Strong information and wrong odds in J1
2021-06-02
比赛分析
解读理由
In my opinion Gamba have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.
Odds on guests slashed down by 0.20 on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with that trend. I expect even bigger drops prior to the kick off.
In overall Gamba have excellent record against Shonan as they lost only 2 of last 12 matches against them. Gamba for sure coming here with good mental advantage, they won last 3 matches in a row at this stadium.
Gamba is in relegation zone, but they played 3 matches less and they are only one point behind safe place. On the other hand Shonan played 3 matches more than Gamba, but have only 4 points more than today's opposition. They not playing better season than Gamba.
Shonan is not in good form at the moment, they didn't recorded a single win in last 5 matches in a row. Defensive formation looked unstable as they conceded at least one goal in each game. Today they should have big problems to keep clean sheet as well - Gamba strikers Patrick and Leandro Pereira in last matches started to play better and better. They scored goals and Gamba first time in new season made consecutive wins. For sure they are full of confidence at the moment. Gamba defensive formation leading by in-form Gen Shoji looks very solid at the moment.
Shonan have huge squad problems before today's match because their two best players and key midfielders - Takahashi (2 goals and 2 assists in 15 matches) and Yamada (3 goals and 1 assist in 17 matches) are not fully fit and there is small chances for their start from first minute today. Shonan is the the one of the worst team with the ball in whole league (42% average ball possession/ Gamba 50.6%) and today for sure they will have huge problems with controlling middle zone.
It's a perfect opportunity for Gamba to continue good streak. I don't see Shonan as a favorite here.
本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
在我看来,钢巴有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。
在大的亚洲市场,客队的指数降低了0.20,我完全同意这一趋势。我预计在开球前会有更大的下降。
总的来说,钢巴在对湘南的比赛中有着出色的记录,他们在过去的12场比赛中只输了2场。钢巴带着良好的心理优势来到这里,他们在这个体育场连续赢了三场比赛。
钢巴现在处于降级区,但是他们少打了3场比赛,他们只比安全地带落后一分。另一方面,湘南比钢巴多打了3场比赛,但只比今天的对手多得了4分。他们这个赛季打得不比钢巴好。
湘南现在状态不是很好,他们在近5场比赛中连一场胜利都没有。防守阵型看起来不稳定,因为他们在每场比赛中至少丢了一个球。今天他们也有很大的问题要保持不失球——冈巴的前锋帕特里克和佩雷拉在上一场比赛中的表现越来越好。他们取得了进球,冈巴在新赛季首次取得连胜。他们现在肯定充满了信心。在昌子源的带领下,钢巴的防守阵型目前看起来非常稳固。
湘南有庞大的阵容问题在今天的比赛,因为他们两个最好的球员和关键的中场——高桥(2目标和2次助攻15场)和山田(3目标和1协助17场比赛)并不完全符合,并有小的机会他们今天从第一分钟开始。湘南是全联盟中球率最差的球队之一(平均控球率42% /甘巴50.6%),今天他们在控制中区方面肯定会有很大的问题。
我觉得湘南在这里不受欢迎,竞彩选择让球负。
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