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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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5/5 last WON in Veikkausliiga! $$$

2024-07-28

比赛分析

解读理由

VPS VS IFK Mariehamn



VPS welcome IFK Mariehamn (MIFK) for this Veikkausliiga game at Lemonsoft Stadion in Vaasa late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the highest tier of Finnish football. However, the level of this league is very poor by European standards. The fact that HJK Helsinki have qualified for the UEFA Europa League group stage once and for the Conference League group stage twice in the last three years does not really change this fact.. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty average quality by this league's standards here. As a Finnish football bettor I know Finnish football very well. The bookies, on the other hand, make quite a few mistakes with their odds in Veikkausliiga and Ykkösliiga, the 2nd tier. We have won five picks in a row betting on Veikkausliiga and have yet another very promising betting opportunity here!


VPS played an incredibly strong second part of last season, going for almost 20 games without a defeat. They eventually took 3rd place in Veikkausliiga, earning a place in the UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification. This season has been more difficult for them, as expected. They lost a few players, but still have the same head coach, one the best coaches in Veikkausliiga in my opinion, Jussi Nuorela! I trust him a lot, especially in terms of tactics. As a leader he is pretty calm and not flashy at all – even by Finnish standards.. VPS have a pretty different style of play from all other Veikkausliiga teams. Indeed, they play very "simple" yet efficient, straightforward football. Yes, some of the best Veikkausliiga teams have learned how to defend against VPS this season but for IFK Mariehamn I expect trouble in Vaasa today. They are pretty good at defending near their own goal when the opponent mainly moves the ball at a relatively slow pace but VPS do not play like this.. VPS will probably "force" MIFK to have the ball more than they, in fact, would like to.. Even the slightest mistake from MIFK will allow VPS dangerous counter attacks in transitions..


Odds of close to 1.70 are available on the VPS win here. Yes, I was hoping for a little higher odds, but we will still eagerly place a bet on VPS at these odds! They have a clear edge over MIFK in all areas of the game and also have very good fans by Finnish standards. They have taken 25 points and still have a chance to fight for a top-3 place.. However, finishing in the top-5 is probably more realistic... VPS have taken 25 points, KuPS, in third place have 31 points at the time of writing this analysis. The top-6 teams qualify for the Championship Group (5 games) that starts at the end of the season and VPS need to win games like this to make it. Inter, in 7th place, are in-form and have grabbed 22 points.. VPS started the season well and were also, in all honesty, a bit lucky in some games.. They have recently totally run out of luck – having lost six games in a row! However, they have faced very tough opponents and have been the underdogs in five of these six games.. I want to highlight that their level has not dropped a lot from early season and they have not looked inconfident on the pitch. I believe this terrible record affects the odds way too much here.. According to my sources they still have a strong team spirit.. The only game they lost as favourites according to the bookies was against Ekenäs IF on the 6th of this month. 2-3 was the final score at home but VPS' M. Pitkänen was sent off in the 20th minute which, of course, affected the game a lot.. The score was 0-0 at the time of sending off. VPS had 63% ball possession in this game and the visitors recorded only one more shot on goal than VPS. In their last game VPS lost to the second-best team in this league at the moment, Ilves, 2-3 on the road as big underdogs - priced over 5.00 to win on the betting market at the time of kickoff. Ilves scored two goals in the last five minutes of the game.. Ilves' Otto Virtanen was sent off in the 13th minute though.. VPS generated more in xG than Ilves and should have won the game! They recorded many more goal attempts than the hosts – 9-4 to be precise. Before this they lost to a strong team from Lithuania, Zalgiris, twice by a margin of one goal. They were UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification games. VPS were underdogs in both games on the betting market. Their performance in both games was not top-quality but still decent. I want to highlight that the opponent was at their best and turned out to simply be too strong.




MIFK have been in serious decline recently, both results-wise and in terms of performances on the pitch! They traditionally do not do well on the road as they have to take the ferry from Åland, a group of islands located between Sweden and Finland and then continue by bus or train.. This is tiring – the players usually get poor sleep on the ferry.. They have now lost four of their last five games. The only recent win they took over Ekenäs IF, a lowly team, 2-1 on the road, over five weeks ago. MIFK were the favourites according to the bookies in this game. Taking into account that EIF's Kante was sent off in the first (!) minute MIFK's performance was not impressive at all as  a whole.. MIFK had to play two (relegation) games against a team from Ykkönen, now known as Ykkösliiga. at the end of last season to keep their place in the Veikkausliiga. They are, once again, in big danger of being relegated to the 2nd tier. In their last game they were crushed by SJK. The visitors took a dominant 4-0 win in Mariehamn giving MIFK no chance at all in the end! MIFK's M. Fonsell was sent off in the 65th minute but SJK were leading 1-0 at this point and most probably would have won anyway. i disliked the way MIFK collapsed mentally after the red card.. MIFK's offense was extremely lame, once again, in this game, MIFK have scored only 16 goals in Veikkausliiga - this is the lowest number in this league.. They have allowed "only" 25 goals but their number of goals allowed (xGA) is 30.13. VPS' score difference is 27:24.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

VPS VS玛丽汉姆



北京时间周日晚,VPS在瓦萨的柠檬软球场欢迎IFK玛丽汉姆(MIFK)观看这场维科斯甲的比赛。这是芬兰足球的最高级别。然而,按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平很低。事实上,在过去的三年里,赫尔辛基HJK有一次进入欧联杯小组赛,两次进入联盟联赛小组赛,但这并不能真正改变这一事实。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等质量的比赛。作为一名芬兰足球投注者,我非常了解芬兰足球。另一方面,博彩公司在维克考斯利加和Ykkösliiga的第二梯队的赔率上犯了不少错误。我们已经连续赢了五次,在这里又有一个非常有前途的投注机会!


VPS上个赛季后半段的表现非常强劲,几乎20场比赛都没有输过一场。他们最终在维考斯利加获得第三名,获得了欧洲联赛资格赛的席位。正如预期的那样,这个赛季对他们来说更加困难。他们失去了一些球员,但仍然有同样的主教练,在我看来,维克考斯利加最好的教练之一,尤西·诺雷拉!我非常信任他,尤其是在战术方面。作为一个领导者,他非常冷静,一点也不浮夸——即使以芬兰的标准来看也是如此。VPS的打法和其他维卡球队完全不同。的确,他们踢的足球非常“简单”,但效率很高,很直截了当。是的,一些最好的球队本赛季已经学会了如何防守VPS,但是对于IFK Mariehamn来说,我预计瓦萨今天会有麻烦。当对手主要以相对缓慢的速度跑动球时,他们很擅长在自己的球门附近防守,但VPS不会这样踢。VPS可能会“强迫”米哈伊尔多拿球,而不是他们想要的。即使是MIFK最轻微的失误也会让VPS在过渡阶段受到危险的反击。


赔率接近1.70是可用的VPS赢在这里。是的,我希望有更高的赔率,但我们仍然会急切地把赌注放在VPS在这些赔率!他们在游戏的所有领域都比MIFK有明显的优势,而且按照芬兰的标准,他们也有非常好的粉丝。他们已经拿了25分,仍然有机会争夺前三的位置。然而,进入前五名可能更现实……VPS获得了25分,排名第三的up在撰写本文时获得了31分。前6名的球队有资格进入赛季末开始的冠军小组(5场比赛),而VPS需要赢得这样的比赛才能出线。排名第七的国米状态不错,已经拿到了22分。VPS本赛季开局不错,说实话,在一些比赛中我们也有点幸运。他们最近运气不佳,连输了六场!然而,他们面对的是非常强硬的对手,并且在这六场比赛中有五场处于劣势。我想强调的是,他们的水平并没有比赛季初下降很多,他们在球场上也没有显得缺乏自信。我相信这个糟糕的记录影响了太多的赔率。根据我的消息来源,他们仍然有很强的团队精神。根据博彩公司的说法,他们唯一输掉的比赛是本月6日对阵Ekenäs IF。2-3是主场的最终比分,但VPS的M. Pitkänen在第20分钟被罚下,这当然影响了比赛。在被罚下时比分是0-0。VPS在这场比赛中有63%的控球率,客队只比VPS多射门一次。在他们的上一场比赛中,VPS以2-3的比分输给了目前联盟第二好的球队伊尔维斯队,他们是大输家——开球时博彩市场上的胜率超过5.00。伊尔维斯在比赛的最后五分钟进了两个球。伊尔维斯的维尔塔宁在第13分钟被红牌罚下。VPS产生的xG比伊尔维斯还多,他应该赢得比赛!准确地说,他们的进球次数比东道主多得多——9比4。在此之前,他们两次以一球之差输给了来自立陶宛的强队扎勒基利斯。他们是欧联杯资格赛。在博彩市场上,VPS在两场比赛中都处于劣势。他们在两场比赛中的表现都不是顶级的,但仍然不错。我想强调的是,对手处于最佳状态,结果却太强大了。




mikk最近一直在严重下降,无论是结果方面还是在球场上的表现!传统上他们不这么做

在路上,他们必须从Åland乘坐渡轮,这是一群位于瑞典和芬兰之间的岛屿,然后再继续乘坐公共汽车或火车。这很累-球员通常在渡轮上睡得很差。他们最近五场比赛输了四场。他们最近唯一的一场胜利是在五周前客场2-1战胜了Ekenäs IF,这是一支实力不强的球队。在这场比赛中,MIFK是最受欢迎的博彩公司。考虑到EIF的坎特在第一分钟就被红牌罚下,米兰的整体表现并不令人印象深刻。MIFK必须与一支来自Ykkönen的球队进行两场(降级)比赛,现在被称为Ykkösliiga。为了保住他们在维库斯利亚联赛的席位。他们再一次面临降级到乙级联赛的巨大危险。在上一场比赛中,他们被SJK打败了。客队在玛丽汉姆以4比0取得了压倒性的胜利,最后米哈伊尔没有任何机会!MIFK的M. Fonsell在第65分钟被红牌罚下,但此时SJK 1-0领先,无论如何都很有可能获胜。我不喜欢米哈伊尔在红牌之后精神崩溃的样子。MIFK的进攻非常蹩脚,再一次,在这场比赛中,MIFK在维克考斯利亚只进了16球——这是联赛中最低的数字。他们“只”丢了25个球,但他们的失球数(xGA)是30.13个。VPS的分差是27:24。

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