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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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We are VERY HOT! $$$ 挪超 汉坎VS维京

2024-08-04

比赛分析

解读理由

Ham-Kam VS Viking



HamKam welcome Viking for this Norwegian Eliteserien round 17 battle at Briskeby Arena in Hamar very late Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Norwegian football. The Eliteserien is of somewhat mediocre level by European standards. A game of pretty average quality by this league's standards is expected here.. Most importantly, us serious bettors - with a long-term profit in mind - have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won six games in a row betting on the Eliteserien here! I have previewed two other games on this league for Sunday! A free pick for all platform users is available on the Swedish Allsvenskan! Viking are better team by pure class here by a wide margin! They have also been in better form than the hosts lately.. Let's take a closer look..


HamKam have slightly declined from last season when they finished in 11th place with 34 points. Viking, on the other hand, played very well last season, ending up in 4th place! They took a great 58 points, just three less than Bran (2nd place) and Tromso (3rd place). It was a fine achievement from this club with pretty good overall financial resources, a pretty strong fan-base and success in the past.. I expect a decent number of Viking fans to be at the stadium cheering for their team here! Let's also remember that Viking took 10 points more than a very strong team, Molde, who even qualified for the Conference League Playoffs last season! Viking are playing yet another very strong season and are in 2nd place in the league table. They have grabbed a fine 30 points! The teams who finish in the top-2 qualify for the UEFA Champions League Qualification next season. The teams who finished 3rd and 4th will qualify for the UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification. Viking have a genuine chance of taking a top-2 place and are pushing hard to achieve this. It would mean a lot to the players and the club.. They have scored "only" 25 goals and their offense does lack some individual skill and creativity compared to Bodo/Glimt (40 points and 41 goals scored) -  and to some extent to Molde, 4th place and 32 goals. However, Viking's number of expected goals (xG) is still 28.67. The Viking defence is well-structured – they have allowed only 17 goals in this league! Only Bodo/Glimt and Fredrikstad have allowed less goals – 16 to be precise. The HamKam offense lacks basically everything needed to do well at this level. They have netted only 18 goals, only Stromsgodset have scored less goals. They played pretty passive but well-organized football and have conceded only 18 goals. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is much bigger – 23.11 to be precise. I would also like to mention that according to a well-known and respected source, a German website Transfermarkt.com, Viking are the bigger team here - by a very clear margin! Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated around 14.50 million euros – this is clearly too low though. Around 19 million would be a more realistic number.. The HamKam, on the other hand, is valued at only 7.7 million euros. This is a very low number by the Eliteserien standards! HamKam are not even safe from relegation to the OBOS-Ligaen.. Indeed, the last two teams are relegated directly.. The team that ends up in 14th place will face a team from the 2nd tier to decide which team gets to play in the Eliteserien next season.. Sandefjord, in last place, have taken 16 points..


Viking and HamKam last locked horns in May and Viking crushed the visitors 3-0 at SR-Bank Arena in Stavanger. Viking had 68% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (19-10), shots on goal, shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. Last season HamKam beat Viking 3-0 at home but the result is massively misleading. Indeed, the visitors recorded a whopping 28 goal attempts! They also generated much more in xG – 2.67-1.55 to be precise. This result probably affects the odds too much here.. HamKam have been very poor at home in this league this season! They have won only one game in front of their pretty lame fans.. Indeed, the home advantage is smaller than usual here.. Their score difference at home in Eliteserien is 8:14. Odds of around 2.25 are available on the Viking win at the time of posting and we will take it! My fans and I have a 54% chance of winning – once again! I trust their excellent coach, Jensen, a lot to keep his team on a positive path! 


In their last game Viking beat Molde 1-0 at home as slim underdogs on the betting market. Molde had one more goal attempt though – Viking recorded one more shot on target. I was impressed with the way Viking "suffocated " Molde's very dangerous offense! The Viking offense lacked some creativity though.. However, I want to emphasize that in the second half, after Bjorshol's goal in the 47th minute, Viking mainly concentrated on securing a win.. Before this they were unlucky to lose to Haugesund 0-1 away from home. Viking had 71% ball possession but could not break Haugesund's defensive "wall" Haugesund defended much better than usual in this game. They, however, recorded only 18 dangerous attacks – Viking managed 85! They also generated more in xG. In round 14 Viking beat Kristiansund 2-0 at home. They recorded nine shots on target – visitors had just one! In round 13 Viking faced KFUM Oslo on the road, deservedly winning 2-1 as slim favourites. They recorded many more goal attempts and also generated more in xG. In round 12 Viking beat a big but underperforming team, Rosenborg, 4-2 after a fine offensive performance! Rosenborg defended poorly though. 


HamKam have won one of their last three games.  In their most recent match they lost to a newly-promoted team, Fredrikstad, 0-1 at home, recording only two shots on target. HamKam were narrow favourites according to the bookies in this game but were lame. The visitors recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this HamKam beat Odd, currently in 15th place, 2-1 away from home. However, both teams recorded 1.33 in xG, the visitors had one more goal attempt but Odd recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks. I was not very impressed with HamKam's performance as a whole.. In round 13 HamKam "stole" a point from Tromso at home. They were priced around 2.30 to win by the bookies, which was almost hilariously too low! Indeed, they had no big scoring chances.. Tromso also recorded many more touches in the opponent's penalty box – 26-14 to be precise. HamKam also generated only 0.22 in xG – Tromso recorded much more! HamKam's Sjolstad was sent off in the 69th minute though. However, HamKam were lame - especially offensively - even before the red card.. In round 12 they did beat Sandeffjord 2-1 away from home but their performance did not excite me as a whole.. Both teams had four shots on goal and HamKam managed only 25 dangerous attacks. Either team could easily have won..



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

咸锦VS维京人



北京时间周日上午晚些时候,哈姆卡姆在哈马尔的布里斯比竞技场欢迎维京人参加挪威精英赛第17轮比赛。这是挪威足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准,精英队的水平有些平庸。按照联盟的标准,这是一场质量相当一般的比赛。最重要的是,我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——在这里还有另一个非常有利可图的投注机会!我们在这里赌精英赛赢了六场!我已经预演了周日联赛的另外两场比赛!所有平台用户都可以在瑞典Allsvenskan上免费挑选!从纯粹的阶级来看,维京人是一支更好的球队!他们最近的状态也比东道主好。让我们仔细看看……


哈姆卡姆上赛季以34分的成绩排在第11位,与上赛季相比略有下降。维京人,另一方面,上赛季打得很好,以第四名结束!他们获得了58分,仅比布兰(第二名)和特罗姆瑟(第三名)少3分。这是一个很好的成就,从这个俱乐部有相当好的整体财政资源,一个相当强大的球迷基础和过去的成功…我预计会有相当数量的维京球迷在体育场为他们的球队加油!让我们也记住维京人比一个非常强大的球队莫尔德多拿了10分,莫尔德上赛季甚至有资格进入联盟季后赛!维京人又打了一个非常强劲的赛季,在联赛中排名第二。他们被罚了30分!进入前2名的球队有资格参加下赛季的欧洲冠军联赛资格赛。获得第三名和第四名的球队将有资格参加欧联杯资格赛。维京人有真正的机会取得前2名的位置,并正在努力实现这一目标。这对球员和俱乐部来说意义重大。他们“只”进了25个球,与博多/格里姆特(40分41球)相比,他们的进攻确实缺乏一些个人技术和创造力,在某种程度上也比不上排名第四的莫尔德(32球)。然而,维京人的预期进球数(xG)仍然是28.67。维京人的防守结构很好——他们在这个联赛中只丢了17个球!只有博多/格里姆特和弗雷德里克斯塔德丢了更少的球——准确地说是16个。哈姆卡姆的进攻基本上缺乏在这个水平上取得好成绩所需要的一切。他们只进了18个球,只有斯特罗姆塞特的进球数比他们少。他们踢得很被动,但组织得很好,只丢了18个球。然而,他们的预期进球数(xGA)要大得多——准确地说是23.11。我还想提一下,根据一个知名和受人尊敬的消息来源,一个德国网站Transfermarkt.com,维京是这里更大的球队-以非常明显的优势!事实上,他们球员的身价估计在1450万欧元左右——这显然太低了。1900万是更现实的数字。另一方面,哈姆卡姆的价值仅为770万欧元。按照精英大学的标准,这是一个非常低的数字!哈姆卡姆甚至不能保证降级到OBOS-Ligaen…事实上,最后两支球队都直接降级了。排在第14名的球队将面对来自第二梯队的球队,以决定谁能参加下赛季的精英赛。最后一名的桑德峡湾(Sandefjord)得了16分。


维京人和哈姆卡姆上一次交锋是在5月份,维京人在斯塔万格的SR-Bank竞技场以3比0击败了客队。维京人有68%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数(19胜10负)、射正、射偏、角球、进攻和危险进攻。上个赛季汉姆卡姆在主场3-0击败了维京人,但结果是巨大的误导。事实上,客队的射门次数高达28次!它们在xG(2.67-1.55)中也产生了更多。这个结果可能对这里的赔率影响太大了。哈姆卡姆本赛季在这个联赛的主场表现很差!在他们蹩脚的球迷面前,他们只赢了一场比赛。的确,主场优势比平时要小。他们在主场的比分差距是8:14。大约2.25的赔率是在发布的时候维京人的胜利,我们将采取它!我和我的粉丝有54%的机会再一次获胜!我非常信任他们优秀的教练詹森,他能让球队走在积极向上的道路上!


在他们的上一场比赛中,维京人在主场以1比0击败了莫尔德队,在博彩市场上他们是微弱的劣势。不过莫尔德还有一次进球尝试——维京人又一次射正了球门。我对维京人“窒息”莫的方式印象深刻

他的进攻很危险!不过维京人的进攻缺乏一些创造力。然而,我想强调的是,在下半场,在比约肖尔第47分钟进球后,维京人主要集中精力确保胜利。在此之前,他们不幸在客场0-1输给豪格松。维京队有71%的控球率,但无法突破豪格松德的防守“墙”,豪格松德在这场比赛中的防守比平时好得多。然而,他们只记录了18次危险的攻击——维京人有85次!他们在xG中也产生了更多。在第14轮比赛中,维京人在主场以2:0击败克里斯蒂安桑德。他们有9次射正,而客队只有1次!在第13轮比赛中,维京队在客场面对奥斯陆KFUM队,以2-1的微弱优势当之无愧地获胜。他们记录了更多的进球尝试,也产生了更多的xG。在第12轮比赛中,维京人在出色的进攻表现后,以4比2击败了一支实力强大但表现不佳的球队——罗森堡队!不过罗森伯格的辩护很糟糕。


哈姆卡姆在最近三场比赛中赢了一场。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场以0比1输给了新进球队腓特烈斯塔德(Fredrikstad),仅有2次射正。在这场比赛中,根据博彩公司的说法,哈姆卡姆是最受欢迎的,但表现不佳。客队的进球次数、射门次数、角球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都有所增加。在此之前,汉姆卡姆客场2-1击败了目前排名第15位的奥德。然而,两队在xG上都取得了1.33的进球,客队多了一个进球尝试,但奇数的进攻和危险进攻更多。从整体上看,我对哈姆卡姆的表演印象不太好。在第13轮比赛中,哈姆卡姆在主场从特罗姆瑟那里“偷走”了一分。博彩公司给他们的胜率定在2.30左右,这简直太低了!事实上,他们没有大的得分机会。特罗姆瑟在对方禁区内的触球次数也更多,准确地说是26比14。HamKam在xG中也只产生了0.22,而特罗姆瑟的记录要多得多!哈姆卡姆的绍尔斯塔德在第69分钟被罚下。然而,即使在红牌之前,汉姆卡姆的表现也很差劲,尤其是在进攻端。在第12轮,他们确实在客场2-1击败了桑福德,但他们的表现并没有让我感到兴奋。两队都有4次射门,哈姆卡姆只有25次危险进攻。任何一个队都可以轻松获胜。

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