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The two best picks for La Liga are here!

2024-09-01

比赛分析

解读理由

OSASUNA - CELTA

Osasuna has been disappointing so far, in my opinion. They played against two relatively easy teams—Leganés and Mallorca—and managed to achieve 4 points without displaying a very strong or high-level performance. Then, in a game against a serious/strong rival, they were totally outplayed by Girona, where they managed only one shot on target throughout the entire match and generated just 0.07 expected goals.

However, I expect Osasuna to adopt a more offensive approach here. Against Girona in the midweek game, they fielded their starters, including key players like Bryan Zaragoza, Budimir, Torró, Oroz, and Moncayola. When they were 3-0 down, the coach substituted all of those players in the second half, likely with this game in mind. Nevertheless, they will still face fatigue.

Celta has a similar style to Girona (though with less quality, of course): offensive, high-pressing football. Therefore, I expect Osasuna to struggle here. Celta has been fantastic so far and is full of confidence. Moreover, they have had three more days to rest than Osasuna, which is a huge advantage in games like this, where fatigue and rotations play a crucial role. Additionally, in their last game against Villarreal, they fielded their reserves upfront, keeping their best players on the bench (Iago Aspas, Douvikas, Swedberg, Fran Beltrán, Hugo Álvarez).

As a result, Celta will be much fresher, with less fatigue and their best lineup available for this fixture, unlike Osasuna, who will be dealing with more fatigue and less time to rest and recover. Celta has been a very offensive team and is brimming with confidence. They are scoring goals with ease and have been a very difficult team to beat. Only Villarreal, who boasts one of the best squads in La Liga, managed to beat them, scoring from a penalty in the last minute. Before that, Celta delivered great performances, defeating Valencia and Alavés.

I expect this game to be tight and evenly matched between two teams of similar quality. However, Celta has the advantage of fitness, with less fatigue and their best players fully rested. Furthermore, I see them as a better team than Osasuna, who has been inconsistent so far.

ALAVES - LAS PALMAS

I expect Alavés to be a very strong home team this season. They have built a good squad and will be a difficult team to beat. In their last game against Real Sociedad, they made rotations, using their reserves. However, they won 1:2 in a very difficult stadium (also helped by hosts' red card).

For this fixture, they’ll field their best lineup, including their new transfer—striker Toni Martínez—who is expected to be a key player this season and has already scored in the previous game. Only midfielder Guevara might rest, as he has played the last two games. However, he will be replaced by Stoichkov, and winger Carlos Vicente will be replaced by Luka Romero.

Alavés has been fantastic so far, showing strong competitiveness and quality in the attack.

On the other hand, Las Palmas has been very weak so far. Yes, they are coming off a draw (1-1) against Real Madrid, but in these situations, I expect them to drop their level, as often happens when a smaller team achieves a positive result against a top one (like Barcelona or Madrid) and then has an away game.

They conceded a lot in the first round against Sevilla (2:2), where they deserved to lose, and then against Leganés, playing away, they were totally outplayed, and the defeat was fair. I believe this game will be similar to the one against Leganés: Alavés pushing hard, being a strong home team with a lot of intensity, and also having more quality than Leganés. Las Palmas is a team that will struggle a lot this season as they lack quality in attack and aren’t very solid in defense either. They need to generate a lot of chaces to score, and that's a problem.

Furthermore, they played with their starters against Real Madrid, so they’ll be fatigued and forced to make some rotations, which is important because Las Palmas has less squad depth than Alavés. I see Alavés as the better team here—much more quality, one more day to rest, more squad depth, and the home advantage, which is key in games like this.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

奥萨苏纳-塞尔塔

在我看来,奥萨苏纳目前的表现令人失望。他们与两支相对轻松的球队——莱甘萨梅斯和马洛卡进行了比赛,并在没有表现出很强或高水平的情况下获得了4分。然后,在一场对阵强大对手的比赛中,他们完全被赫罗纳击败,赫罗纳整场比赛只有一次射正,只有0.07个预期进球。

然而,我希望奥萨苏纳在这里采取一种更具攻击性的方式。在周中对阵赫罗纳的比赛中,他们派出了首发球员,包括布莱恩·萨拉戈萨、布迪米、Torró、奥罗兹和蒙卡约拉等关键球员。当他们0 - 3落后时,教练在下半场换下了所有这些球员,可能是考虑到这场比赛。然而,他们仍将面临疲劳。

塞尔塔的足球风格与赫罗纳相似(当然,虽然质量不如赫罗纳):进攻、高压足球。因此,我希望奥萨苏纳在这里挣扎。塞尔塔到目前为止表现很好,他们充满了信心。此外,他们比奥萨苏纳多了三天的休息时间,这在像这样的比赛中是一个巨大的优势,疲劳和轮换发挥着至关重要的作用。此外,在上一场对阵比利亚雷亚尔的比赛中,他们把预备队放在了前面,把最好的球员留在了替补席上(伊阿戈·阿斯帕斯、杜维卡斯、斯韦德伯格、弗兰Beltrán、雨果Álvarez)。

因此,塞尔塔将更有活力,更少疲劳,他们的最佳阵容可以在这场比赛中使用,不像奥萨苏纳,他将面临更多的疲劳和更少的休息和恢复时间。塞尔塔是一支进攻性很强的球队,充满了自信。他们进球很轻松,是一支很难被击败的球队。只有拥有西甲最佳阵容之一的比利亚雷亚尔在最后一分钟点球破门击败了他们。在此之前,塞尔塔表现出色,击败了瓦伦西亚和阿拉维斯。

我希望这场比赛在两支实力相当的球队之间势均力敌。然而,塞尔塔有健康的优势,他们不那么疲劳,他们最好的球员得到了充分的休息。此外,我认为他们是一支比奥萨苏纳更好的球队,奥萨苏纳到目前为止一直不稳定。

阿拉维斯-拉斯帕尔马斯

我希望阿拉维斯本赛季能成为一支非常强大的主队。他们组建了一支优秀的球队,将是一支难以击败的球队。在上一场对阵皇家社会的比赛中,他们用替补进行了轮换。然而,他们在一个非常困难的球场以1:2获胜(也得益于东道主的红牌)。

在这场比赛中,他们将派出最好的阵容,包括他们的新转会前锋托尼Martínez-who,他有望成为本赛季的关键球员,并且已经在上一场比赛中进球。只有中场格瓦拉可能会休息,因为他打了最近两场比赛。然而,他将被斯托伊奇科夫取代,而边锋卡洛斯·维森特将被卢卡·罗梅罗取代。

到目前为止,阿拉维斯的表现非常出色,在进攻中表现出了很强的竞争力和实力。

另一方面,拉斯帕尔马斯到目前为止一直很弱。是的,他们刚刚战平皇马(1-1),但在这种情况下,我希望他们降低自己的水平,就像一支小球队在对阵顶级球队(比如巴塞罗那或马德里)时取得积极的结果,然后有一场客场比赛时经常发生的那样。

他们在第一轮对阵塞维利亚(2:2)时丢了很多球,他们理应输掉比赛,然后在客场对阵莱甘萨梅斯时,他们完全被打败了,失败是公平的。我相信这场比赛会和对阵莱甘萨斯的比赛类似:alav<s:1>萨斯很努力,是一支强度很高的主队,而且比莱甘萨斯更有实力。拉斯帕尔马斯是一支本赛季会很挣扎的球队,因为他们在进攻上缺乏质量,防守上也不是很稳固。他们需要创造很多得分机会,这是一个问题。

此外,他们在对阵皇马的比赛中使用了首发球员,所以他们会很疲劳,被迫进行一些轮换,这一点很重要,因为拉斯帕尔马斯的阵容深度不如阿拉夫卡马斯。我认为阿拉维萨斯在这里是一支更好的球队——质量更高,多一天的休息时间,阵容更有深度,还有主场优势,这在这样的比赛中是关键。

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