A FINE match to bet on! $$$
2024-06-03
比赛分析
解读理由
Derry City VS Waterford United
Derry City and Waterford lock horns in this Irish Premier Division round 10 clash at the Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium early Tuesday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is low by European standards, even worse than that of the Finnish Veikkausliiga for example! The most talented young Irish players usually move abroad – especially to the UK to build a career. However, football fans and us serious bettors with a long-term profit in mind have a very lucrative betting opportunity here! We can expect a match of much better than average level here. Derry City currently occupy the 2nd place in the standings and are, in terms of pure class, one of the best teams in this league. They have grabbed 32 points in this league so far. They have played 20 games, the visitors played only 18 matches so far. The hosts have netted the ball a strong 27 goals. This is just one more goal than Waterford have scored. Waterford's number of expected goals (xG) is lower though. The hosts have allowed 18 goals, the visitors, on the other hand, have conceded 20 goals. The visitors were promoted from Division 1 to this level for this season. There is no denying the fact that many of their players have played above their normal level so far this season. This should change – at least to some extent - as the season progresses. Waterford have a fine 28 points to their account but their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower. However, as they have played two games less than the hosts they could have 34 points in their pocket! It is rare to find a lucrative bet on a team that have been lucky in terms of xPTS but here we have such a situation.
In their last game Waterford defeated Bohemians, a dangerous team, at home, as marginal favourites on the betting market. The match was a very balanced one as a whole though. Before this Waterford beat Drogheda, a lowly team, 4-2 at home as pretty clear favourites on the betting market. Yes, they deserved to win but I did not like the way they defended as a whole. They looked, in all honesty, pretty unorganized in defence and in the midfield. It was not a fully one-sided game as a whole. Before this they faced Shelbourne on the road and were clearly the worse team on the pitch but were also clear underdogs. Shelbourne to the standings at the moment. The final score was only 1-0 but the hosts recorded 20 goal attempts. Waterford have lost only one of their last seven games – and none of the seven with a margin of more than one goal. The current odds of around 1.50-1.55 on the home win here are way too low and we will take the +1.5 goals handicap with a big chance of winning. Derry City have not been impressive at all, failing to win any of their last three games! In their most recent match they played a goalless draw on the road with the rock-bottom team, Dundalk, as very clear favourites – priced around 1.85 to win by the bookies. Derry recorded more goal attempts (15-13), but Dundalk had more shots on goal. Derry's offense was very lame in this match. Before this they were priced around 1.30 to defeat Sligo Rovers but it was a 2-2 draw. The hosts did record more shots on goal though - 6-3. Even so, it was not a good performance from Derry.
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德里城VS沃特福德联队
北京时间周二凌晨,德里城和沃特福德将在布兰迪韦尔球场展开爱尔兰超级联赛第10轮对决。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是很低的,甚至比芬兰的联赛还差!最有才华的年轻爱尔兰球员通常会移居国外——尤其是去英国建立自己的职业生涯。然而,足球迷和我们认真的投注者有一个长期盈利的头脑在这里有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们可以期待一场比平均水平更好的比赛。德里城目前在积分榜上排名第二,就纯粹的等级而言,他们是这个联赛中最好的球队之一。到目前为止,他们已经在联赛中拿到了32分。他们已经打了20场比赛,而客队到目前为止只打了18场比赛。东道主已经进了27个球。这只比沃特福德多进了一个球。然而,沃特福德的预期进球数(xG)较低。主队丢了18球,而客队丢了20球。客队本赛季从一级联赛提升到这个级别。不可否认的事实是,本赛季到目前为止,他们的许多球员都超出了他们的正常水平。随着赛季的进展,这种情况应该会有所改变——至少在某种程度上是这样。沃特福德的账上有28分,但他们的预期积分(xPTS)更低。然而,由于他们比东道主少打了两场比赛,他们可以得到34分!在一支在xPTS方面很幸运的球队身上找到一个有利可图的赌注是很少见的,但在这里我们遇到了这样的情况。
在他们的上一场比赛中,沃特福德在主场击败了波西米亚人,这是一支危险的球队,在博彩市场上被边缘化。这场比赛总体上是非常平衡的。在此之前,沃特福德在主场以4-2击败了实力较弱的德罗海达,成为博彩市场上的热门球队。是的,他们理应获胜,但我不喜欢他们整体防守的方式。老实说,他们的防守和中场都很混乱。总的来说,这不是一场完全一边倒的比赛。在此之前,他们在客场面对谢尔本,显然是球场上表现较差的球队,但也明显处于劣势。谢尔本目前排名上升。最终比分只有1比0,但东道主却有20次进球尝试。沃特福德在过去的七场比赛中只输了一场,而且七场比赛都没有超过一球的差距。目前主场获胜的赔率约为1.50-1.55,这太低了,我们将以+1.5的进球障碍取胜。德里城的表现一点也不令人印象深刻,他们最近三场比赛一场都没赢!在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场与排名垫底的邓多克队打了一场0比0的平局,邓多克队被认为是非常明显的热门球队,博彩公司开出的赔率在1.85左右。德里的射门次数更多(15-13次),但邓多克的射门次数更多。在这场比赛中,德里的进攻很蹩脚。在此之前,他们的定价在1.30左右,击败斯莱戈流浪者,但结果是2-2平局。主队的射门次数确实更多,比分是6比3。即便如此,德里的表现也不太好。
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