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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A FINE match to bet on! $$$ 国际赛 比利时VS黑山

2024-06-05

比赛分析

解读理由

Belgium VS Montenegro


Belgium welcome Montenegro for this friendly game at King Baudouin Stadium in Brussels early Thursday morning. Belgium have qualified for the EURO 2024 that starts late next week already! Montenegro, on the other hand, were not even close to qualifying! The main reason behind playing this game is to prepare both physically and mentally and test different tactics/players/formations ahead of the very big and important tournament! Belgium has one of the best football cultures in Europe despite the Jupiler Pro League not being among the top-7 leagues in Europe.. Even so, Club Brugge even qualified for the UEFA Champions League Playoffs in 2023. No, the Belgian people are not among the loudest and most enthusiastic in Europe but the fans offer a big boost to the Belgian players! Yes, it is true that Belgium have declined from their best level around 2016-2019 but they still do have a gigantic advantage over the visitors in all areas of the game! They did pretty well in the EURO 2020. This tournament was played a year behind the schedule - in 2021 - because of the Covid-19 . They also made it to the World Cup in Qatar 2022 but were slightly disappointing. I am sure they were annoyed by failing their fans and are surely very motivated in the EURO 2024 – and even in this friendly game!

Odds of around 1.55 are widely available on the home win by a margin of at least two goals margin and we will eagerly take the -1.5 goals handicap with a 72% chance of winning. I would not be at all surprised if Belgium were to win very easily – 4-0, 5-1 or something like that. The -2.5 goals handicap is a lucrative option too! The hosts have a good number of world-class players in the squad. Furthermore, their squad is much deeper than that of Montenegro. This is an important factor here as even heavy squad rotation would not be a surprise.. The Belgians do have to avoid injuries and too much fatigue here. In friendlies the home team very often wins as the fans' support - and pressure - is quite often the deciding factor in an otherwise balanced game – not to mention in games where the home team is massively better in terms of pure class! The fans' presence gives the players the small but still important " extra boost". Belgium are currently in 3rd place in the FIFA ranking but this is too high though. Montenegro, on the other hand, are in 60th place but should not be among the top-70. Belgium have been in fine form recently, not losing any of their last 13 matches. They won the Qualification Group F with a fine 20 points to their account. They did not lose a single game in this group! Their score difference was amazingly good – 22:4 to be precise. Montenegro, on the other hand, ended up in 3rd place in Group G with only 11 points in their pocket. In their last game Belgium played a 2-2 draw at Wembley Stadium in London in a high-.quality friendly game! Belgium were priced around 5.50 by the bookies to win this game. England. The biggest favourites to win the EURO 2024 according to the bookies did generate more in expected goals (xG) in this game though. Montenegro, on the other hand, defeated North Macedonia 1-0 at a neutral location in their last match. The North Macedonians did, however, have 56% ball possession and also recorded more shots on goal, shots off goal, shots off target, total passes, completed passes, attacks (142-87) and dangerous attacks – 86-42 to be precise. Before this they beat a poor team, Belarus, 2-0 as clear favourites at Antalya Spor Salonu in Antalya but Belarus even had more shots on goal and also missed a penalty in the 74th minute (M. Ebong)!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

比利时VS黑山


比利时欢迎黑山参加周四凌晨在布鲁塞尔博杜安国王体育场举行的友谊赛。比利时已经获得了参加下周开始的2024年欧洲杯的资格!另一方面,黑山连出线的机会都没有!玩这个游戏的主要原因是身体和精神上的准备,并在非常重要的比赛之前测试不同的战术/球员/阵型!比利时拥有欧洲最好的足球文化之一,尽管木星职业联赛不在欧洲前7名联赛之列。即便如此,布鲁日俱乐部甚至获得了2023年欧洲冠军联赛季后赛的资格。不,比利时人不是欧洲最大声、最热情的人之一,但球迷们给比利时球员带来了巨大的鼓舞!是的,比利时确实从2016-2019年的最佳水平下降了,但他们在比赛的各个方面都比客队有巨大的优势!他们在2020年欧洲杯上表现不错。由于新冠肺炎疫情,本届锦标赛推迟了一年,于2021年举行。他们也参加了2022年卡塔尔世界杯,但表现有点令人失望。我敢肯定,他们为自己的球迷失望而烦恼,在2024年欧洲杯上,甚至在这场友谊赛上,他们肯定非常有动力!

主场获胜的赔率约为1.55,至少有两个进球的差距,我们将热切地接受-1.5个进球的障碍,有72%的获胜机会。如果比利时以4-0、5-1或类似的比分轻松取胜,我一点也不会感到惊讶。-2.5个进球障碍也是一个有利可图的选择!东道主队中有很多世界级的球员。此外,他们的阵容比黑山队更有深度。这是一个很重要的因素,因为即使是阵容轮换也不会让人感到意外。比利时人必须避免受伤和过度疲劳。在友谊赛中,主队经常获胜,因为球迷的支持和压力往往是一场平衡的比赛的决定性因素——更不用说在主队在纯粹的水平上要好得多的比赛了!球迷的存在给了球员们微小但仍然重要的“额外的激励”。比利时目前在国际足联排名第三,但这个排名太高了。另一方面,黑山排在第60位,但不应该进入前70名。比利时最近状态不错,最近13场比赛一场未输。他们以20分的成绩赢得了F组的预选赛。他们在这一组没有输过一场比赛!他们的比分差距大得惊人——准确地说是22:4。另一方面,黑山仅以11分的成绩排在G组第三。在上一场比赛中,比利时在伦敦温布利球场以2比2战平。高质量的友好游戏!博彩公司给比利时队开出了5.5英镑的价格来赢得这场比赛。英格兰。根据博彩公司的预测,2024年欧洲杯夺冠热门球队在本场比赛中的预期进球数(xG)确实更高。另一方面,黑山在上一场比赛中以1比0击败北马其顿。然而,北马其顿人的控球率为56%,并且记录了更多的正射、偏射、偏射、总传球、完成传球、攻击(142比87)和危险攻击(86比42)。在此之前,他们在安塔利亚的比赛中以2比0击败了实力不强的白俄罗斯队,但白俄罗斯队的射门次数更多,而且在第74分钟罚丢了一个点球(埃邦)!

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