An interesting game to bet on!
2024-06-17
比赛分析
解读理由
Belgium vs Slovakia
Belgium and Slovakia lock horns in this EURO 2024 Group E opening round battle at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. A match of mediocre quality by this tournament's standards is expected here. Most importantly, we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here! We have won five of the last six picks betting on this competition at the time of posting this analysis - taking into account the EURO 2020. Slovakia are one of the worst teams in this tournament in terms of pure class. Furthermore, I don't really trust their Italian coach, F. Calzona, in terms of tactical skills – or as a leader. Belgium are coached by D. Tedesco, also an Italian, who is not a world-class coach but is still surely better than Calzona. Belgium have a huge edge over Slovakia in all areas of the game. They won Qualification Group F with an impressive 20 points to their account. They did not lose a single game in the qualification. Moreover, they netted the ball a whopping 22 times and allowed only four goals. Yes, their FIFA ranking (3rd) is too high but most of the "golden generation" players have already left the national team.. However, they still have Kevin de Bruyne, one of the best midfielders in the world as well as the physically strong and ruthless Lukaku ,in the squad. Yes, Lukaku wasted a lot of chances in the World Cup of 2022 in Qatar but he has been scoring in the biggest leagues in the World for years and played a pretty good season with Roma in the Italian Serie A. Slovakia have no platters of this caliber but also do not have any obvious weaknesses in their game. They are simply very mediocre for this level in all areas of the game. We will take Belgium to win here. Odds of around 1.50 are widely available on the betting market. They should control the game with a 57-64% ball possession.
Belgium have not lost any of their 15 matches! Yes, one of the best goalkeepers in the world, Real Madrid's T. Courtois is out which does hurt Belgium's chances but the bookies have overreacted to this absence. Against Slovakia I would not be too worried about Belgium's defence but against the top-teams things could be different.. In their last game Belgium were excellent, crushing a decent opponent, Luxembourg 4-0 at home. They had a whopping 26 goal attempts , the visitors managed only one. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 4.76-0.02! Before this Belgium easily beat Montenegro at home, despite not being at their best. The xG numbers were 2.78-0.54. Slovakia are only in the 48h place in the FIFA Ranking. They ended up in 2nd place in Qualification Group J with 22 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was lower. In their last game they beat Wales at home 4-0. Wales did not qualify for the EURO 2024. Yes, Slovakia deserved to win but the final score is misleading. Indeed, the xG numbers were 1.77-0.63. Before this they beat San Marino, one of the worst national teams in the world, at a neutral location - Stadion Wiener Neustadt. They were priced around 1.03-1.05 to win in the betting market. I will not give this win too much emphasis..
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比利时vs斯洛伐克
北京时间周二凌晨,比利时和斯洛伐克在法兰克福德意志银行公园举行的2024年欧洲杯E组首场比赛中针锋相对。按照本届比赛的标准,这将是一场质量一般的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会!在发布这篇分析时,我们已经赢得了最近6次对这项比赛的投注中的5次-考虑到2020年欧洲杯。斯洛伐克是本届杯赛中实力最差的球队之一。此外,我真的不相信他们的意大利教练卡尔佐纳的战术技巧,或者作为一个领导者。比利时的教练是D.特德斯科,也是意大利人,他不是世界级的教练,但肯定比卡尔佐纳要好。比利时在比赛的各个方面都比斯洛伐克有巨大的优势。他们以令人印象深刻的20分在F组出线。他们在预选赛中没有输过一场比赛。此外,他们的进球次数高达22次,只丢了4个球。是的,他们的国际足联排名(第三)太高了,但大多数“黄金一代”球员已经离开国家队了。然而,他们仍然拥有世界上最好的中场之一凯文·德布鲁因,以及身体强壮、冷酷无情的卢卡库。是的,卢卡库在2022年卡塔尔世界杯上浪费了很多机会,但他多年来一直在世界上最大的联赛中进球,并且在意大利甲级联赛中与罗马队一起踢了一个相当不错的赛季。斯洛伐克没有这样的水平,但在比赛中也没有任何明显的弱点。他们在游戏的所有领域都非常平庸。我们将带领比利时在这里取得胜利。在博彩市场上,大约1.50的赔率随处可见。他们应该以57-64%的控球率控制比赛。
比利时在他们的15场比赛中没有输过一场!是的,作为世界上最好的门将之一,皇家马德里的T.库尔图瓦缺阵确实损害了比利时的机会,但博彩公司对他的缺阵反应过度了。对阵斯洛伐克时,我不会太担心比利时的防守,但对阵强队时,情况就不一样了。在上一场比赛中,比利时队表现出色,在主场4-0击败了实力不俗的对手卢森堡。他们有26次射门机会,而客队只有一次。预期目标(xG)值为4.76-0.02!在此之前,尽管状态不佳,比利时还是在主场轻松击败了黑山。xG值为2.78 ~ 0.54。斯洛伐克在国际足联排名中只排在第48位。他们以22分的成绩在预选赛J组排名第二。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)较低。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以4比0击败了威尔士队。威尔士没有资格参加2024年欧洲杯。是的,斯洛伐克理应获胜,但最终比分会误导人。实际上,xG值为1.77-0.63。在此之前,他们击败了世界上最差的国家队之一圣马力诺,在一个中立的地点——维也纳新城市球场。在博彩市场上,他们的价格在1.03-1.05左右。我不会过分强调这场胜利。
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