Fortuna Dusseldorf VS Karlsruher SC

Dusseldorf welcome Karlsruher SC for this German 2. Bundesliga round battle at Merkur Spiel-Arena Saturday evening Beijing time. The level of this league is extremely high – for a second tier I mean. Many teams have fancy stadiums, with a big maximum capacity. Indeed, only the English Championship is of higher quality! Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of significantly better than average quality by this league's standards here! Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity to make even more money betting on German football. My fans and I have won seven of the last eight picks betting on this league! As this is only the 2nd round we have to take a look at last season's results and statistics to best estimate the probabilities here.. Dusseldorf played a very strong last season, ending up in 3rd place with a fine 63 points to their account! Their score difference was the best in this league – 72:40! The 72 scored was 10 goals more than the eventual 2. Bundesliga winners, St. Pauli managed to score! Indeed, Dusseldorf will surely score a lot of goals this season as well! Their defence is quite elite level in this league but it still not bad either.. Dusseldorf have a strong chance of being promoted to the Bundesliga for next season. This league is often pretty balanced (top-6) though.. They came very close to that last season as already! Indeed, they crushed Bochum, a Bundesliga team, in the 1st leg of the Relegation Final 3-0 away from home as solid underdogs on the betting market. They recorded more goal attempts and shots on goal (8-3). They also generated more in expected goals (xG) – 2.43-1.15 to be precise. However, they could not handle the pressure - or perhaps excitement of being close to being promoted -  in the 2nd leg, losing 0-4 at home. However, we must remember that Bochum also played extremely well in this game. They, in a way, had "nothing to lose" and kept pushing like crazy right from the beginning, taking big risks.. They reached a "flow state" - silencing the home fans.. However, let's remember that we are talking about a (at the time) Bundesliga team, with lots of experience of tough games..  However, the final score is very misleading - the xG numbers were 2.04-2.65 in the visitors' favour. I see Dusseldorf getting this close to beating Bochum a positive indicator - not negative as it was described in the German football media after the 2nd leg.. Dusseldorf are surely very annoyed by the promotion slipping away like this but they will surely be fired up to go for direct promotion (top-2) this season.. Karlsruher played a pretty strong season as well, ending up in 5th place with 55 points. However, they were weaker than Dusseldorf in all areas of the game and this should be the case this season as well.. Karlsruher scored 68 goals last season but their number of xG was "only" 62.45. Their defence was not solid at all! Their defenders made a lot of silly mistakes and the team also took way too big risks in many games last season. I do not see them improving in this area of the game..

The home advantage is substantial here as some 50 000 home fans are expected to be at the stadium cheering for their team! This is a very high number by 2. Bundesliga standards! Taking this factor into account - with the expected lineups – the odds of over 1.80 offered by the biggest bookies are too high! We will eagerly place a bet on Dusseldorf - going for the 6th winner in a row! I expect them to be aggressive right from the kickoff – putting big pressure on the visitors' rather shaky defence.. Let's also remember that according to a well-known and respected German source, Transfermarkt.com, Dusseldorf are the bigger team here – by a wide margin. Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated total of over 31 million euros. This is still too low though! The Karlsruher squad is valued at around 15 million euros – which is more or less correct. Karlsruher have not won any of the last 10 games between the two teams! However, I would say that only the ones being played in 2021-2024 are actually relevant – to some extent at least.. The teams last locked horns in February at BBBank Wildpark and it was a 2-2 draw after a pretty balanced clash as a whole. Dusseldorf did generate a little more in xG though – 1.43-1.23 - though. At home Dusseldorf took a fine 3-1 win after recording 19 goal attempts and much more in xG than Karlsruher..

In the opening round Karlsruher beat Nurnberg 3-2 at home as very clear favourites – priced around 1.55 to win by the bookies. However, both teams generated 1.88 in xG. Both teams had the same number of shots on target – 5.. The ball possession was 51-49% and Karlsruher had one more goal attempt.. Despite the win I was not impressed with Karlsruher's performance as a whole.  They were pretty imbalanced on the pitch for a big part of the 90 minutes.. Dusseldorf were excellent, even better than I would have expected, in round one, beating Darmstadt 2-0 on the road! Darmstadt played in the Bundesliga last season.. Yes, Darmstadt, of course, had some scoring chances but Dusseldorf generated much more in xG – 1.67-0.82 to be precise. Before this Dusseldorf beat Ipswich in a friendly at Portman Road in Ipswich 2-1 after a fine performance!  I want to mention that Ipswich were promoted to the best league in the world for this season. Dusseldorf were priced around 3.50-3.80 to win at the time of kickoff.

GOOD LUCK!

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

杜塞尔多夫VS卡尔斯鲁厄

杜塞尔多夫欢迎卡尔斯鲁厄SC为德国2。北京时间周六晚，德甲联赛在默克斯皮尔竞技场进行了一轮激战。这个联赛的水平是非常高的——我是说对于一个二线球队来说。许多球队都有华丽的体育场，最大容量很大。的确，只有英冠的质量比它高!足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场明显高于联赛平均水平的比赛!最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有前途的投注机会，可以在德国足球上赚更多的钱。我和我的球迷在过去的8次选秀中赢了7次!由于这只是第二轮，我们必须看看上赛季的结果和数据来最好地估计这里的可能性。杜塞尔多夫上赛季踢得非常强，以63分的积分排名第三!他们的比分差距是联盟中最大的——72:40!72比最终的2多进了10个球。德甲冠军，圣保利成功进球!的确，杜塞尔多夫本赛季也一定会进很多球!他们的防守在这个联盟中是相当精英水平的，但也不差。杜塞尔多夫很有可能在下赛季升入德甲。这个联盟通常是相当平衡的(前6名)。他们上个赛季已经非常接近了!事实上，他们在保级决赛首回合客场3比0击败了德甲球队波鸿队，在博彩市场上是绝对的弱者。他们的射门次数和射门次数更多(8胜3负)。他们也产生了更多的预期进球(xG)——准确地说是2.43-1.15。然而，他们无法承受第二回合的压力——或者可能是即将升班马的兴奋——在主场0-4输掉了比赛。然而，我们必须记住波鸿在这场比赛中也踢得非常好。在某种程度上，他们“没有什么可失去的”，从一开始就疯狂地推进，冒着很大的风险……他们达到了一种“流动状态”——主场球迷鸦雀无声。然而，让我们记住，我们谈论的是一支(当时)德甲球队，有很多艰苦的比赛经验……然而，最终的比分很容易误导人——xG的数字是2.04-2.65，这对客队有利。我认为杜塞尔多夫如此接近击败波鸿是一个积极的信号，而不是德国足球媒体在第二回合后所描述的消极信号。杜塞尔多夫肯定会对这样失去升班权感到恼火，但他们肯定会为本赛季直接升班权(前二)而兴奋不已。卡尔斯鲁厄的表现也相当强劲，最终以55分排名第五。然而，他们在比赛的各个方面都弱于杜塞尔多夫，本赛季应该也是如此。卡尔斯鲁厄上赛季打进68球，但他们的进球“只有”62.45个。他们的防守一点也不牢固!他们的后卫犯了很多愚蠢的错误，球队在上赛季的许多比赛中也冒了太大的风险。我没有看到他们在这方面有进步。

主场优势是巨大的，因为大约5万名主场球迷预计将在体育场为他们的球队加油!这是一个非常大的数。德甲标准!考虑到这个因素，加上预期的阵容，最大的博彩公司提供的超过1.80的赔率太高了!我们将热切地把赌注押在杜塞尔多夫-连续第六次获胜!我希望他们从开球开始就有侵略性，给客队摇摇欲坠的防线施加巨大的压力。让我们也记住，根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国消息来源，Transfermarkt.com，杜塞尔多夫在这里是更大的球队-以很大的差距。事实上，他们的球员估计总价值超过3100万欧元。这仍然太低了!卡尔斯鲁厄队的身价约为1500万欧元，这或多或少是正确的。卡尔斯鲁厄在两队之间的最近10场比赛中没有赢过一场!然而，我想说的是，只有2021-2024年的比赛才是真正相关的——至少在某种程度上…这两支球队上一次交锋是在2月份的BBBank Wildpark，在一场相当平衡的交锋之后，双方以2比2战平。杜塞尔多夫在xG中产生了更多的数据——1.43-1.23。在主场，杜塞尔多夫在19次射门后以3-1完胜，比卡尔斯鲁厄多得多。

在首轮比赛中，卡尔斯鲁厄主场3-2击败纽伦堡，成为夺冠热门，博彩公司开出的赔率约为1.55。然而，两支球队在xG上的得分都是1.88。两队都有

同样的射门次数- 5…控球率是51比49%，卡尔斯鲁厄还有一次射门机会。尽管取得了胜利，但我对卡尔斯鲁厄的整体表现并不满意。在90分钟的大部分时间里，他们在球场上都很不平衡。杜塞尔多夫非常出色，甚至比我预想的还要好，他们在第一轮客场2:0击败了达姆施塔特!达姆施塔特上赛季在德甲踢球。是的，达姆施塔特当然有一些得分机会，但杜塞尔多夫在xG创造了更多的机会——准确地说是1.67-0.82。在此之前，杜塞尔多夫在伊普斯维奇波特曼路的一场友谊赛中以2-1击败了伊普斯维奇。我想提一下，伊普斯维奇本赛季升入了世界上最好的联赛。在开球时，杜塞尔多夫队的胜率在3.50-3.80左右。

好运！