6/6 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-08-04
比赛分析
解读理由
Rosenborg VS Tromso IL
Rosenborg and Tromso lock horns in this Norwegian Eliteserien round 17 battle at Lerkendal Stadion in Trondheim early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Norwegian football. The Eliteserien is of mediocre level by European standards. A match of marginally better than average quality by this league's standards is on the cards here.. Most importantly, us serious, profit-hungry bettors have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won six games in a row betting on this league here! I have previewed another game on this league for Sunday.. A free pick for all platform users is available on the Swedish Allsvenskan! Tromso are definitely the better team by pure class here. They have also been in better form than the hosts recently! Roserborg were the dominant force in Norwegian football about 20 years ago.. Even so, in recent years they have mostly been disappointing – taking into account their vast overall financial resources – and the list of players. They did take 3rd place in 2022 though Players – not always but often - even declined at Rosenborg – or at least did not improve significantly.. Moreover, they do not usually play well as a team.. According to my sources their team spirit is not too good at the moment.. Well, that is pretty easy to believe as they are playing an abysmal season! Indeed, they currently occupy the 11th place at the moment in the league with a total of 16 clubs.. However, Haugesund, who are playing at the time of writing this analysis, could topple Rosenborg! Rosenborg are, quite incredibly, not even safe from relegation to the OBOS-Ligaen.. Indeed, the last two teams are relegated directly. The team that ends up in 14th place will face a team from the 2nd tier to decide which team gets to play in the Eliteserien next season. The rock-bottom team, Sandefjord, have grabbed 16 points.. Rosenborg have only 18 points to their account.
Rosenborg have no obvious strengths or weaknesses in their game – they are simply very mediocre in all areas of the game. Their offense is still a little bit better than defence – compared to the other mediocre teams.. They have netted the ball 18 times and have conceded 29 goals. Yes, Roserborg have the potential to improve but the bookies give this potential clearly too much emphasis here.. Indeed, the odds of around 2.05 – currently offered by the biggest bookies on the home win – are way too low! The atmosphere in Rosenberg's home games was – at times – ecstatic in their glory days – but this is not the case anymore.. In their last home game in this league, against Odd in July, there were some 10400 spectators at the stadium. The maximum capacity of Lerkendal Stadion is over 20 000. However, the home advantage must be taken into account of course.. The hosts will be without Henriksen – Augustinsson, Nelson and Pereira are questionable at the time of writing this analysis. As for Tromso, Koskela is injured. Rosenborg have had a week to prepare for this game. Tromso, on the other hand, played on Thursday local time. Having only two full days between two games is not optimal in professional football, of course, but I want to highlight that it was a pretty easy game physically and mentally for Tromso! Indeed, they beat a Finnish team, KuPS 1-0 in an UEFA Europa Conference League second leg clash. As it was a home game there was no traveling for Tromso to do.. The Norwegians qualified for the 3rd round of qualification 2-0 on aggregate. The tempo in this game was surprisingly low for most of the 90 minutes. Tromso, as expected, allowed KuPS to have 58% ball possession but defended very well and KuPS, a much worse team than Tromso, were not able to do much with the ball.. Their number of expected goals (xG) was low. Tromso's L. Nordås missed a penalty in the 3rd minute. Tromso recorded many more goal attempts (12-5), shots on target (6-2) and shots off goal. To sum up, Rosenborg deserve to be only narrow favourites here - the Tromso +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here!
The hosts have won only one of their last five competitive games.. Yes, on the 15th of July they beat Manchester United 1-0 at home in a friendly game. However, ManU were in the middle of the preseason and had a very "weird/unusual/weak starting lineup! They also made 10 substitutions at halftime.. Players like Hugill, Aljofree and Amass entered the pitch! Rosenborg were priced only around 3.40-3.65 to win the game at the time of kickoff. Odds dropped a lot when ManU's (starting) lineup was published. Indeed, the home win was not a big surprise and I will give this result very little emphasis.. In their last game Rosenborg faced Fredrikstad, a newly-promoted team, away from home and it was a 2-2 draw. The visitors had 58% ball possession but the hosts recorded more goal attempts – 8-6. Both teams had two shots on target. Before beating ManU, Rosenborg were crushed by Sarpsborg, currently in 13th place, 4-1! Yes, the final score flatters Sarpsborg but Rosenborg were abysmal defensively! Before this they beat Odd 2-1 at home as very clear favourites – priced around 1.60 to win by the bookies. The ball possession was 52-48% and Rosenborg generated marginally more in xG – 0.87-0.85. They recorded one more shot on goal - 2-1. Both teams had just one big scoring chance. Despite the win I did not like Rosnborg's performance as a whole. Their odds were – once again – too low on the betting market. The disappointing Odd are currently in 15th place in the standings. In round 12 Rosenborg lost to Viking in Stavanger 2-4. They looked extremely imbalanced on the pitch most of the 90 minutes. Some of the Rosenborg players looked even a little lazy - as well as very annoyed - on the pitch in this game, especially after Viking's Z. Tripic's 3-1 goal.. Laziness is, of course, never a good indicator in professional football.. Viking had 59% ball possession and recorded more shots on goal and shots off target.
Tromso finished in 3rd place in the Eliteserien last season! That was a fine achievement from this club with significant overall financial resources, a significant fan-base and a lot of success in the past.. Let's not forget that they took 10 points more than Molde, who even qualified for the Conference League Playoffs last season! This season has, however, been more challenging for Tromso.. Even so, they have improved recently, losing just one of their last seven matches! They are in 10th place in the Eliteserien at the time of writing this analysis - with 18 points after 16 rounds of play but their number of xPTS is much higher – 22.67 to be precise. Their offense, has in all honesty, been a disappointment, lacking creativity and passing accuracy near the opponent's goal.. Sometimes their attacks have also been too slow and predictable which has made it (too) easy for the opponent to organize the defence. They have scored only 18 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is still 23.44 They can significantly improve in this area of the game! The Tromso defence has been okay this season – they have allowed 25 goals in the Eliteserien. However, I want to mention that they have not allowed a single goal in their last three games! The first leg in Kuopio was a pretty balanced clash as a whole but Tromso proved their class, taking a 1-0 win through L. Nordås' goal in the 54th minute. I want to emphasize that the home advantage is alway significant in international club games and Tromso were only moderate favourites in this game.. After beating KuPS in Finland, Tromso faced Kristiansund, currently in 9th place, at home and no goals were scored. L. Nordås, however, missed a penalty in the 33rd minute.. Tromso were very unlucky not to win! Indeed, they generated 3.24 in xG.. The visitors recorded only 0.89. Before beating KuPS in Finland, Tromso defeated Stromsgodset 1-0 away from home - despite being far from their best.. Tromso were the underdogs according to the bookies in this match. I want to highlight that Tromso have looked more confident on the pitch lately than they did in the early season... It seems that their season has taken a positive turn and they could still finish in the top-6..
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罗森博格诉特罗姆瑟案
北京时间周一凌晨,在特隆赫姆的勒肯达尔球场,罗森堡和特罗姆瑟在挪威精英赛第17轮的比赛中交手。这是挪威足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准,精英队的水平一般。按照联盟的标准,一场比平均水平略好一点的比赛是有可能的。最重要的是,我们这些认真的、渴望利润的赌徒在这里又有了一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们已经连续赢了六场比赛了!我已经预演了周日联赛的另一场比赛。所有平台用户都可以在瑞典Allsvenskan上免费挑选!从纯粹的级别来看,特罗姆瑟绝对是更好的球队。他们最近的状态也比东道主好!大约20年前,罗斯堡队是挪威足坛的统治力量。即便如此,考虑到他们庞大的财政资源和球员名单,近年来他们的表现大多令人失望。他们确实在2022年获得了第三名,尽管球员们——不总是,但经常——在罗森堡甚至有所下降——或者至少没有显著提高。此外,他们作为一个团队通常打得不好。根据我的消息来源,他们的团队精神目前不是很好。嗯,这很容易相信,因为他们打出了一个糟糕的赛季!事实上,他们目前在联赛中占据第11位,共有16家俱乐部。然而,在撰写这篇分析时正在打球的豪格松可能会推翻罗森博格!令人难以置信的是,罗森堡甚至没有安全降级到OBOS-Ligaen…事实上,最后两支球队是直接降级的。排在第14名的球队将面对一支来自第二梯队的球队,他们将决定下赛季谁能参加精英赛。垫底的桑德兰队得了16分。罗森博格只有18分。
罗森博格在比赛中没有明显的优势或劣势——他们在比赛的各个方面都非常平庸。与其他平庸的球队相比,他们的进攻还是比防守好一点。他们有18次进球,丢了29个球。是的,罗斯堡有提高的潜力,但博彩公司在这里显然过分强调了这种潜力。事实上,目前最大的博彩公司在主场获胜时提供的2.05左右的赔率太低了!罗森博格主场比赛的气氛在他们辉煌的日子里有时是狂喜的,但现在已经不是这样了。他们在这个联赛的最后一场主场比赛是7月份对奥德,当时球场上有10400名观众。勒肯德尔体育场的最大容量超过2万人。当然,主场优势也必须考虑在内。东道主将失去亨里克森——在撰写这篇分析时,奥古斯丁森、纳尔逊和佩雷拉都是值得怀疑的。至于特罗姆瑟,科斯凯拉受伤了。罗森博格已经为这场比赛准备了一个星期。另一方面,特罗姆瑟队在当地时间周四进行了比赛。当然,两场比赛之间只有整整两天的间隔在职业足球中并不是最理想的,但我想强调的是,对于特罗姆瑟来说,这是一场非常轻松的比赛。事实上,他们在欧联杯第二回合的比赛中以1比0击败了一支芬兰队。因为这是一场主场比赛,所以特罗姆瑟不需要远行。挪威人总比分2-0晋级预选赛第3轮。这场比赛的节奏在90分钟的大部分时间里都出奇的慢。不出所料,特罗姆瑟让卡普斯有58%的控球率,但防守很好,而卡普斯,一支比特罗姆瑟差得多的球队,控球能力不强。他们的预期目标数量(xG)很低。特罗姆瑟的诺德帕斯在第3分钟罚丢了一个点球。特罗姆瑟的进球次数(12胜5负)、射正次数(6胜2负)和射偏次数更多。总而言之,罗森博格在这里应该只有微弱的优势——特罗姆瑟+0.5个进球的劣势显然是明智的赌注!
东道主在最近五场正式比赛中只赢了一场。是的,在7月15日的一场友谊赛中,他们在主场1-0击败了曼联。然而,马努是在季前赛的中期,他的首发阵容非常“奇怪/不寻常/弱”!半场时他们也换了10人。像Hugill, Aljofree和Amass这样的球员进入了球场!在开球时,罗森堡队的定价仅为3.40-3.65左右,以赢得比赛。当马努的(首发)阵容公布后,赔率下降了很多。事实上,主场的胜利并不是一个大惊喜,我将很少强调这个结果。在他们的最后一场比赛中,罗斯
恩堡客场对阵新升级队腓特烈斯塔德,双方以2比2战平。客队有58%的控球率,但主队的进球次数更多——8比6。两队都有两次射正。在击败马努之前,罗森堡被目前排名第13位的萨普斯堡以4比1击败!是的,最后的比分让萨尔普斯堡感到高兴,但罗森堡的防守非常糟糕!在此之前,他们在主场以2比1击败奇数队,是非常明显的夺冠热门——博彩公司开出的胜率约为1.60英镑。控球率为52-48%,罗森博格在xG - 0.87-0.85时的进球率略高。他们又射门一次,比分2-1。两队都只有一次大的得分机会。尽管赢了,但我并不喜欢罗斯堡的整体表现。在博彩市场上,他们的赔率又一次太低了。令人失望的Odd目前排名第15位。在第12轮比赛中,罗森博格在斯塔万格以2比4输给了维京人。在90分钟的大部分时间里,他们在球场上看起来极不平衡。在这场比赛中,罗森堡的一些球员看起来甚至有点懒——以及非常恼火——在球场上,特别是在维京人的Z.特里皮克3-1进球之后。当然,在职业足球中,懒惰从来都不是一个好的指标。维京队有59%的控球率,并且有更多的射正和射偏。上赛季特罗姆瑟在精英联赛中获得了第三名!对于这家拥有雄厚财力、庞大球迷基础和过去的成功的俱乐部来说,这是一个很好的成就。别忘了他们比莫德多拿了10分,莫德上赛季甚至还进入了联盟季后赛!然而,这个赛季对特罗姆瑟来说更具挑战性。即便如此,他们最近也有所进步,最近七场比赛只输了一场!在写这篇分析的时候,他们在精英赛中排名第十,16轮比赛后得到18分,但他们的xPTS数量要高得多——准确地说,是22.67分。老实说,他们的进攻令人失望,缺乏创造力和在对手门前传球的准确性。有时他们的进攻也过于缓慢和可预测,这使得对手很容易组织防守。他们只进了18个球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)仍然是23.44,他们在这方面可以有很大的提高!特罗姆瑟的防守本赛季还不错,他们在精英联赛中丢了25个球。然而,我想提到的是,他们在最近三场比赛中没有失球!在库奥皮奥的首回合比赛总体上是一场相当平衡的比赛,但特罗姆瑟证明了他们的实力,在第54分钟凭借L. nord<s:1>斯的进球以1-0取胜。我想强调的是,主场优势在国际俱乐部比赛中总是很重要的,而特罗姆瑟在这场比赛中只是中等的热门。在芬兰被击败后,特罗姆瑟在主场迎战目前排名第九的克里斯蒂安松,双方没有进球。然而,诺达帕斯在第33分钟罚丢了一个点球。特罗姆瑟没有赢,真是太不幸了!事实上,他们在xG中产生了3.24。游客的记录只有0.89。在击败芬兰之前,特罗姆瑟在客场1-0击败了斯特罗姆斯戈塞特,尽管他们远未达到最佳状态。根据博彩公司的说法,特罗姆瑟队在这场比赛中处于劣势。我想强调的是,特罗姆瑟最近在球场上看起来比赛季初更有信心了。看起来他们的赛季已经有了一个积极的转变,他们仍然可以在前6名结束。
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