Qarabag VS Lincoln Red Imps FC

Qarabag welcome Linclon Red Imps for this UEFA Champions League Qualification round 2 second leg battle at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in Baku very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of somewhat average quality by this competition's standards here. The biggest reason for this is the massive difference in pure class between the two teams.. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here.. The visitors come from Gibraltar, the hosts are an Azerbaijani team - with many good foreign players in the squad. I expect a pretty one-sided clash here. . No, the Qarabag supporters are not among the loudest in Europe but still want to be entertained here! The hosts' excellent and experienced coach Qurban Qurbanov could do some squad rotation here but I expect him to include at least most of his best players in the starting eleven. However,  I believe the bookies give too much emphasis to the squad rotation factor here. If/ when Qarabag manage to take a lead by a big margin of several goals Qurban Qurbanov will perhaps make some substitutions though.. However, Qarabag have a pretty deep squad, full of talented players who are eager to prove their skills and show great attitude. Their "bench players" are still much better than any Red Imps player. The domestic season in Azerbaijan has not started yet so Qurban Qurbanov does not really have a chance to "save" his players too much.. Moreover, Qarabag will most probably easily win the championship once again. We must also understand that doing well in international games is very important for the Qarabag players – and the club – as bug clubs' agents follow these games much more than domestic league games..

Qarabag won the first leg 2-0 so their chance of qualifying for the 3rd round is very high. However, I do not expect Qarabag to take any risks here.. An early goal for the visitors – probably a lucky one – a red card for the hosts or something usual could boost the visitors' confidence and make this an unnecessarily close/nervy affair from Qarabag's point of view.. Indeed, I expect Qarabag to push hard from minute one, aiming for a few quick goals, putting big pressure on the visitors' vulnerable defence - at this level I mean.. I want to highlight that Qarabag are not at their best when defending so why would they allow a lowly opponent to have the ball.. Odds of around 2.30 on the Qarabag -2.5 goals handicap option are offered by the biggest bookies who accept the largest bets from customers. The chance of winning is 51%. Qarabag were dominant in the first leg in Gibraltar. Red Imps have sometimes performed surprisingly well at home but not this time. They fought hard but Qarabag were simply too strong! It was Qarabag's first competitive match this season and they are, of course, expected to improve here! Friendly games are always different from competitive games. In the next round Qarabag will face a formidable opponent, at least much better than Red Imps - and this is one more reason behind my thinking that they will take this game seriously! Playing a lazy match with low tempo and not 100% attitude is never good preparation for challenging upcoming games! Last week in Gibraltar Qarabag had 66% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (14-3), shots on goal (8-2), shots off target (4-1), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated much more in expected goals (xG) than the lowly hosts..

Rather interestingly, two teams locked horns last season and in Gibraltar the final score was a 1-2 away win. However, Qarabag would have deserved to win by a bigger margin. The hosts could not really seriously challenge them on the pitch.. Indeed, Qarabag had 70% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts.. In fact the hosts managed only one.. The visitors also had many more shots on goal, shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 119-34 to be precise. In the 2nd leg Qarabag crushed Red Imps 4-0 – giving them no chance at all! They had 75% ball possession and recorded 10 shots on goal – the visitors managed only one. The difference in all areas of the game was huge! The hosts also recorded many more corner kicks (11-1), attacks and dangerous attacks.. Not that much has, in fact, changed from last season..

Furthermore, according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Qarabag are the bigger team here - by a substantial margin! Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated around 16.5 million euros. This is clearly too low though! At least five players are undervalued! The Lincoln Red Imps squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about two million. This is, in my expert opinion, still a bit too high though.. The around two million is an extremely low number for the Champions League Qualification 2nd round standards! Let's also remember that the Gibraltar National League is among the worst in Europe. Red Imps won it by a margin of only two points last season, before St. Josephs. Red Imps took 65 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) was "only" 58.53. The Azerbaijani Premier League is hugely better as a whole! Qarabag won it by a margin of a whopping 25 points last season!

Qarabaq have now won four games in a row and must be high in confidence! Before beating Red Imps they swept past Shabab Al-Ahli, a decent team from the United Arab Emirates, 5-2. The opponent finished in 2nd place in their domestic league last season.. It was a friendly match. Before this Qarabag defeated Slaven Belupo, a decent Croatian team, 1-0 at a neutral location. Furthermore, on the 9th of this month Qarabag beat Plzen, the Champions of Czechia in 2023, 2-1 at a neutral location. All three games were friendlies. Before losing to Qarabag, Lincoln lost to a pretty poor Maltese team, Hamrun, 0-1 at home. The visitors recorded many more goal attempts, shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks, and dangerous attacks. However, Red Imps' D. Bent was sent off early in the first half.. Red Imps qualified after penalties. In the first leg Hamrun were the better team, despite losing 0-1. They had many more shots on goal, shots off target, goal attempts, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks.. However, they lacked offensive creativity and passing accuracy at critical moments. Red Imps often defend in a well-organized way but their level is simply too low to stop an opponent of Qarabag's caliber. They very rarely face opponents nearly as good as Qarabag and are not used to the high-tempo Qarabag plays at.. Qarabag have so much individual skill that I expect them to score at least three times here.. Lastly, I want to highlight how well Qarabag did last season: Indeed, Qarabag even qualified for the UEFA Europa League Playoffs last season! They lost to Bayer Leverkusen, one of the best teams in Europe last season, 4-5 on aggregate. They were huge underdogs in the betting market.. They were leading 2-0 in the second leg in Germany as late as in the 71st minute, despite playing with 10 men! Leverkusen, the reigning champions of Germany scored two goals in injury time.. P. Schick scored both goals. Qarabag performed well in the 2022-2023 season in international club games as well!

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卡拉巴格VS林肯红小鬼队FC

北京时间周三凌晨，卡拉巴在巴库的托菲克巴拉莫夫球场迎来了林肯红魔参加欧冠资格赛第二轮第二回合的比赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场以比赛标准衡量的中等质量的比赛。造成这种情况的最大原因是两支球队在纯粹级别上的巨大差异。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会……客队来自直布罗陀，主队是阿塞拜疆队，球队中有很多优秀的外国球员。我预计这将是一场一边倒的冲突。不，卡拉巴的支持者在欧洲并不是最大声的，但他们仍然希望在这里得到娱乐!东道主的优秀和经验丰富的教练库尔班诺夫可以在这里进行一些阵容轮换，但我希望他至少在首发11人中包括他最好的球员。然而，我认为博彩公司过分强调了球队轮换的因素。如果/当卡拉巴格设法以几个进球的优势取得领先时，库尔班·库尔班诺夫可能会进行一些换人。然而，卡拉巴有一个相当强大的阵容，充满了渴望证明自己的技术和表现出良好态度的天才球员。他们的“替补球员”仍然比任何红小鬼的球员都要好得多。阿塞拜疆的国内赛季还没有开始，所以库尔班诺夫并没有太多的机会去“拯救”他的球员。此外，卡拉巴极有可能再次轻松夺冠。我们也必须明白，在国际比赛中取得好成绩对卡拉巴格球员和俱乐部来说非常重要，因为俱乐部的经纪人关注这些比赛比关注国内联赛要多得多。

卡拉巴格在首回合以2比0获胜，因此他们晋级第3轮的机会非常高。然而，我不希望卡拉巴在这里冒任何风险。如果客队早早进球——很可能是个幸运的进球——主队得到一张红牌或者其他一些平常的事情，可能会增强客队的信心，从卡拉巴格的角度来看，这会让这场比赛变得不必要的紧张。事实上，我希望卡拉巴格从第一分钟开始就努力推进，瞄准几个快速进球，给客队脆弱的防线施加巨大的压力——我的意思是在这个水平上……我想强调的是卡拉巴格在防守时并没有达到最佳状态，所以为什么他们会让一个卑微的对手得到球…最大的博彩公司接受客户的最大投注，在卡拉巴格-2.5球障碍选项上的赔率约为2.30。获胜的几率是51%。卡拉巴在与直布罗陀的第一回合比赛中占据了优势。红小鬼有时在主场的表现出奇的好，但这次不是。他们奋力战斗，但卡拉巴实在太强大了!这是卡拉巴本赛季的第一场正式比赛，当然，他们希望在这里取得进步!友好游戏总是不同于竞技游戏。下一轮卡拉巴格将面对一个强大的对手，至少比红小鬼强得多——这是我认为他们会认真对待这场比赛的另一个原因!打一场慢节奏的慵懒比赛，没有百分百的态度，永远不会为即将到来的挑战做好准备!上周在直布罗陀的比赛中，卡拉巴格拥有66%的控球率，并且有更多的进球次数(14胜3负)、射正(8胜2负)、射偏(4胜1负)、角球、进攻和危险进攻。他们的预期进球数也比排名靠后的东道主多得多。

相当有趣的是，上个赛季两支球队发生了冲突，在直布罗陀的最后比分是客场1-2取胜。然而，卡拉巴格本应以更大的优势获胜。东道主无法在球场上真正挑战他们。事实上，卡拉巴格有70%的控球率，并且有更多的射门机会。事实上，东道主只成功举办了一次……客队也有更多的射门，射门，角球，进攻，尤其是危险的进攻——119比34准确。在第二回合比赛中，卡拉巴格4-0击败了红魔，他们根本没有机会!他们有75%的控球率，有10次射正，而客队只有一次射正。游戏中所有区域的差异都是巨大的!东道主也创造了更多的角球(11胜1负)、攻击和危险攻击。事实上，与上一季相比，并没有太大的变化。

此外，根据著名的德国网站Transfermarkt.com，卡拉巴在这里是一支更大的球队——以相当大的优势!事实上，他们球员的身价估计在1650万欧元左右。这显然太过了

尽管噢!至少有五名球员被低估了!另一方面，林肯红小鬼队的价值仅为200万美元。在我的专家看来，这个价格还是有点太高了。对于欧冠资格赛第二轮的标准来说，大约200万是一个非常低的数字!我们还要记住，直布罗陀国家联赛是欧洲最差的联赛之一。在圣约瑟夫之前，红小鬼队上赛季仅以两分的优势获胜。红小鬼拿了65分，但他们的期望分数(xPTS)“只有”58.53分。阿塞拜疆的英超联赛整体上要好得多!卡拉巴格上赛季以惊人的25分的优势赢得了冠军!

卡塔尔人现在已经赢得了四连胜，他们一定信心十足!在击败红精灵队之前，他们以5-2横扫了一支来自阿联酋的劲旅沙巴布阿尔阿赫利队。对手上赛季在国内联赛中排名第二。这是一场友谊赛。在此之前，卡拉巴格在一个中立的地点以1比0击败了一支不错的克罗地亚球队Slaven Belupo。此外，本月9日，卡拉巴在一个中立的地点以2比1击败了2023年捷克冠军普拉森。这三场比赛都是友谊赛。在输给卡拉巴格队之前，林肯队在主场0-1输给了实力相当差的马耳他球队哈姆伦。客队记录了更多的进球尝试、射门、角球、攻击和危险攻击。然而，红小鬼队的本特在上半场一开始就被罚下。红小鬼在点球后晋级。在第一回合，哈姆伦队表现更好，尽管0-1输掉了比赛。他们有更多的射正、射偏、射门、角球、进攻和危险的进攻……然而，他们缺乏进攻创造力和关键时刻的传球准确性。红小鬼通常以组织严密的方式进行防守，但他们的水平太低，无法阻挡像卡拉巴格这样的对手。他们很少面对像卡拉巴格这样优秀的对手，也不习惯卡拉巴格的快节奏打法。卡拉巴格的个人技术非常出色，我希望他们在这里至少能进三球。最后，我想强调一下卡拉巴上赛季的表现:事实上，卡拉巴上赛季甚至获得了欧联杯季后赛的资格!他们以4比5的总比分输给了上赛季欧洲最好的球队之一勒沃库森。他们在赌博市场上处于劣势。在与德国的第二回合比赛中，他们以2-0领先，直到第71分钟，尽管他们打了10人!德国卫冕冠军勒沃库森队在伤停补时阶段连进两球。P. Schick进了两个球。卡拉巴格在2022-2023赛季的国际俱乐部比赛中也表现出色!