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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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5/5 last WON in this league! $$$

2024-07-28

比赛分析

解读理由

Ekenas IF Fotboll (EIF) VS KuPS



EIF welcome KuPS for this Veikkausliiga game at Tammisaaren Keskuskenttä late Sunday evening BeijingBeijing time. This is the highest tier of Finnish football. However, the level of this league is very low by European standards. The fact that HJK Helsinki have qualified for the UEFA Europa League group stage once and for the Conference League group stage twice in the last three years does not change this fact.. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of somewhat average quality by this league's standards. As a Finnish football bettor I know this league very well. We have won five picks in a row betting on Veikkausliiga and have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here! KuPS are the better team here, of course, there is no doubt about that. However, the odds of around 1.40-1.45 on the away win offered by the biggest bookies are way too low! Let's take a closer look..


KuPS currently occupy the 3rd place in the standings with 31 points in their pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 27.67. Yes, they played one game less than SJK, in second place, and two matches less than HJK, who top the standings. They started the season well but have declined performance-wise in the summer. Even their head coach, Jani Honkavaara, has admitted this publicly. Their offense lacks pure goal-scoring skill and creativity compared to the other top-4 teams, HJK, Ilves and SJK. Indeed, all these three teams have scored at least five more goals in the Veikkausliiga than KuPS. KuPS have lost three of their last five Veikkausliiga matches. In their last game in this league they beat FC Lahti 1-0, the rock-bottom team, at home through J. Oksanen's goal in the 1-0 minute. They were priced around 1.45 to win by the bookies and did deserve the narrow win but I did not like their performance as a whole, especially in terms of offensive creativity. They recorded only three shots on goal. KuPS defended well though – allowing FC Lahti very few scoring chances.


KuPS played a very tough game against a Norwegian team, Tromso, at home. They did not play badly as a whole. The Norwegians were only slightly the better team on the pitch. However, having only two full days to prepare for this game is a short time. They travelled from Kuopio, in eastern Finland by bus to Tammisaari, in southwestern Finland. It is a long trip.. Two days of rest between games is not optimal at all in professional football! I believe the bookies do not give this factor enough emphasis.. KuPS do not have a deep squad and will travel to Norway next week for the 2nd leg of UEFA Conference League Qualification.. They still have a genuine chance to qualify and I believe their concentration might not be quite 100% in today's game.. There is long-term data suggesting that betting on a team away from home, between two important international games, is usually not a good idea.. HJK, who have played a lot of these games in the last three seasons are a good example of this..


No, EIF are not a great team and the main rationale behind this pick is to oppose KuPS. EIF have, however, improved quite a lot from the early season and have pretty good home fans. They have won two of their last five Veikkausliiga games and seem to have a good team spirit.. I also trust their head coach quite a lot..EIF occupy the 11th place in this league with 12 points in their pocket and are fighting hard to avoid relegation to Ykkösliiga, the 2nd tier. In their last game they lost to AC Oulu on the road 0-2 as big underdogs on the betting market. However, their performance was not bad. They made some silly mistakes though and Oulu made them pay. However, EIF even recorded more goal attempts in this game. Before this they lost 0-7 (!) to in-form Inter Turku but EIF had a terribly bad goalkeeper in this game, Huuhtanen, who had more or less quit his career. They also defended poorly and Inter played very well. The 0-7 final score of course flatter Inter though. They had a total of "only" 10 goal attempts. This awful result probably affects the odds too much here.. Before this EIF beat a dangerous team, VPS, 3-2 away from home as very big underdogs. VPS' M. Pitkänen was sent off in the 1st half though.. EIF +1.5 goals is the obvious smart bet here with a 67% chance of winning. Odds of around 1.65 are widely available.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

EIF VS up



北京时间周日晚,EIF在Tammisaaren Keskuskenttä欢迎观看这场维科斯甲比赛。这是芬兰足球的最高级别。然而,按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平非常低。在过去的三年里,赫尔辛基HJK曾一次进入欧联杯小组赛,两次进入欧洲联赛小组赛,但这并不能改变这一事实。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等质量的比赛。作为一名芬兰足球投注者,我非常了解这个联赛。我们已经连续赢了五次,在这里还有另一个有利可图的投注机会!up在这里是更好的队伍,这是毫无疑问的。然而,最大的博彩公司提供的客场胜利的赔率约为1.40-1.45,这太低了!让我们仔细看看……


up目前以31分的积分排名第三。但是,他们的期望值(xPTS)只有27.67。是的,他们比排名第二的SJK少打了一场比赛,比排名第一的hkk少打了两场比赛。他们本赛季开局不错,但在夏季表现有所下滑。甚至他们的主教练贾尼·洪卡瓦拉也公开承认了这一点。他们的进攻缺乏纯粹的进球技巧和创造力,相比其他4强,hkk,伊尔维斯和SJK。事实上,这三支球队在维克斯利亚联赛中都比库普斯多进了至少5个球。在最近的五场联赛中,up输掉了三场。在联赛的最后一场比赛中,他们在主场凭借奥克萨宁在1-0分钟的进球以1-0击败了排名垫底的拉赫蒂FC。博彩公司对他们的胜率估计在1.45左右,他们确实应该以微弱优势获胜,但我不喜欢他们的整体表现,尤其是在进攻创造力方面。他们只射门三次。虽然卡普斯防守很好,但给拉赫蒂的得分机会很少。


尤普斯队在主场与挪威的特罗姆瑟队进行了一场非常艰难的比赛。总的来说,他们踢得并不差。挪威队在球场上只是稍微好一点。然而,只有整整两天的时间来准备这场比赛是很短的。他们从芬兰东部的库奥皮奥乘坐公共汽车前往芬兰西南部的塔米萨里。这是一次长途旅行……在职业足球中,两场比赛之间休息两天根本不是最理想的!我认为博彩公司没有给予这个因素足够的重视。up没有足够的阵容,下周将前往挪威参加欧洲联盟联赛资格赛的第二回合。他们仍然有机会出线,我相信他们在今天的比赛中可能没有百分之百的专注。长期数据表明,在两场重要的国际比赛之间赌一支客场球队通常不是个好主意。过去三个赛季打了很多这样的比赛的jk就是一个很好的例子。


不,EIF不是一支伟大的球队,这次选秀的主要目的是反对up。然而,EIF与赛季初相比有了很大的进步,并且拥有相当不错的主场球迷。他们最近五场比赛赢了两场,看起来有很好的团队精神。我也非常信任他们的主教练,EIF在这个联赛中以12分排名第11位,他们正在努力避免降级到Ykkösliiga,第二梯队。在上一场比赛中,他们在客场0比2输给了AC奥卢队,在博彩市场上处于劣势。然而,他们的表现并不差。他们犯了一些愚蠢的错误,奥卢让他们付出了代价。然而,EIF在这场比赛中甚至记录了更多的射门次数。在此之前,他们0-7输给了状态良好的国际图尔库,但是这场比赛EIF有一个非常糟糕的门将,胡赫塔宁,他或多或少已经放弃了自己的职业生涯。他们防守也很差,而国米踢得很好。0:7的最终比分当然更让国米高兴。他们总共“只有”10次进球尝试。这个可怕的结果可能影响了这里的几率。在这场比赛之前,EIF客场3-2击败了一支危险的球队VPS。VPS的M. Pitkänen在上半场被罚下。EIF +1.5个进球显然是明智的赌注,有67%的获胜机会。1.65左右的赔率是很普遍的。

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