FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod (Pari NN) VS Rubin Kazan

Pari NN welcome Rubin Kazan for this Russian Premier League round 1 battle at Nizhny Novgorod Stadium early Tuesday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is pretty mediocre by European standards.. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a game of better than average quality by this league standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here. As this is the first round of play we will have to take a look at last season' results and statistics.. Pari NN ended up in 13th place in this league with a total of 16 clubs. The rock-bottom team, Sochi, took 24 points. Indeed, it was a poor season for Pari NN - they were not far from being relegated to the 2nd tier. They grabbed 30 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) was only 26.78. Their goal difference was abysmal – 29:51 to be precise. In fact, the -22 score difference was clearly the worst in the Premier League. Sochi's score difference, for example, was "only" -11. Rubin Kazan, on the other hand, finished in 8th place with 42 points. They scored 31 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) was 34.67. They conceded 38 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) was 34.89. Both teams should have the potential to do somewhat better this season..

Let's not forget that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Kazan are clearly the bigger team here.. Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated around 24.60 million euros. The NN Pari squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about 15.5 million. Most bookies see this game as very close to a 50/50 game without an actual favourite, offering both teams odds of around 2.80 to win. I disagree. With the expected lineups, even taking the home advantage into account - based on my expert analysis - Kazan is a solid favourites here! We will take the Kazan +0.5 goals handicap option with the Kazan win being the favourites option. Kazan have lost only one of their last 11 games. In their last game they beat a dangerous team, Lokomotiv Moscow, 3-4 away from home as pretty clear underdogs on the betting market. Lokomotiv ended up in 4th place last season. Before this Kazan easily beat Yenisey 3-1 at home despite making eight substitutions in the 2nd half. Both were friendly games. Pari NN have won three of their last 15 games and just one of their most recent 12 competitive matches. In their last game they beat Novi Pazar, a pretty limited Serbian team, 1-0 at home in a friendly match. NN Pari were clear favourites on the betting market. Novi Pazar ended up in 9th place in the Serbian Super League which is of pretty low level – excluding the best 3-4 teams.. Pari NN and Kazan last locked horns at Ak Bars Arena  in Kazan in March and NN Pari took a pretty lucky 1-0 win. Kazan recorded more goal attempts (13-7), shots on goal shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 53-25. This result probably affects the odds too much here..

下巴黎诺夫哥罗德VS喀山鲁宾

巴黎NN欢迎喀山鲁宾参加北京时间周二凌晨在下诺夫哥罗德体育场举行的俄罗斯超级联赛第一轮比赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平相当平庸。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场比这个联赛标准更好的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会。由于这是第一轮比赛，我们将不得不看看上赛季的结果和数据。巴黎排名第13位，共有16家俱乐部。垫底的索契队只得了24分。事实上，这对巴黎NN来说是一个糟糕的赛季——他们离降级到乙级已经不远了。虽然拿到了30分，但期望分数(xPTS)只有26.78分。他们的净胜球差得一塌糊涂——准确地说是29:51。事实上，负22分的差距显然是英超联赛中最糟糕的。例如，索契冬奥会的比分差距“只有”11分。另一方面，喀山鲁宾以42分排名第八。虽然打进31球，但预期进球(xG)只有34.67个。他们丢了38个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是34.89个。这两支球队本赛季都有潜力做得更好。

别忘了，根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，喀山队显然是这里更强大的球队。事实上，他们球员的身价估计在2460万欧元左右。另一方面，巴黎国大队的价值仅为1550万欧元左右。大多数博彩公司认为这场比赛非常接近50/50的比赛，没有真正的热门，两队的赔率都在2.80左右。我不同意。根据我的专家分析，考虑到预期的阵容，甚至考虑到主场优势，喀山在这里是一个坚实的热门!我们将选择喀山+0.5个进球障碍的选项，喀山的胜利是最受欢迎的选项。喀山队在过去的11场比赛中只输了一场。在上一场比赛中，他们在客场3-4击败了一支危险的球队莫斯科火车头队，在博彩市场上他们显然处于劣势。火车头在上个赛季获得了第四名。在此之前，喀山队在主场3-1轻松击败叶尼塞队，尽管下半场换了8次。两场比赛都是友谊赛。巴黎NN在最近的15场比赛中赢了3场，在最近的12场比赛中只赢了1场。在上一场友谊赛中，他们在主场1-0击败了实力相当有限的塞尔维亚球队Novi Pazar。在博彩市场上，巴黎NN显然是夺冠热门。Novi Pazar在塞尔维亚超级联赛中排名第9，这是一个相当低的水平-除了最好的3-4支球队…巴黎NN和喀山上次在三月份喀山的Ak Bars Arena发生争执，巴黎NN很幸运地以1-0获胜。喀山队的进球次数(13胜7负)、射正、射偏、角球、进攻和危险进攻(53胜25负)更多。这个结果可能对这里的赔率影响太大了。