7/7 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-08-13
比赛分析
解读理由
Royale Union SG vs Slavia Prague
Royale Union welcome Slavia Prague SG for this UEFA Champions League Qualification round 3 second leg battle at Lotto Park in Anderlecht very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind can expect a match of rather mediocre quality by this competition's 3rd round standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity! We have won a great seven picks in a row betting on this league! The hosts are a Belgian team, the visitors come from Czechia. Let's take a closer look at this fascinating match betting-wise...
Slavia took a 3-1 win in the first leg. Yes, they deserved to win but the visitors still recorded eight goal attempts – the Czechs managed 13 and had more shots on goal. Both teams had five shots off goal. Union SG recorded more attacks – 158-149. There is no denying that I was a bit disappointed with the Belgians' performance as a whole. On the other hand, Slavia are known as a strong home team in international competitions. However, I do not believe for one second that the hosts have given up! Slavia can lose this game by a margin of one goal and still qualify. I want to emphasize that this affects the probabilities significantly here! The visitors will surely not want to just "enter the pitch and try to play cautious, risk-free football – ie. Aim at a draw" but there is long-term data suggesting that - in reality - this very often impossible to avoid.. In most football matches the team trailing – by a margin of one or two goals - has a higher goal expectancy than they would have if the score were level.. Moreover, Slavia are not at their best when defending - against formidable opponents. No, the Union SG fans are not among the loudest in Europe but I expect the atmosphere at the stadium to be great here.. Neither team have an ideal situation in terms of absentees here. Indeed, the hosts will be without Burgess, Fuseini and Sykes. Slavia will miss Chaloupek, Ogunbayi, Stanek, Tomic, Vicek and Zmrzly. With the expected lineups, taking the aggregate score and substantial home advantage into account, I see the hosts having a 55% chance of winning. Odds of around 2.10 are available. Union SG have won four of their last five competitive home games..
Let's not forget that the Belgian Jupiler Pro League is, on average, of much better quality than the Czech Chance Liga. Slavia, Sparta Prague are the best teams - Plzen are a pretty good team, but the rest of the teams are, in all honesty, pretty lowly.. Getting to play a larger number of challenging games than Slavia benefits the Belgians here.. Both teams have played four competitive games this season. Union SG have won 2/4, Slavia have won all four. Yes, Union SG were far from their best against Westerlo three days ago. They lost to Westerlo on the road 3-4. However, they still recorded 14 goal attempts, four big scoring chances and 2.40 in expected goals (xG). The hosts managed more of each three though. It was an entertaining game but Union SG will have to improve defensively to beat Slavia – and I trust the players and their head coach to deliver! Before losing in Prague, Union SG took a deserved 3-1 home win over Beerschot at home. They recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target. In the first competitive game of the season Union SG beat the reigning champions of Belgium, Club Brugge KV, 2-1 at Jan Breydel Stadion in Brugge as underdogs on the betting market! It was a Super Cup Final and a fine win for Union SG. Union SG took 2nd place in the Jupiler Pro League last season, just one point behind Club Brugge. A big team, Anderlecht finished in 3rd place. Sparta Prague won the (at the time) Fortuna Liga by a margin of two points before Slavia last season. Slavia took 85 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) was somewhat lower. They scored 76 goals – six goals less than Sparta. In their last game they comfortably beat SK Sigma Olomouc, a lowly team, 2-0 at home. Slavia defended well -suffocating the visitors' lame attacks but recorded "only" 1.54 in xG. Before beating Union SG, Slavia defeated Liberec 1-0 away from home as very clear favourites but were very lame offensively. The hosts generated more in xG and also had 57% ball possession, more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks.
GOOD LUCK!
该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
皇家联盟vs布拉格斯拉维亚
北京时间周三凌晨,皇家联盟将在安德莱赫特的洛托公园球场迎来欧冠资格赛第三轮次回合对战布拉格斯拉维亚。足球爱好者和我们这些着眼长远利益的严肃投注者可以期待一场质量相当平庸的比赛,以本届比赛第三轮的标准来看。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们已经赢得了一个伟大的连续七个选秀权投注这个联盟!东道主是比利时队,客队来自捷克。让我们来仔细看看这场精彩的比赛。
斯拉维亚队在第一回合以3-1获胜。是的,他们理应获胜,但客队仍然有8次射门——捷克人有13次射门,而且射门次数更多。两队都有五次射偏。联盟SG记录了更多的攻击- 158-149。不可否认,我对比利时人的整体表现有点失望。另一方面,斯拉维亚在国际比赛中以强大的主队而闻名。然而,我一刻也不相信东道主已经放弃了!斯拉维亚可能以一球之差输掉这场比赛,但仍能晋级。我想强调的是,这对概率的影响很大!客队肯定不愿意“一上场就小心翼翼地踢无风险的足球”。但长期数据表明,在现实中,这往往是无法避免的……在大多数足球比赛中,落后一到两个球的球队比比分持平时的进球预期要高。此外,在面对强大的对手时,斯拉维亚的防守状态也不是最好的。不,圣日耳曼的球迷不是欧洲最大声的,但我希望球场的气氛会很好。两支球队的缺阵情况都不理想。事实上,东道主将没有伯吉斯、富塞尼和赛克斯。斯拉夫将会错过查鲁佩克、奥贡巴伊、斯坦内克、托米奇、维切克和兹姆兹利。根据预期的阵容,考虑到总比分和巨大的主场优势,我认为东道主有55%的获胜机会。赔率在2.10左右。联合SG在最近5场主场比赛中赢了4场。
让我们不要忘记,比利时的Jupiler职业联赛,平均而言,比捷克的机会联赛质量要好得多。斯拉维亚,布拉格斯巴达是最好的球队,Plzen是一支不错的球队,但是其他的球队,说实话,都很低…比斯拉维亚打更多有挑战性的比赛对比利时人有利。这两支球队本赛季已经打了四场正式比赛。联盟SG 4胜2负,斯拉维亚4胜全胜。是的,三天前联合SG对维斯特洛的比赛远没有达到最佳状态。他们客场3-4不敌维斯特洛。然而,他们仍然有14次进球尝试,4次进球机会和2.40个期望进球(xG)。东道主在三场比赛中都取得了更多的进球。这是一场有趣的比赛,但是联盟SG必须提高防守才能击败斯拉维亚——我相信球员和他们的主教练能做到!在布拉格输球之前,瑞士联合SG在主场以3-1大胜啤酒。他们记录了更多的进球尝试、射正和射偏。在本赛季的第一场正式比赛中,联盟SG在布鲁日的简布雷德尔球场以2比1击败了比利时卫冕冠军布鲁日俱乐部KV,在博彩市场上处于劣势!这是一场超级杯决赛,也是一场伟大的胜利。上个赛季,联合SG在木星职业联赛中排名第二,仅落后布鲁日一分。安德莱赫特是一支豪门球队,排名第三。上个赛季,布拉格斯巴达队比斯拉维亚队领先两分,赢得了(当时的)Fortuna联赛。斯拉维亚获得85分,但他们的期望分数(xPTS)略低。他们进了76球,比斯巴达少6球。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以2比0轻松击败了实力较弱的sksigma Olomouc。斯拉维亚防守很好,让客队无力的进攻窒息而死,但在xG的得分“只有”1.54。在击败联合SG之前,斯拉维亚在客场1-0击败了利贝雷茨,他们是非常明显的热门,但在进攻上却很差劲。主队在全场比赛中创造了更多的机会,控球率也达到57%,进球次数、射正、射外、进攻和危险进攻都更多。
好运!
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