team, Vendsyssel, at home as clear underdogs. Horsens did record two more goal attempts, but it was a 1-1 draw. Viborg locked horns with Sonderjyske in the last game. It was an away game for Viborg and they played well, recording a whopping 22 goal attempts. It was a 2-2 draw in the end. Before this they were not at their best but beat Lyngby 1-0 at home. On the 18th of August Viborg performed very well, taking a point from the biggest club in Denmark, FC Copenhagen, on the road though a 1-1 draw. They were, of course, big underdogs on the betting market but recorded 13 goal attempts, the hosts managed 18 though. Let's remember that FC Copenhagen even qualified for the UEFA Champions League Playoffs last season!
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AC霍森VS维堡
北京时间周四凌晨,霍森斯和维堡将在霍森斯北方球馆的Landspokal杯比赛中发生冲突。他们在丹麦足球的第二高级别联赛——甲级联赛踢球。另一方面,维堡在丹麦足球的第一梯队——超级联赛中踢球。我想强调的是,这两个联赛的纯粹阶级差异是巨大的!足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以本届比赛的标准来看质量有些平庸的比赛。霍森车队本赛季开局不错,目前在积分榜上排名第四。他们在8场比赛中拿到了14分。他们有13次进球,比排名前三的球队少5-7个进球。他们的防守并不令人印象深刻。霍森斯已经丢了11个球,他们的防守结构也不太好。他们将在这里面对一个触碰测试,对手是一支超级联赛球队维堡。两队主教练的轮换并不会让人感到意外。即便如此,我希望两支球队在球场上都能做到最好。考虑到主场优势,按照预期阵容,客队在90分钟的比赛中有51%的获胜机会。投注市场上的赔率约为2.20。马刺队最近7场主场比赛只赢了1场。维堡上赛季排名第8,离降级还差得很远。他们现在也排在第8位,或多或少符合我对这个艰难的超级联赛的期望。他们拿到了6分,但他们的期望积分(xPTS)更大。他们进了12个球,丢了15个球。他们的火力比霍森大得多!
我们也不要忘记,根据著名的德国网站Transfermarkt.com,维堡在这里是更大的球队——以相当大的优势!事实上,他们的球员的身价估计在2000万欧元左右。另一方面,霍森队的价值仅为800万欧元。这个数字太高了,650万才是更准确的数字。在他们的上一场比赛中,霍森斯在客场对阵维多夫雷的比赛中表现不错。这是一场平衡而有趣的比赛——3比3是最后的比分。然而,霍森斯在球场上的表现相当不平衡。在此之前,他们未能在主场击败实力相当有限的球队Vendsyssel,显然处于劣势。霍森斯又尝试了两次进球,但双方以1比1战平。维博格在上一场比赛中与桑德吉斯克发生了争执。对于维堡来说,这是一场客场比赛,他们踢得很好,射门次数高达22次。最后双方以2比2战平。在此之前,他们状态不佳,但在主场1-0击败了林比。8月18日,维堡表现出色,客场1-1战平了丹麦最大的俱乐部哥本哈根FC,从他们手中拿走了一分。当然,在博彩市场上,他们是大输家,但他们有13次进球,而东道主却有18次进球。让我们记住,哥本哈根足球俱乐部上赛季甚至获得了欧洲冠军联赛季后赛的资格!
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