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England or Netherlands to the final?

2024-07-10

比赛分析

解读理由

As predicted in the ¼ finals, I still can’t see the reason to explain why England is favorite. They have been terrible so far, and although against Switzerland improved, playing the best first half in their tournament so far, the second half were outplayed and conceded a lot, where Saka had to score the equalizer at 80’ to force the extra time.

Several players are in bad form due to Southgate’s tactics and also because the fatigue. Kane is having a bad tournament as he is not receiving too many balls, and played much better in the periods when England played with two strikers.

In the previous game against Switzerland we saw (finally) Foden playing in a more center position, England improving with the ball and Bellingham again at a very high level. However, in this fixture they won’t have the ball too much so I expect them to make the same plan as always: wait at the back, be dominated, and wait patiently till their talented strikers find some way to score. However, their defense isn’t strong enough to execute this plan against this Netherlands team.

Their defense, although the team has been very defensive, is making many individual mistakes at the back.

Netherlands has been an offensive and funny team to see so far. Surprisingly, although they have two great CBs, the defense has been their weak point, as they have been vulnerable.

Gakpo has been one of the best players in the tournament with 3 goals and 1 assist, but also Depay was great against Turkey, and Reinders is playing very well in the midfield.

The Netherlands is a team which attacks very well but defends bad, and this could be a problem against England. However, England didn’t attack well so far, so I can see this game as a potential draw in the regular team.

I’m sure that Netherlands will dominate and have the possession here and will produce chances to score, especially with Gakpo playing between the lines and Depay playing really fast with his moves in the area.

The Netherlands played very well against the other team which was the main title contender alongside England before the tournament kick-off: France. I’d say that they even deserved to win that fixture, as they looked impressive and had a controversial goal ruled out by VAR.

England has a similar style to France: a team who feels comfortable being dominated and making counters, as they have a lot of individual quality upfront. However, France is way stronger and has been defending much better than England, so if Netherlands makes the same performance here they have chances to at least force the extra time.

England won’t be in a hurry to get the victory, as shown against Slovakia and Switzerland. They know about their quality and they don't care about extra time or penalties.

I can’t see England favorite here, given their performances so far.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

正如在四分之一决赛中预测的那样,我仍然找不到理由来解释为什么英格兰队是最受欢迎的。到目前为止,他们的表现很糟糕,尽管对阵瑞士的比赛有所改善,上半场发挥得最好,但下半场表现不佳,丢了很多球,萨卡不得不在80分扳平比分,迫使球队进入加时赛。

由于索斯盖特的战术和疲劳,一些球员状态不佳。凯恩在比赛中表现不佳,因为他没有得到太多的球,而在英格兰使用两名前锋的时候,他的表现要好得多。

在上一场对阵瑞士的比赛中,我们终于看到福登踢到了更靠前的位置,英格兰队的控球能力得到了提高,贝灵汉的水平也再次提高。然而,在这场比赛中,他们不会有太多的控球权,所以我希望他们能像往常一样制定同样的计划:在后场等待,被控制,耐心等待,直到他们的天才前锋找到进球的方法。然而,面对荷兰队,他们的防守还不够强大,无法执行这个计划。

他们的防守,虽然球队一直非常防守,但在后防线上犯了很多个人错误。

到目前为止,荷兰队一直是一支进攻和有趣的球队。令人惊讶的是,虽然他们有两个很棒的后卫,但防守一直是他们的弱点,因为他们一直很脆弱。

加普是本届杯赛中最好的球员之一,他有3个进球和1次助攻,德佩在对阵土耳其的比赛中也表现出色,莱因德斯在中场的表现也非常出色。

荷兰队是一支进攻很好但防守很差的球队,这可能是对阵英格兰的一个问题。然而,到目前为止,英格兰队的进攻并不好,所以我可以把这场比赛看作是一个潜在的平局。

我相信荷兰队会在这里占据统治地位,拥有控球权,并创造得分机会,尤其是在加普在边线之间的跑动和德佩在禁区内快速跑动的情况下。

荷兰队在比赛开始前对阵另一支与英格兰队一起争夺冠军的球队法国队时表现出色。我想说他们甚至应该赢得那场比赛,因为他们看起来令人印象深刻,而且有一个有争议的进球被VAR排除了。

英格兰队的风格与法国队相似:一支对被控和反击感到舒适的球队,因为他们在前场有很多个人能力。然而,法国比英格兰强得多,防守也比英格兰好得多,所以如果荷兰队在这里有同样的表现,他们至少有机会进入加时赛。

英格兰队不会急于取得胜利,就像对阵斯洛伐克和瑞士那样。他们知道自己的实力,他们不关心加时赛或点球。

考虑到他们目前的表现,我看不出英格兰队最受欢迎。

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