Germany VS Greece

Germany host Greece for this friendly game at Borussia-Park in Mönchengladbach very early Saturday morning Beijing time. Germany have qualified for the EURO 2024 that starts next week! The main idea behind playing this game is to prepare and test different things – especially strategies, players and formations ahead of the big tournament. Germany, the country with one of the best football cultures on the planet – and the third-best domestic league in the world - have been disappointing in recent years. There is not denying this and this has been openly discussed in the German (football) media. In the World Cup in 2022 Germany even failed to qualify for the Playoffs. However, they also had some bad luck in the group stage games. The EURO 2020, played in 2021 because of the Covid-19 crisis, was a disappointment for Germany as well.. This has heavily affected their FIFA ranking! Indeed, they are now in 16th place in this ranking. I would say that 7-8th would be a more accurate ranking. Greece, on the other hand, are in 50th place which is more or less correct in my expert opinion. The Greek national team has been in decline for over 10 years now and I also want to mention that in Greece the national team is not very popular – it is more about the clubs. The fans of different (big) clubs can be very aggressive towards each other – sometimes even physically, not just verbally. There have been pretty low numbers of fans in many home games – reflecting the lack of interest in the national team. Of course this game is not played in Greece but I believe the limited interest of the Greek people affects the players to some extent.

The lame results have clearly affected the odds offered on Germany in the EURO 2024 – as well as in this friendly match. They do, after all, have a significant number of talented players in the group. They also have legends like Toni Kroos,34, who just won the Champions League with Real Madrid. His leadership and passing skills are world-class! Toni will retire after the EURO 2024 – a pity for us football fans and bettors. The German squad is much deeper than that of Greece. This is important here as possibly even heavy squad rotation would not be surprised. Indeed, Germany have to avoid injuries and (too much) fatigue. In friendlies the home team very often takes the win as the fans' support - and/or pressure is often the deciding factor in an otherwise balanced clash – giving the players the small but still significant " extra boost". Germany played a goalless draw in their last game at home against Ukraine earlier this week. Ukraine are a much better team than Greece and qualified for the EURO 2024. Germany had 57% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (25-7), shots on goal, shots off target (13-3), corner kicks (11-2), total passes, completed passes attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 98-18. Ukraine, however, fought very well and also had some luck to avoid a defeat. I believe that the Germans are pretty annoyed with not winning and will be aggressive here right from the kickoff and keep trying to score even if they lead by a margin of one or two goals. They will surely want to create some “hype” in Germany before the EURO 2024 starts – and also avoid any negative comments in the sometimes very “merciless” media.. We will take the Germany -1.5 goals handicap option with a 62% chance of winning – once again. Odds of around 1.80 are widely available on the betting market.

Before the draw with Ukraine Germany defeated two big countries – France and the Netherlands to be precise! Let's keep in mind that the Netherlands were very close to beating the eventual champions, Argentina, in the World Cup in 2022! However, Germany beat them 2-1 at home and recorded many more goal attempts (11-7), shots on target, corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and especially dangerous attacks - 65-14! The expected goals (xG) numbers were 1.23-0.45. Before this they defeated France at Parc Olympique Lyonnais in Lyon. Let’s not forget that France, with super stars like Kylian Mbappe, were very close to winning the World Cup! Germany recorded many more goal attempts (15-10), shots on goal (6-2), corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! Moreover, the expected goals (xG) numbers were 0.67-1.21. Germany were priced around 4.00 to win the game by the bookmakers. Greece lost to Georgia away from home in their last match as pretty solid favourites on the betting market. It was an EURO 2024 Qualification Promotion Final battle. I want to highlight that Georgia, a small country, must be one of the worst teams to qualify for an EURO tournament.. Georgia had only 40% ball possession but recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target. The xG numbers were 1.02-0.73. Before this Greece defeated a pretty lowly team, Kazakhstan, at home 5-0 but were priced around 1.35 to win during the 90 minutes of play.. It was an EURO 2024 Qualification Promotion semifinal clash. Yes, Greece deserved to win but the final score was very misleading.- Greece recorded 21 goal attempts but the visitors had their chances – recording 14 goal attempts. The xG numbers were 3.03-0.72. Kazakhstan even had more dangerous attacks. Despite the huge stakes the game was not even close to being sold out! Before this they played a 2-2 draw at home with France but France were the much better team on the pitch. Greece had only two shots on target – France managed seven. The xG numbers were 0.41-1.89.

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德国VS希腊

北京时间周六凌晨，德国队将在Mönchengladbach主场主场迎战希腊队。德国已经获得了参加下周开始的2024年欧洲杯的资格!玩这个游戏的主要目的是准备和测试不同的东西——尤其是在大赛之前的战略、球员和阵型。德国，这个拥有世界上最好的足球文化之一，以及世界第三好的国内联赛的国家，近年来一直令人失望。这是不可否认的，这在德国足球媒体上已经被公开讨论过了。在2022年世界杯上，德国甚至没能进入季后赛。然而，他们在小组赛中也运气不佳。由于新冠肺炎危机而于2021年举行的2020年欧洲杯，对德国来说也是令人失望的。这严重影响了他们在国际足联的排名!事实上，他们现在在这个排行榜上排名第16位。我会说7-8会是一个更准确的排名。另一方面，希腊排在第50位，这在我的专业观点中或多或少是正确的。希腊国家队已经衰落了10多年了，我还想提一下，在希腊，国家队并不是很受欢迎——更多的是俱乐部。不同(大)俱乐部的球迷之间可能会很有攻击性——有时甚至是身体上的，而不仅仅是口头上的。在许多主场比赛中，球迷的数量都相当少，这反映出人们对国家队缺乏兴趣。当然，这场比赛不是在希腊进行的，但我相信希腊人民有限的兴趣在一定程度上影响了球员。

糟糕的结果显然影响了德国队在2024年欧洲杯以及这场友谊赛中的赔率。毕竟，他们确实拥有相当数量的天才球员。他们还有像34岁的托尼·克罗斯这样的传奇人物，他刚刚随皇马赢得了欧冠冠军。他的领导能力和传球技术都是世界级的!托尼将在2024年欧洲杯后退役，这对我们球迷和赌客来说是一个遗憾。德国队的阵容比希腊队更有深度。这在这里是很重要的，因为即使是密集的阵容轮换也不会让人感到惊讶。的确，德国队必须避免受伤和(过度)疲劳。在友谊赛中，主队往往会因为球迷的支持而取得胜利，而球迷的压力往往是平衡冲突的决定性因素，这给了球员们虽小但仍然重要的“额外的鼓舞”。本周早些时候，德国队在主场与乌克兰的最后一场比赛中以0比0战平。乌克兰是一支比希腊强得多的球队，有资格参加2024年欧洲杯。德国队有57%的控球率，并且有更多的进球尝试(25-7)、射正、射偏(13-3)、角球(11-2)、总传球、完成传球、进攻和特别是危险进攻——98胜18负。然而，乌克兰打得很好，也有一些运气避免了失败。我相信德国人对没能赢球很恼火，他们从开球开始就会很有侵略性，即使他们领先一两个球也会继续努力得分。他们肯定想在2024年欧洲杯开始之前在德国制造一些“炒作”，同时也避免在有时非常“无情”的媒体上发表任何负面评论。我们将再次选择德国队1.5个进球的劣势，获胜的可能性为62%。在博彩市场上，大约1.80的赔率随处可见。

在和乌克兰打平之前，德国击败了两个大国——准确地说是法国和荷兰!让我们记住，在2022年世界杯上，荷兰队非常接近击败最终的冠军阿根廷队!然而，德国在主场以2比1击败了他们，并且记录了更多的进球次数(11比7)、射正、角球、总传球、完成传球、进攻，尤其是危险的进攻——65比14!预期目标(xG)值为1.23-0.45。在此之前，他们在里昂的里昂奥林匹克公园击败了法国队。我们不要忘记，拥有姆巴佩这样的超级巨星的法国队曾经非常接近世界杯冠军!德国队的进球次数(15胜10负)、射门次数(6胜2负)、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多!此外，预期目标(xG)数为0.67-1.21。博彩公司给德国队开出的胜率约为4英镑。在上一场比赛中，希腊队在客场输给了格鲁吉亚队，尽管他们是博彩市场上的大热门。这是2024年欧洲杯预选赛的最后一战。我想强调格鲁吉亚，一个小国，肯定是晋级欧洲杯的最差球队之一。乔治亚队只有40%的控球率，但得分更高

人工射门，射正和射偏。xG值为1.02 ~ 0.73。在此之前，希腊在主场以5比0击败了实力相当弱的球队哈萨克斯坦，但在90分钟的比赛中，他们的胜率在1.35左右。这是2024年欧洲杯预选赛半决赛的对决。是的，希腊应该获胜，但最后的比分很容易误导人。希腊队有21次射门，但客队有机会，他们有14次射门。xG值为3.03 ~ 0.72。哈萨克斯坦的进攻更加危险。尽管赌注巨大，但游戏还远未售罄!在此之前，他们在主场与法国队打了一场2比2的平局，但法国队在场上表现要好得多。希腊只有2次射正，而法国有7次射正。xG值为0.41 ~ 1.89。