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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A GREAT match to bet on! $$$

2024-07-17

比赛分析

解读理由

Shamrock Rovers VS Vikingur Reykjavik


Shamrock Rovers welcome Vikingur Reykjavik for this UEFA Champions League Qualification first round 2nd leg clash at Tallaght Stadium Dublin. The host are an Irish team, the visitors come from Iceland. In my expert opinion the Irish Premier Division is – as a whole – slightly better than the Icelandinc Besta Deild Karla. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of much higher than everage quality by this league's standards. We must remember they the home advantage in international club games is almost always substantial. The Shamrock fans are not the most enthuastic by European standards but still offer the players a big boost here. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the host are the biggest team here. Indeed, the Sharock squaq is valued at a total of about 3.9 million euros. The Vikingur players have an estimated market value of some 3.40 million. However, with the expected lineups, Vikingur are the better team here – but not by a wide margin. Taking the 1st leg result and recent form into account, the visitors deserve to be extremely slim favourites. Their odds of around 2.15 to eliminate Shamrock in 90 minutes of play are way too low. The Shamrock +0.5 goals handicap option is the obvious smart bet here.

The first leg was played on the 9th of this month (Iceland time) and it was a goalless draw. Vikingur were the better team on the pitch as a whole Shamrock had chosen a very passive, defensive tactic. Vikingur had a over 70% ball possession. However, no team racorded any shots on goal! At home Shamrock expected to be much more active. Vikingur currently top the Besat Deild Karla standings with a 33 points to their account. Yes, they have been strong this season but their number of expected points (xPTS) is still only 29.67. They have not lost a game for a long time but have won only two of their last six games in 90 minutes of play. Shamrock have been disappointing this season – especially performances way. They are in 4th place in the standings with 34 points but their number of xPTS is 38.65. They can improve in all areas of the game and the bookies have overreacted to their lame season. Last season they won the Premier Division by a margin of seven points. Before last week's first leg Shamrock beat Dundalk 1-0 at home after recording many more attatcks and shots on goal – 7-2. Dundalk defended well but Shamrock were not at their best though.



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三叶草流浪者VS雷克雅未克维京人


三叶草流浪者欢迎雷克雅未克参加欧冠资格赛第一轮第二回合在都柏林塔拉赫球场的比赛。东道主是爱尔兰队,客队来自冰岛。在我的专家看来,爱尔兰超级联赛——作为一个整体——略好于冰岛的最佳联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛标准高得多的比赛。我们必须记住,他们在国际俱乐部比赛中的主场优势几乎总是很大的。以欧洲的标准来看,三叶草的球迷并不是最热情的,但他们仍然给了球员们很大的鼓舞。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的说法,东道主是这里最大的球队。事实上,这只鲨鱼的总价值约为390万欧元。据估计,维京人队球员的市场价值约为340万美元。然而,在预期的阵容下,维金古尔队在这里表现得更好——但差距并不大。考虑到第一回合的结果和最近的状态,客队应该是非常小的热门。他们在90分钟的比赛中淘汰三叶草队的几率只有2.15,这实在太低了。三叶草+0.5个目标障碍选项显然是明智的选择。

首回合比赛于本月9日(冰岛时间)进行,双方0比0战平。从整体上看,维金古尔队在场上表现更好,三叶草选择了一种非常被动的防守战术。维金古尔有超过70%的控球率。然而,没有一支球队射门得分!在家里,三叶草预计会更加活跃。目前,维金古尔队以33分的成绩排名第一。是的,他们本赛季表现强劲,但他们的预期积分(xPTS)仍然只有29.67分。他们已经很长时间没有输过一场比赛了,但在最近的六场比赛中,他们在90分钟的比赛中只赢了两场。三叶草本赛季的表现令人失望,尤其是表现方面。虽然他们以34分排在第4位,但他们的得分是38.65分。他们可以在比赛的各个方面都有所提高,博彩公司对他们糟糕的赛季反应过度了。上个赛季他们以7分的优势赢得了英超联赛。在上周的首回合比赛之前,三叶草队在主场1-0击败了邓多克队,他们的进攻和射门次数都比对手多——7-2。邓多克防守很好,但三叶草没有达到最佳状态。

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