Egypt or Paraguay to 1/2 finals?
2024-08-02
比赛分析
解读理由
Egypt has been impressive so far.
They have been a team I had expectations put on from the beginning, as have plenty of pedigree and are a good side. Physically they are strong and have plenty of experience as well. As they proved that they are a very difficult team to bea. Are yet to lose a game, and are coming from a brilliant performance against Spain, beating 1:2 one of the main title contenders of the tournament.
They are blessed with terrific physical attributes and very good players. Arsenal’s midfielder Mohamed Elneny, who was named as an overage player for Egypt, has been a great addition for the midfield, although the best player so far has been winger Adel with 2 goals, as well as LB Eid who has been great in the wing. ç
Their weak point I believe is the quality of the chances they create. They need to make better chances, as against Dominican Republic (0:0) they attacked a lot but weren’t able to generate clear situations. Against Uzbekistan (0:1) was more or less the same, although they managed to keep the game controlled. And against Spain they definitely improved in this area, generating 1.85 expected goals and scoring 2 goals (1:2), showing a lot of quality upfront with Adel and Zizo.
On the other hand, Paraguay is a team where I also had expectations but as opposed to Egypt, they have made poor performances, especially in defense. They made great South American qualifiers, beating Brazil and drawing twice against Argentina. However, their main strength there was their solid defense, intensity and an ultra-defensive approach. But here in the Olympics they have been the opposite. And when they were really successful, they were being defensive.
They have conceded plenty of goals and chances in the three games so far. 5 against Japan, 2 against Israel (one of the worst teams in the tournament) and in the last round against Mali they deserved to concede and the victory was very lucky, as they conceded 0.98 expected goals and many chances.
For this fixture I expect Paraguay to play much more defensive, as did against Mali (helped also by the goal at 5’). However, I believe that here they’ll struggle with Egypt’s physical strength, and surely Egypt will be able to generate enough chances to score some goal. Egypt is a very solid team and difficult to beat, and I don’t see Paraguay able to do it.
Egypt is coming with a lot of confidence after beating title contenders Spain, whilst Paraguay left me many doubts in their defense this tournament. To beat a team like Egypt you need to be very strong physically and with a lot of quality, something that Paraguay is missing.
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到目前为止,埃及的表现令人印象深刻。
他们是一支我从一开始就对他们寄予厚望的球队,他们有着丰富的血统,是一支优秀的球队。他们身体强壮,经验丰富。他们证明了他们是一支很难击败的球队。他们还没有输过一场比赛,并且在对阵西班牙的比赛中表现出色,以1:2击败了本届锦标赛的主要竞争者之一。
他们拥有出色的身体素质和非常优秀的球员。阿森纳的中场球员穆罕默德·埃尔内尼被评为埃及的超常球员,他是中场的一个重要补充,尽管迄今为止最好的球员是边锋阿德尔,他打进了2球,还有在边路表现出色的伊德。c
我认为他们的弱点在于他们创造的机会的质量。他们需要创造更好的机会,就像对阵多米尼加共和国(0:0)一样,他们进攻很多,但却没能创造出清晰的机会。与乌兹别克斯坦(0:1)的比赛也差不多,尽管他们设法控制了比赛。在对阵西班牙的比赛中,他们在这方面有了明显的进步,产生了1.85个预期进球,打进了2球(1:2),在阿德尔和齐佐的配合下,他们在前场表现出了很强的实力。
另一方面,巴拉圭是一支我也有期待的球队,但与埃及相反,他们的表现很糟糕,尤其是在防守方面。他们在南美预选赛中表现出色,击败了巴西,两次战平阿根廷。然而,他们的主要优势是他们坚实的防守,强度和超防守的方法。但在本届奥运会上,情况却恰恰相反。当他们真正成功的时候,他们是防御性的。
到目前为止,他们在三场比赛中丢了很多球和机会。对阵日本5球,对阵以色列(本届杯赛表现最差的球队之一)2球,上一轮对阵马里,他们理应失球,这场胜利非常幸运,因为他们丢了0.98个预期进球和很多机会。
在这场比赛中,我预计巴拉圭会像对阵马里一样,更加注重防守(也得益于5英尺处的进球)。然而,我相信在这里他们将与埃及的体力斗争,当然埃及将能够创造足够的机会来进球。埃及是一支非常稳固的球队,很难被击败,我不认为巴拉圭能做到。
埃及在击败了冠军争夺者西班牙之后信心十足,而巴拉圭在这次比赛中给我留下了很多疑问。要击败像埃及这样的球队,你需要非常强壮的身体和很高的素质,这是巴拉圭所缺乏的。
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