Fredrikstad VS Haugesund

Fredrikstad welcome Haugesund for this Norwegian Eliteserien round 12 battle at Fredrikstad Stadion early Thursday morning Beijing time. However - in reality - both teams have played 17 games so far. A match of somewhat average quality by this league's standards is on the cards here. Most importantly, us serious, profit-hungry bettors have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here! We have won seven of the last 10 games betting on this league. There is no doubt about the fact that Fredrikstad are the better team in terms of pure class here.. However, the current odds of around 1.55-1.58 on the home win - offered by the biggest bookmakers with the largest stake limits - are substantially too low! Let's take a closer look..

Fredristad were promoted from the OBOS-Ligaen to this level for this season. They topped the second tier standings with a respectable 64 points. However, the difference between the Eliteserien and the OBOS-Ligaen is big.. Keeping this in mind, I have to say that I have been positively surprised by the way Fredrikstad have played this season.. I may have underestimated them a bit early in the season. Indeed, they currently occupy the 5th place in the standings. They have taken 28 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is still lower.. I want to highlight that many of their players have played above their normal level this season.. Their offense is much worse than that of the top-4 teams – lacking some creativity, speed and individual skill... Their defence, on the other hand, has fine structure and has been surprisingly solid.. They have conceded 16 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 22.45. Let's not forget the fact Fredrikstad have been in decline recently - winning only one of their last 11 games. The win came on the 21st of July on the road over HamKam 1-0. This game was pretty balanced as a whole though.. Again - Fredrikstad have not won any of their last 12 matches by a margin of more than one goal! We will take the Haugesund +1.5 goals handicap option with a big chance of winning!

Last season Haugesund finished in 12th place in this league with a total of 16 clubs. At the moment they are in last place with 17 points to their account. However, they are only three points behind Lillestrom, currently in 12th place and one point behind Tromso (13th place). More importantly, Haugesund can definitely improve their level of performance. Their number of xPTS is 21.03. Moreover, they have lost only one of their last 10 games by a margin of more than one goal. The visitors have, however, now lost three matches in a row – and the bookmakers have seemingly overreacted to these defeats.. In their last game they lost to HamKam 0-1 at home but played at a decent level. They recorded many more goal attempts (10-6) and attacks than HamKam, currently in 8th place. Haugesund also generated 1.13 in xG – much more than the visitors! Before this they lost a dominant team, Bodo/Glimt on the road, as huge underdogs on the betting market. Bodo top the standings by a margin of eight points to Viking.. Haugesund fought well though, recording eight goal attempts. They were leading 2-1 as late as the 54th minute.. Fredrikstad took a point in their last game – at home against KFUM Oslo. Frekrikstad did generate more in xG but their offense was – once again - a disappointment.. They were solid favourites to win but no goals were scored. Before this Fredrikstad played a 2-2 draw with Rosenborg. The hosts were priced around 1.90 to win but the visitors had 58% ball possession and recorded more in xG. Lastly I want to mention that, according to Transfermarkt.com, a well-known source, Fredrikstad are marginally the bigger team in terms of estimated squad market value - some 11.40 million euros vs approximately 10.60 million.

弗雷德里克斯塔德VS豪格松德

北京时间周四凌晨，腓特烈斯塔体育场将迎来挪威精英队第12轮对阵豪格松的比赛。然而，事实上，两支球队到目前为止已经打了17场比赛。按照这个联盟的标准，一场质量一般的比赛是有可能的。最重要的是，我们这些认真的、渴望利润的赌徒在这里又有了一个非常有趣的投注机会!我们在过去10场赌这个联赛的比赛中赢了7场。毫无疑问，Fredrikstad在纯职业方面是更好的球队。然而，目前主场获胜的赔率约为1.55-1.58——由最大的博彩公司提供最大的赌注限制——实在太低了!让我们仔细看看……

Fredristad本赛季从OBOS-Ligaen升级到这个级别。他们以可观的64分排名第二。然而，精英队和OBOS-Ligaen之间的区别很大……考虑到这一点，我不得不说我对弗雷德里克斯塔德本赛季的表现感到非常惊讶。我可能在赛季之初低估了他们。事实上，他们目前在积分榜上排名第五。他们已经拿了28分，但他们的期望分数(xPTS)仍然更低。我想强调的是，他们很多球员本赛季的表现都超过了正常水平。他们的进攻比排名前四的球队差得多——缺乏一些创造力、速度和个人技术……另一方面，他们的防守结构很好，而且出奇地坚固。他们丢了16个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是22.45个。让我们不要忘记腓特烈斯塔最近每况愈下的事实——他们在过去的11场比赛中只赢了一场。这场胜利是在7月21日客场1-0击败咸锦的比赛中取得的。不过这款游戏整体上还是相当平衡的。再一次，腓特烈斯塔德在最近的12场比赛中没有赢过一球以上的比分!我们将采取豪格森德+1.5球障碍选项，有很大的获胜机会!

上个赛季，豪格松以16支球队的成绩排在联赛第12位。目前他们以17分排在最后一名。然而，他们只落后利勒斯特罗姆3分，目前排名第12位，落后特罗姆瑟(第13位)1分。更重要的是，Haugesund绝对可以提高他们的表现水平。他们的xPTS数是21.03。此外，他们在最近10场比赛中只输了一场超过一球的比赛。然而，客队现在已经连输了三场比赛——博彩公司似乎对这些失败反应过度了。在上一场比赛中，他们在主场0-1输给了汉姆卡姆，但踢得还不错。他们的进球次数(10-6次)和进攻次数都比排名第8的哈姆卡姆多。Haugesund也产生了1.13个xG——远远超过了游客!在此之前，他们失去了一支统治队，Bodo/Glimt在路上，在投注市场上是巨大的弱者。博多队以8分的优势领先维京队。豪格松打得很好，有8次射门。直到第54分钟，他们还以2比1领先。腓特烈斯塔德在上一场主场对阵奥斯陆KFUM的比赛中拿到了一分。Frekrikstad在xG确实创造了更多的机会，但是他们的进攻——再一次——令人失望。他们是夺冠的大热门，但没有进球。在此之前，腓特烈斯塔德2-2战平罗森堡。主队的胜率在1.90分左右，但客队的控球率为58%，在xG上的得分更高。最后我想提一下，根据Transfermarkt.com，一个知名的消息来源，弗雷德里克斯塔德在估计的球队市场价值方面稍微大一些，大约1140万欧元，大约1060万欧元。