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外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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PERFECT MOMENT TO BOUNCE BACK

2024-07-06

比赛分析

解读理由

In my opinion Yokohama has a really good chance to make at least one point in this game.


Overall Yokohama has a very solid record against Gamba - in the last 32 matches when both teams played against each other, they lost only 7 times. In addition to that, Yokohama has a superb streak at Gamba stadium. Guests of today’s match won in Osaka in 5 of the last 7 matches.


I see a big difference between both teams in terms of offensive formation quality. According to the expected goals scored table Yokohama is top3 in J1 league. In comparison to that, Gamba is in the bottom 5. Big gap, no doubt about that.


I don’t see Gamba as a fav here. In the last two matches they failed to win and looked far away from convincing. They recorded a draw on the road against Kashima (0:0), but that was lucky (1.04 expected goals scored for Kashima, 0.21 for Gamba). In the last round they lost 1:3 at home against Machida and that was a fully deserved outcome.


Yokohama lost the last 3 consecutive matches, but they played on a good level. In those matches Yokohama conceded 5 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 3.40. On the other hand, they scored only 2 goals in those 3 matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 4.71.


It's the perfect moment for Yokohama to bounce back on the good track.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,横滨有很好的机会在这场比赛中至少得一分。


总的来说,横滨在对阵甘巴的比赛中有着非常稳定的战绩——在过去的32场比赛中,两队只输了7场。除此之外,横滨在甘巴球场的表现也非常出色。今天比赛的客人在大阪赢得了过去7场比赛中的5场。


我看到两支球队在进攻阵型质量上有很大的不同。根据预期进球数,横滨在J1联赛中排名前三。相比之下,甘巴排在倒数5位。毫无疑问,差距很大。


我不看好甘巴。在最近的两场比赛中,他们未能获胜,看起来远没有令人信服。虽然客场战平鹿岛队(0:0),但这只是运气(鹿岛队预期进球1.04,甘巴队预期进球0.21)。上一轮,他们在主场1:3输给了町田,这是一个完全应得的结果。


横滨队最近连续3场失利,但他们踢得很好。在这些比赛中,横滨丢了5个球,但根据预期丢球模型,他们应该丢3.4个球。另一方面,在这3场比赛中,他们只进了2球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该进4.71球。


这是横滨回到良好轨道上的完美时刻。

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