Brann VS Kristiansund BK

Brann and Kristiansund lock horns in this Norwegian Eliteserien round 18 battle at Brann Stadion in Bergen very early Thursday morning Beijing time. In reality the hosts have played 11 matches – and the visitors 10 matches so far. This is the first tier of Norwegian football. The level of this league is somewhat average by European standards. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of slightly better than average level by this league's standards. Most importantly, we have an interesting match to bet on. I expect pretty one-sided game. The hosts are expected to be aggressive right from the kickoff in front of their loud and demanding fans. The Kristiansund defence has been pretty shaky – they have conceded 17 goals. I expect the fast and skilled Brann's offensive players to break the visitors' defence already in the first half! Brann have scored an impressive 18 goals in this league so far. They have a clear edge over the visors in all areas of the game. Indeed, they have allowed only 11 goals. Kristiansund have netted the ball 13 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is lower. They were promoted from the 2nd-tier to this level for this season. They were not very impressive even in the OBOS-Ligaen last season. Indeed, they finished only in 4th place with 50 points to their account. They lack quality in all areas of the game to do well in Eliteserien.

Brann are the significantly bigger team in terms of players' estimated market value – according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, here. Their squad is valued at 18 million euros, which is a little too low in my expert opinion. The Brann players' total market value is estimated at only six million. This is a very low number for this level! Brann currently occupy the 3rd place in the standings. They have a fine 21 points to their account. They are just two points behind a much bigger team, Bodo, who have done pretty well in UEFA's cup competitions in recent years. Kristiansund are in 10th place with only 10 points to their account but I expect them to finish in the bottom-3 in this league with a total of 16 clubs. The teams last locked horns in round 9 earlier this month and it was a 2-2 draw in Kristiansund Stadion. However, Brann had 77% ball possession and also recorded many more attacks and dangerous attacks. Both teams had 12 goal attempts though. I want to emphasize that the hosts played well above their best level in this game – Brann, on the other hand, were far from their best. This result seems to affect the odds too much here. We will trust Brann and take the -1.5 goals handicap option with a big chance of winning. In their last match Brann lost to a big team, Molde, 1-2 at home. However, Brann had 65% ball possession and also recorded many more attacks and dangerous attacks - 63-33 to be precise. Kristiansund have not won any of their last seven games and must be low in confidence. In their last match they were awful – losing to Rosenborg 1-2 on the road. The visitors generated only a pathetic 0.14 in xG.

布朗VS克里斯蒂安桑德BK

北京时间周四凌晨，布兰恩和克里斯蒂安桑德在卑尔根的布兰恩体育场进行了挪威精英联赛第18轮的比赛。事实上，东道主已经打了11场比赛，客队也打了10场。这是挪威足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平在某种程度上属于中等水平。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平略好一点的比赛。最重要的是，我们有一场有趣的比赛可以下注。我认为这是一场一边倒的比赛。在他们喧闹而苛刻的球迷面前，东道主预计从开球开始就会表现得咄咄逼人。克里斯蒂安桑德的防守相当不稳定，他们丢了17个球。我希望布兰恩的进攻球员在上半场就能突破客队的防线!到目前为止，布兰恩已经在联赛中打进了令人印象深刻的18球。他们在游戏的所有领域都有明显的优势。事实上，他们只丢了11个球。克里斯蒂安桑德兰有13次进球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)较低。他们本赛季从二级球队提升到一级球队。即使在上个赛季的OBOS-Ligaen，他们也没有给人留下深刻的印象。事实上，他们仅以50分排名第四。他们在比赛的各个方面都缺乏实力，无法在精英联赛中表现出色。

根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，从球员的估计市场价值来看，拜仁要大得多。他们的阵容价值1800万欧元，这在我的专家看来有点太低了。据估计，Brann球员的总市值只有600万美元。这是这个级别的一个非常低的数字!布兰恩目前在积分榜上排名第三。他们被罚了21分。他们只落后比他们大得多的球队博多两分，博多近年来在欧足联杯赛上表现不错。克里斯蒂安桑德目前仅以10分的成绩排在第10位，但我预计他们将以16支球队的成绩排在联赛倒数第三位。两队上一次交锋是在本月早些时候的第9轮，双方在克里斯蒂安桑德球场以2比2战平。然而，布兰恩有77%的控球率，也有更多的进攻和危险进攻。两队都有12次射门机会。我想强调的是，东道主在这场比赛中发挥得远远超出了他们的最佳水平，而另一方面，布兰恩则远远没有达到他们的最佳水平。这个结果似乎对赔率影响太大了。我们将相信布兰恩，并采取-1.5个进球障碍的选择，这是一个很大的获胜机会。在上一场比赛中，布兰恩主场1-2输给了强队莫尔德。然而，布兰恩有65%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进攻和危险进攻——准确地说是63比33。克里斯蒂安桑德最近7场比赛一场都没赢，他们肯定信心不足。他们上一场比赛踢得很糟糕，客场1-2输给了罗森堡。访问者在xG中只生成了可怜的0.14。