Tapio头像
外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
  • 2

    方案

  • 17

    粉丝

A FINE math to bet on! $$$ 荷甲 乌德勒支VS兹沃勒

2024-08-11

比赛分析

解读理由

FC Utrecht VS PEC Zwolle



Utrecht welcome Zwolle for this Eredivisie round 1 clash at Stadion Galgenwaard Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the 1st tier of Dutch football.The level of this league is high average by European standards, however it is still much worse than the top-4 leagues. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of pretty mediocre quality by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! As this is the opening round we have to take a look at last season's results and statistics to determine the probabilities here. In the 2023-2024 season Utrecht took 14 points more than Zwolle. The hosts scored 49 goals – Zwolle, on the other hand, netted the ball 45 times. In terms of defensive quality the difference was gigantic in Utrechts's favour, of course, they allowed only 47 goals. Zwolle conceded a whopping 67 goals! It is hard to mention anything positive about their defence. It lacked individual skill, physical strength and also had a poor structure – for this level. I expect the same this season.. I would not be very surprised if Zwolle relegated to the Eerste Divisie for next season.. To sum up, Zwolle cannot match the hosts in any area of the game. With the expected lineups – taking the substantial home advantage into account - a home win is very probable here! The fans wanting to go for bigger odds – the -1.5 goals handicap option is a good choice. The chance of winning is 51.50%.


According to a well-known and respected German source, Transfermarkt.com, Utrecht are the bigger team here – by a very substantial margin! Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated total of around 39 million euros! This is still too low though. Some 44-46 million would be a more accurate number.. The Zwolle squad, on the other hand, is valued at around 17 million euros – which is still a little too high. The teams last locked horns in April and Utrecht crushed Zwolle 5-1 at home – in front of loud home fans. It was a dominant performance as a whole. Indeed the hosts recorded many more goal attempts (18-5), shots on goal (7-2), shots off target (7-1), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 56-14. 14 dangerous attacks is a very low number in professional football. This is the first competitive game of the season for both teams. Zwolle lost four of their five preseason friendlies. Utrecht, on the other hand, took four wins in the seven friendly games in the summer, despite facing mainly pretty tricky opponents! In July they even beat Lens 2-1. Lens are a quite big French team that defeated Arsenal, on of the best teams in the world, in the UEFA Champions League last season.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

乌得勒支队VS兹沃勒队



乌得勒支欢迎兹沃勒参加北京时间周日晚上在加尔根沃德球场举行的欧冠第一轮比赛。这是荷兰足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是很高的,但它仍然比前四强联赛差得多。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的赌徒可以期待一场以联赛标准来看质量相当平庸的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!由于这是第一轮,我们必须看看上赛季的结果和数据来确定这里的可能性。在2023-2024赛季,乌得勒支比兹沃勒多拿了14分。东道主打进49球,而兹沃勒则打进45球。就防守质量而言,乌得勒支队的优势是巨大的,当然,他们只丢了47个球。兹沃勒丢了67个球!很难对他们的防守提出任何积极的评价。它缺乏个人技术,体力,而且结构也很差——对于这个级别来说。我希望这个赛季也是如此。如果兹沃勒下赛季降级到乙级联赛,我不会感到非常惊讶。总而言之,兹沃勒在比赛的任何领域都无法与东道主匹敌。按照预期的阵容——考虑到主场的优势——主场获胜是很有可能的!球迷想要更大的赔率-1.5个进球障碍选项是一个不错的选择。获胜的几率是51.50%。


根据德国知名且受人尊敬的消息来源Transfermarkt.com,乌得勒支在这里是一支更大的球队——以非常大的差距!事实上,他们的球员估计总价值约为3900万欧元!但这仍然太低了。更准确的数字是4400万到4600万。另一方面,兹沃勒队的价值约为1700万欧元,这仍然有点太高了。两队上一次交锋是在今年4月,乌得勒支在主场5比1击败兹沃勒,而且是在主场球迷的欢呼声中。总的来说,这是一场占主导地位的表演。事实上,东道主的进球次数(18胜5负)、射正次数(7胜2负)、射偏次数(7胜1负)、角球次数、进攻和危险进攻次数(56胜14负)更多。14次危险进攻在职业足球中是很低的数字。这是两队本赛季的第一场正式比赛。兹沃勒在五场季前赛中输掉了四场。另一方面,乌得勒支队在夏天的7场友谊赛中取得了4场胜利,尽管面对的对手大多是相当棘手的对手!7月,他们甚至以2比1击败了蓝斯。朗斯是一支相当强大的法国球队,上赛季在欧洲冠军联赛中击败了世界上最好的球队之一阿森纳。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。