Fagiano Okayama VS Ehime FC

Ehime and Okayama lock horns in this Emperor's Cup opening round battle at City Light Stadium Wednesday evening Beijing time. Both teams play in the J2 League which is the second tier of Japanese football and the level of this league is relatively mediocre by global standards - for a second tier I mean. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind can expect a match of mediocre quality by this competition's standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here! There is no doubt about the fact that Okayama are the better team here.. Indeed, they have an edge over Ehime in all areas of the game. Even so, the biggest bookmakers clearly overvalue Okayama here! Indeed, odds on the home win – in the 90 minutes of play – are around 1.50 which is way too low! Indeed, the Ehime +1.5 goals handicap option is the obvious smart bet here! Odds of around 1.50 are widely available. The chance of winning is 73%. 

Ehime were promoted from the J3 League to the J2 League for this season and have been a positive surprise so far! Consequently, I have significantly raised their power rating as the season has progressed. This rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting lineup – excluding the motivation factor as well as the possible fatigue – caused by a demanding schedule. The bookies should stop underestimating this team who are, after all, not a particularly small team in terms of overall financial resources - or players estimated total market value according to Transfermarkt.com -  by the J2 League standards.. For example their home stadium has a capacity of over 20 000 which is a pretty high number.  However, I do not see them having a realistic chance of making it to the top-6 – a place in the Promotion Playoffs. They are in 10th place in the J2 League standings and have 25 points to their account. Ehime's score difference is not very good though – 23:27 to be precise..  Okayama are in 6th place with 31 points and I believe their main focus is to fight for promotion to the J1 League for next season - not trying to win the Emperor's Cup.. They have netted the ball 25 times in the J2 and have allowed 15 goals. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 17.89. Their defence is good but they can be vulnerable to fast counter attacks. This is something Ehime are pretty good at! Ehime will surely defend very hard - letting the hosts to have a big pretty ball possession %.

These two teams last locked horns at Ningineer Stadium in Matsuyama in April and it was a 2-2 draw. Ehime's Bak Keon-Woo was sent off in the 72nd minute when they were still leading 2-1. The red card affected the game heavily. K. Saito scored the 2-2 goal in the 90th+2 minute.. I want to highlight that Ehime have lost only one of their last 18 games by a margin of more than one goal. In their last match they defeated Mito 1-0 at home despite not being at their best. Ehime were priced around 3.10-3.30 to win on the betting market. The visitors recorded more shots on goal – 6-3. Before this Ehime were priced around 8.00 in an away game against Yokohama FC and lost 1-2. They played okay though, recording 10 goal attempts. The hosts recorded only moderately more attacks – 83-72. Okayama have not been in good form recently, winning only two of their last nine matches. In their most recent game they were priced around 1.70-1.80 at home against Kagoshima and it was a disappointing 1-1 draw. The visitors had 53% ball possession and also recorded more total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Okayama recorded one more goal attempt though - 4-3 to be precise. Before this Okayama lost to Chiba 1-2 on the road. The hosts deserved to win as they recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (6-2) as well as shots off goal – 13-9. They also generated more than Okayama in expected goals (xG).

冈山辉野VS爱媛FC

北京时间周三晚上，爱媛和冈山将在城市之光体育场举行的天皇杯首场比赛中对决。这两支球队都参加了J2联赛，这是日本足球的第二梯队，以全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平相对平庸——我的意思是，对于第二梯队来说。足球爱好者和我们这些着眼长远利益的严肃投注者，可以期待一场质量一般的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会!毫无疑问，冈山是这里更好的球队。事实上，他们在游戏的所有领域都比爱媛有优势。即便如此，最大的博彩公司显然高估了冈山的价值!事实上，在90分钟的比赛中，主场获胜的赔率大约是1.50，这太低了!事实上，爱媛+1.5个进球障碍选项显然是明智的选择!大约1.50的赔率是普遍存在的。获胜的几率是73%。

本赛季Ehime从J3联赛提升到J2联赛，到目前为止一直是一个积极的惊喜!因此，随着赛季的进展，我大大提高了他们的能量评级。这个评级反映了球队的纯粹等级，他们拥有最好的首发阵容——排除了动力因素和可能的疲劳——由高强度的赛程引起的。博彩公司应该停止低估这支球队，毕竟，从整体财务资源或根据Transfermarkt.com估计的球员总市场价值来看，这支球队并不是一支特别小的球队，按照J2联赛的标准。例如，他们的主场有超过2万人的容量，这是一个相当高的数字。然而，我不认为他们有现实的机会进入前6名-一个晋级季后赛的位置。他们在J2联赛中排名第10，有25分。艾姆的分差不是很好，准确的说是23:27。冈山目前以31分排名第6，我相信他们的主要目标是在下赛季为升入J1联赛而战，而不是试图赢得天皇杯。他们在J2比赛中进球25次，失球15次。然而，他们的预期进球数(xGA)是17.89。他们的防守很好，但是他们在快速反击面前很脆弱。这是我最擅长的!艾姆肯定会很努力地防守，让主队有很大的控球率。

这两支球队上一次交锋是在今年4月的松山宁宁球场，当时双方以2比2战平。爱媛队的朴根宇在第72分钟被红牌罚下，当时他们仍以2-1领先。红牌严重影响了比赛。齐藤在第90 +2分钟打进了2-2的进球。我想强调的是，在过去的18场比赛中，爱媛只输了一场超过一球的比赛。在上一场比赛中，尽管状态不佳，他们还是在主场1-0击败了水户。在博彩市场上，爱媛的价格在3.10-3.30左右。客队以6比3的比分记录了更多的射门。在此之前，爱媛在客场对阵横滨FC的比赛中被定价在8.00左右，并以1比2输掉了比赛。不过他们踢得还不错，有10次射门。东道主记录到的攻击次数仅略多，为83-72次。冈山最近状态不佳，在最近的9场比赛中只赢了2场。在最近一场主场对阵鹿儿岛的比赛中，他们的定价在1.70-1.80左右，结果是令人失望的1-1平局。客队有53%的控球率，并且记录了更多的总传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻。但是冈山又进了一个球，准确地说是4-3。在此之前，冈山队客场1-2负于千叶队。主队理应获胜，因为他们的射门次数、射正次数(6胜2负)和射偏次数(13胜9负)都更多。他们的预期目标(xG)也超过了冈山。