Tromso IL VS Kilmarnock

Tromso welcome Kilmarnock for this UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification round 3 second leg battle at Romssa Arena very early Thursday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of somewhat average quality by this competition's 3rd round standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! My fans and I have won four of the last five picks in this league! The visitors come from Scotland , the hosts are a Norwegian team – No, the Tromso supporters are not among the loudest in Europe but still a significant boost to the players here. Furthermore, the match is played on artificial turf. This benefits the Norwegians quite a lot - probably more than the bookies realize. Moreover, 17 rounds of Norwegian Eliteserien have been played. The Scottish Premiership has just started – two rounds have been played.. Kilmarnock have played a total of five competitive games and they – rather understandably - still seem to be quite far from their best.. Indeed, the hosts have a small edge over Kilmarnock there.. Kilmarnock have lost three of their last five games – taking two draws. The first leg was, as expected, a pretty balanced clash.. Either team could have won.. Kilmarnock's B. Wales scored the last goal in this game (2-2) in the 90th +2 minute. Both teams had four shots on goal. Despite the late goal conceded, the Tromso players and head coach seemed to be pretty happy with a draw – knowing that at home they are very clear favourites! It was easy to see that the Tromso players - on average - where clearly more skilled than the Kilmarnock players. Odds of around 1.70 are widely available on the home win – in the 90 minutes of play - of course. Based on my strongly data-based analysis this is too high and we will eagerly place a bet on the hosts! They are also the bigger team in terms of players' estimated total market value – according to Transfermarkt.com.

Kilmarnock lost to St. Johnstone in the last game – 0-3 was the final score at home! Kilmarnock were priced around 1.55-1.60 to win by the bookies. The visitors recorded many more shots on goal in this pretty low-level game by the Premiership standards. However, the hosts' J. Wright was sent off in the 16th minute when the score was 0-1. This affected the game a lot, of course. Before this Kilmarnock were crushed by Celtic. 4-0 was the final score at Celtic Park in Glasgow. Celtic were totally dominant – recording 20 goal attempts. In the UEFA Europa League qualification round 2 Kilmarnock lost to Cercle Brugge KSV  only 1-2 on aggregate.. As a result, they were "relegated" to the Conference League Qualification. The Belgians were clearly the better team as a whole, especially in the 2nd keg in Belgium.. Kilmarnock could do very little offensively. Scottish teams sometimes do very well at home in international games but on the road they very often struggle and are overvalued on the betting market..

Before the first leg last week, Tromso lost to Rosenborg 0-1 as pretty clear underdogs on the betting market. Tromso were a little disappointing offensively, generating only 0.55 in expected goals (xG). However, I want to highlight that Rosenborg, on the other hand, played much above their normal level in this match! Tromso eliminated a Finnish team, KuPS, in the last round of qualification. 2-0 was the aggregate. They defeated KuPS 1-0 in the second leg in Norway rather comfortably. Tromso, as expected, allowed KuPS to have 58% ball possession but defended very well and KuPS were not able to do much with the ball.. The Finns' number of expected goals (xG) was low. Tromso's L. Nordås missed a penalty in the third minute.. Tromso recorded many more goal attempts (12-5), shots on target (6-2) and shots off goal.

Tromso finished in third place in the pretty good-level Eliteserien last season. That was a fine achievement from this club with significant overall financial resources, a significant fan-base and quite a lot of success in the past.. Let's also remember that Tromso  took 10 points more than Molde, who even qualified for the Conference League Playoffs last season! This season has, however, been quite difficult for Tromso.. In my expert opinion the bookies should still respect them more. Tromso have improved recently, losing just one of their last six matches! They are in 13th place in the Eliteserien but their number of xPTS is much higher – 23.88 to be precise. Their offense has undoubtedly been a disappointment, lacking creativity and passing accuracy near the opponent's goal.. At times Tromso's attacks have also been too slow and predictable which has made it somewhat easy for the opponent to organize the defence.. However, I do not trust Kilmarnock's defence away from home here and Tromso have a strong chance of scoring at least twice here! Yes, they have scored only 18 goals in the Eliteserien but their number of expected goals (xG) is still 23.99. I am pretty confident that they can significantly improve in this area of the game! The Tromso defence has been quite solid this season – they have allowed 25 goals in the Eliteserien so far. Yes, the first leg in Kuopio was a pretty balanced clash as a whole but Tromso proved their class, grabbing a 1-0 win through L. Nordås' goal in the 54th minute. After beating KuPS in Finland, Tromso faced Kristiansund, currently in 9th place, at home and it was a goalless draw. L. Nordås, however, missed a penalty in the 33rd minute.. Tromso were very unlucky not to get all three points! They generated 3.24 in xG.. The visitors' number was only 0.89.  Before beating KuPS in Finland, Tromso defeated Stromsgodset 1-0 away on the road - despite being far from their best level.. Tromso were the underdogs on the betting market in this match. Lastly I want to emphasize that Tromso have looked more confident on the pitch recently than they did in the early season...

GOOD LUCK!

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

特罗姆瑟VS基尔马诺克

北京时间周四凌晨，特罗姆瑟欢迎基尔马诺克参加欧联杯资格赛第三轮第二回合的比赛。球迷和我们认真的投注者-考虑到长期的利润-可以期待一场比赛在这个比赛的第三轮标准中有些平均的质量。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!我和我的球迷赢得了这个联盟最近五次选秀中的四次!客队来自苏格兰，主队是挪威队——不，特罗姆瑟的球迷虽然不是欧洲最大声的，但对这里的球员来说仍然是一种极大的鼓舞。此外，比赛在人造草坪上进行。这给挪威人带来了很多好处——可能比博彩公司意识到的要多。此外，挪威精英赛已经进行了17轮。苏格兰超级联赛刚刚开始，已经进行了两轮比赛。基尔马诺克总共打了五场正式比赛，而且他们似乎还远没有达到最佳状态，这是可以理解的。的确，东道主在这方面比基尔马诺克略胜一筹。基尔马诺克在过去的五场比赛中输了三场，两场平局。正如所料，第一回合是一场势均力敌的比赛。两个队都有可能赢。基尔马诺克队的威尔士队在第90 +2分钟打进了本场比赛的最后一球(2-2)。两队都有四次射门。尽管最后时刻丢了球，特罗姆瑟的球员和主教练似乎对平局非常满意，因为他们知道在主场他们是非常明显的热门!很容易看出，特罗姆瑟的球员——平均而言——明显比基尔马诺克的球员更有技术。主场获胜的赔率约为1.70，当然是在90分钟的比赛中。根据我强烈的基于数据的分析，这太高了，我们将热切地把赌注押在主机上!根据Transfermarkt.com的数据，就球员的估计总市值而言，他们也是一支更大的球队。

基尔马诺克在上一场比赛中输给了圣约翰斯通——0比3是主场的最后比分!博彩公司将基尔马诺克的胜率定在1.55-1.60左右。客队在这场低水平的英超比赛中有更多的射门。然而，在比分为0-1的第16分钟，东道主的j·赖特被红牌罚下。当然，这对游戏产生了很大影响。在此之前，基尔马诺克被凯尔特人击败，4-0是格拉斯哥凯尔特人公园的最终比分。凯尔特人完全占据统治地位，他们有20次射门。在欧联杯资格赛第2轮，基尔马诺克以总比分1-2不敌布鲁日。结果，他们被“降级”到联盟资格赛。比利时人显然是一支整体上更好的球队，尤其是在比利时的第二场比赛中。基尔马诺克几乎没有进攻能力。苏格兰球队有时在国内的国际比赛中表现很好，但在客场他们往往表现不佳，而且在博彩市场上被高估了。

在上周的首回合比赛之前，特罗姆瑟队在博彩市场上以0-1不敌罗森堡队，显然处于劣势。在进攻端，特罗姆瑟的表现有些令人失望，预期进球数仅为0.55。然而，我想强调的是，另一方面，罗森博格在这场比赛中发挥得比正常水平高得多!特罗姆瑟在最后一轮预选赛中淘汰了芬兰队up。总比分是2比0。他们在挪威的第二回合比赛中以1比0轻松击败了up。正如预期的那样，特罗姆瑟让库普斯拥有58%的控球率，但防守很好，库普斯拿球做不了什么。芬兰人的预期进球数(xG)很低。特罗姆瑟的诺德帕斯在第三分钟罚丢了一个点球。特罗姆瑟的进球次数(12胜5负)、射正次数(6胜2负)和射偏次数更多。

上赛季，特罗姆瑟在相当不错的精英联赛中获得了第三名。这是一个很好的成就，从这个俱乐部的整体财政资源，一个重要的球迷基础和相当多的成功在过去…让我们也记住特罗姆瑟比莫德多拿了10分，莫德上赛季甚至进入了联盟季后赛!然而，这个赛季对特罗姆瑟来说相当艰难。在我看来，博彩公司应该更尊重他们。特罗姆瑟最近有所进步，最近六场比赛只输了一场!他们在精英联赛中排名第13位，但他们的xPTS数量要高得多，准确地说是23.88。他们的进攻毫无疑问是令人失望的，缺乏创造力和在对手球门附近传球的准确性。有时，特罗姆瑟的袭击会造成严重后果

所以太慢，太容易预测，这让对手很容易组织防守。然而，我不相信基尔马诺克在客场的防守，特罗姆瑟有很大的机会在这里至少进两球!是的，他们在精英赛中只进了18球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)仍然是23.99。我非常有信心他们能够在游戏的这一领域做出显著的改进!特罗姆瑟的防守本赛季相当稳固，他们在精英联赛中已经丢了25个球。是的，在库奥皮奥的第一回合比赛总体上是一场相当平衡的比赛，但特罗姆瑟证明了他们的实力，在第54分钟凭借L. nord<s:1>斯的进球以1-0取胜。在击败芬兰之后，特罗姆瑟在主场迎战目前排名第9的克里斯蒂安松，双方无球战平。然而，诺达帕斯在第33分钟罚丢了一个点球。特罗姆瑟没有拿到全部三分真是太不幸了!他们在xG中生成了3.24。参观人数只有0.89人。在击败芬兰之前，特罗姆瑟客场1-0击败了斯特罗姆斯戈塞特，尽管他们远未达到最佳水平。在这场比赛中，特罗姆瑟队在博彩市场上处于劣势。最后我想强调的是，特罗姆瑟最近在球场上看起来比赛季初更有信心了。

好运！