A FINE match to bet on! $$$ 奥甲 哈特堡格VS维也纳
2024-05-29
比赛分析
解读理由
TSV Hartberg VS Austria Vienna
Hartberg welcome Austria Vienna for this Austrian Bundesliga Conference League Playoffs final 2nd leg at Stadion Hartberg very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. The stakes are, of course, high and I expect a relatively defensive, possibly even cautious match here. An early goal could, however, change this "script".. The probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored here is 50%.The level of this league is better than average by European standards. After the regular season the top-6 teams continued playing in the Champions Group – the bottom-6 teams, on the other hand, played in the Relegation Group. After the regular season Hartberg were in 5th place and Austria Vienna finished in 7th place. Only one point separated two two teams though. As a whole – with today's expected lineups I see the teams as equally good. The hosts are without Ehmann. As for the visitors El Sheiwi, Raguz and Wustinger are out. Most of the biggest bookies see the hosts as very slim favourites here but I disagree. Odds of around 2.55 are widely available on the betting market. Taking the substantial home advantage into account Hartberg have a 43.50% chance of winning during the 90 minutes of play. Austria Vienna were not very impressive even in the Relegation Group, finishing in 2nd place with 29 points. They won only one of the last five regular season games in this group! Now they have taken three wins in a row though. Hartberg did pretty well in the Championship Group, ending up in 5th place.
The two teams last locked horns four days ago and Austria Vienna won 2-1 after a relatively balanced clash. They were priced around 2.20 to win the game. Hartberg had 60% ball possession and recorded more attacks. Both teams had six shots on goal. The hosts did generate more in expected goals (xG) though. Before this Hartberg were extremely good, beating SK Rapid on the road as big underdogs – priced around 4.50 to win on the betting market. They generated 2.31 in xG – Rapid managed only 0.76. This was yet another example of the bookies undervaluing Hartberg! Before this they lost to a very big team, RB Salzburg, 1-5 at home as big underdogs. However, they had 53% ball possession and even recorded many more attacks and dangerous attacks! Both teams had 20 goal attempts, Yes, the visitors did deserve to win but the final score is very misleading! Before beating Hartberg Austria Vienna defeated Wolfsberger 2-1 on the road as clear favourites. It was a solid performance as a whole.
该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
TSV哈特伯格VS奥地利维也纳
北京时间周三凌晨,哈茨贝格球场迎来了奥地利维也纳队参加德甲联赛季后赛决赛第二回合的比赛。当然,赌注很高,我预计这是一场相对防御性的比赛,甚至可能是谨慎的比赛。然而,一个早期的目标可能会改变这个“脚本”。总进球数少于2.5个的概率是50%。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平高于平均水平。常规赛结束后,排名前6的球队继续参加冠军小组的比赛,而排名后6的球队则参加降级小组的比赛。常规赛结束后,哈特伯格队排名第五,奥地利维也纳队排名第七。两支球队只差一分。总的来说,在今天的预期阵容下,我认为两支球队同样出色。东道主没有埃曼。至于来访的El Sheiwi, Raguz和Wustinger都出局了。大多数最大的博彩公司都认为东道主在这里的胜算很小,但我不同意。2.55左右的赔率在博彩市场上随处可见。考虑到主场的巨大优势,哈特伯格在90分钟的比赛中有43.50%的获胜机会。奥地利维也纳队在保级组的表现也不尽如人意,以29分排名第二。他们在过去的五场常规赛中只赢了一场!现在他们已经取得了三连胜。哈特伯格在冠军小组中表现不错,最终获得了第五名。
两队上一次交锋是在四天前,奥地利维也纳队在相对平衡的情况下以2比1获胜。他们的价格约为2.20美元,以赢得比赛。哈特伯格控球率为60%,进攻次数也更多。两队都有6次射门。不过,东道主确实创造了更多的预期进球(xG)。在此之前,Hartberg的表现非常好,在客场击败了SK Rapid,在投注市场上的价格约为4.50。他们在xG中生成了2.31,而Rapid只生成了0.76。这是博彩公司低估哈特伯格的又一个例子!在此之前,他们在主场以1-5输给了一支非常强大的球队——萨尔茨堡RB。然而,他们有53%的控球率,甚至记录了更多的进攻和危险进攻!两队都有20次射门机会,是的,客队确实应该赢,但是最后的比分很容易误导人!在击败哈特贝格奥地利之前,维也纳客场2-1击败沃尔夫斯堡,成为夺冠热门。总的来说,这是一场不错的表演。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。
