5/6 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-06-04
比赛分析
解读理由
Defensa Y Justicia VS CA Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia welcome Independiente for this Argentinian Liga Professional round 4 at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa) early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the highest number of Argentinian football and the level of this league is pretty high by global standards. It is, on average, a low-scoring league with more draws than in most other leagues. Not many goals are expected here either but the bookies agree with me. Independiente often play quite passive/defensive football on the road. Defensa Y Justicia, usually avoid too big offensive risk even at home in front of their loud fans. The fans offer a big boost to the players! Indeed, Defensa Y Justicia have lost only one of their last seven home games. Taking this factor into account the hosts deserve to be solid favourites here. The +0.5 handicap option on them is the obvious smart bet here. The bookies have made yet another mistake here. Most of the biggest bookies see this game as more or less a coin toss – offering both teams odds of around 2.75 to take all three points. Let's not forget that according to a well-known and respected German website the hosts are the slightly bigger team here. Indeed, their players have an estimated market value of some 30 million euros. The Independiente squad is valued at around 26 million.
Independiente have grabbed two points so far and are in 21at place in the standings. The hosts have only one point to their account and occupy the 25th place in this league with a total of 28 points. In the Copa de la Liga Profesional that came to an end this spring, Defensa Y Justicia finished in 3rd place in Group B with a fine 26 points! That was even more than a much bigger team, Boca Juniors, managed to take. Independiente, on the other hand, ended up in 6th place in Group A with 23 points in their pocket. They failed to make it to the Playoffs. Neither team have won any of their last three games. The hosts suffered a very unlucky loss to Cesar Vallejo, a Peruvian team, at home in their last game. It was a Copa Sudamericana clash and the final score was 0-1. The hosts recorded many more goal attempts (15-6), shots off goal (14-5), attacks and dangerous attacks. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 2.03-0.45. I want to highlight that the visitors defended better than they usually do in this match. However, many of the hosts attacks were a bit too slow and predictable in this match. Independiente faced Velez Sarsfield at home in their last game. It was a balanced clash as a whole. The ball possession was 52-48% and the hosts recorded two more shots on target than the visitors.
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司法辩护VS独立辩护
北京时间周二凌晨,阿根廷甲级联赛第四轮的比赛将在诺贝托·蒂托·托马哈罗球场(总督胡里奥·a·科斯塔)举行,阿根廷正义队欢迎独立队参加。这是阿根廷足球人数最多的一次,以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平相当高。平均而言,这是一个得分较低的联赛,平局比其他大多数联赛都多。这里也不会有很多进球,但是博彩公司同意我的看法。独立球员在客场经常踢被动防守的足球。防守方面,即使是在主场面对球迷,他们通常也会避免太大的进攻风险。球迷们给了球员们很大的鼓舞!事实上,在过去的七场主场比赛中,正义防卫队只输了一场。考虑到这一点,东道主应该是最受欢迎的。在这里,+0.5的障碍选项显然是明智的选择。博彩公司又犯了一个错误。大多数最大的博彩公司把这场比赛或多或少地看作是一场掷硬币的比赛——给两队提供2.75左右的赔率来获得全部三分。我们不要忘记,根据一个著名的、受人尊敬的德国网站,东道主在这里的队伍略大一些。事实上,他们的球员的市场价值估计在3000万欧元左右。这支独立队的身价约为2600万欧元。
到目前为止,独立队已经获得了2分,在积分榜上排名第21位。东道主目前仅积1分,以28分的总分排名联赛第25位。在今年春天结束的西甲联赛中,Justicia以26分的好成绩排在B组第三!这比一支更大的球队博卡青年队还要多。另一方面,独立队以23分的成绩在A组排名第六。他们没能进入季后赛。这两支球队最近三场比赛都没有赢过一场。在上一场比赛中,东道主在主场不幸输给了秘鲁球队塞萨尔·巴列霍。这是一场南美杯的比赛,最终比分是0-1。东道主的进球次数(15胜6负)、射门次数(14胜5负)、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。预期目标(xG)值为2.03-0.45。我想强调客队在这场比赛中的防守比平时做得好。然而,在这场比赛中,东道主的许多进攻都有点太慢了,而且在预料之中。独立队在上一场比赛中主场面对萨斯菲尔德。总的来说,这是一场平衡的冲突。控球率为52比48%,主队的射正次数比客队多两次。
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