在我看来，墨尔本在今天的比赛中至少有至少1分的好机会。

两支球队都没有新缺席，因此他们的阵容看起来应该和上一轮比赛一样。

西部联的指数从亚洲大型市场的开盘指数提高了0.25，我完全同意这一趋势。我看到墨尔本的机会比机构想给我们的建议要大得多。

这是西部联的“主场”比赛，但仅在纸上。比赛将在墨尔本的AAMI公园举行。在这种情况下，“客队”比“西部联”更适合主场比赛。这是一个很大的差异，在我眼中并没有完全调整好指数。

两支球队都没有机会在赛季末获得前六名，因此他们没有进入季后赛的机会。

根据预期的进球数，西部联的主场比赛表现不佳，他们运气很好。他们打进16球，但应该减少（11.20）。他们被进9个球，但他们应该更多（15.01）。另一方面，墨尔本在客场比赛中的表现要好于结果。他们打进8球，但应该更多（12.79）。他们被进29个球，但应该减少（20.83）。

对于我来说，很难将西部联视为这里的最爱，因为他们连续四场比赛都输了。他们的后场看上去不稳定，并且在创造力方面存在很大的问题-在最近4场比赛中，每场比赛他们的预期目标得分均低于0.82。显然，墨尔本也输掉了最后5场比赛，但他们有3场预期进球数超过2.42的球！有很大的不同。

我认为墨尔本将取得胜利。

In my opinion Melbourne have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Both teams coming without any new absences, so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous round.

Odds on Western raised up by 0.25 from opening odds on big Asian markets and I fully agree with that trend. I see much bigger chances for Melbourne than bookies wants to suggest for us in odds.

It's 'home' match for Western, but only on the paper. Match going to be played in Melbourne, at AAMI Park. In these circumstances is more home match for 'guests' than for Western. It's big difference and in my eyes is not fully adjusted in odds.

Both teams are without chances for top6 at the end of the season, so they don't have chances for the final stage.

According to expected goals scored model Western didn't played so good in home matches, they had a lot of luck. They scored 16 goals, but they should less (11.20). They conceded 9 goals, but they should more (15.01). On the other hand Melbourne played better in away matches than results showing. They scored 8 goals, but they should more (12.79). They conceded 29 goals, but they should less (20.83).

It's hard for me to see Western as good favorite here as they lost last 4 matches in a row to 'nil'. They looked unstable at the back and they had huge problems with creativity - in each of last 4 matches they had expected goals score number below 0.82. Obviously, Melbourne as well lost last 5 matches, but 3 times they had expected goals scored number above 2.42! It's big difference.

I see very good value on Melbourne.