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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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PROFIT from Sweden! $$$ 瑞超 马尔默VS埃夫斯堡

2024-05-29

比赛分析

解读理由

Malmo FF VS Elfsborg


Malmö and Elfsborg lock horns in this Swedish Allsvenskan round 17 battle at Eleda Stadion very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. In reality both teams have played 11 games so far. This is the first tier of Swedish football. The level of this league is pretty average by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of high level by this league's standards. I expect Malmö to dominate the events on the pitch in front of their loud and demanding fans who want the team to keep trying to score – not just securing a narrow lead.. Malmo will surely press Elfsborg's defence fiercely here! Most importantly, we have a very lucrative betting opportunity here!. Malmö are reigning champions of Sweden. They have been the most successful team in Sweden in the last 10 or so years, despite being disappointing – and quite unlucky in the 2022 season. At the moment they are clearly the best club in Sweden! Furthermore, Malmö are a significantly bigger team in terms of players' estimated market value – according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. Their squad is valued at pretty close to 40 million euros, which is more or less correct in my expert opinion. The Elfsborg players' total market value is estimated at some18 million. This is still clearly too high in my expert opinion though. Elfsborg did surprisingly well last season – taking 2nd place, but also had a lot luck on their side in several games. Indeed, they took many more points than they would have deserved in terms of expected points (xPTS).

In their last match Malmö crushed Kalmar 5-0 at home after a totally dominant performance! Hey had 67% ball possession and recorded hugely more goal attempts (17-2), shotss on goal (11-1), corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 81-13. 13 is very low number in professional football! Malmö's defence looked amazingly good in this game. Before this Malmo played a 2-2 draw away from home in their last game – despite being far from their best. level It was a balanced clash – the ball possession was almost 50-50% and both teams recorded four shots on goal. Let's remember that Häcken are a dangerous team and are in 5th place. Before this Malmö took two fine wins in a row. In round 9 Malmö beat GAIS (3rd place) at home 1-0, allowing the visitors only 0.33 in xG and one shot on goal. Malmö's number was eight. In round 8 Malmö crushed Göteborg 3-0 on the road after an amazingly solid defensive performance. The hosts failed to record a single shot on target. Elfsborg's level has dropped a lot this season and they are in 8th place in the standings. Yes, they beat Malmo at home earlier this month 3-1 but Malmö had 81% ball possession! Indeed, this lucky win probably affects the odds a lot here..



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马尔默VS埃尔夫斯堡


北京时间周三凌晨,Malmö和埃尔夫斯堡将在瑞典阿尔斯文斯卡队第17轮比赛中在埃莱达球场展开较量。事实上,两支球队到目前为止已经打了11场比赛。这是瑞典足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是相当平均的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的高水平比赛。我希望Malmö能够在他们的球迷面前占据主导地位,他们希望球队继续努力得分,而不仅仅是取得微弱的领先。马尔默肯定会猛烈地压迫埃尔夫斯堡的防线!最重要的是,我们在这里有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!Malmö是瑞典的卫冕冠军。他们是瑞典近十年来最成功的球队,尽管在2022赛季表现令人失望,而且相当不走运。现在他们显然是瑞典最好的俱乐部!此外,根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,就球员的估计市场价值而言,Malmö是一支大得多的球队。他们的阵容价值接近4000万欧元,这在我的专家看来或多或少是正确的。埃尔夫斯堡球员的总市值估计约为1800万美元。但从我的专业观点来看,这显然还是太高了。上赛季埃尔夫斯堡出人意料地取得了第二名,但在几场比赛中他们也有很多运气。事实上,他们拿到的分数比他们应得的期望分数(xPTS)要多得多。

在上一场比赛中,Malmö凭借绝对的优势在主场5-0击败了卡尔玛!他们有67%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数(17胜2负),射门次数(11胜1负),角球,进攻和危险进攻(81胜13负)。13在职业足球中是很低的数字!Malmö的防守在这场比赛中看起来出奇的好。在此之前,马尔默在他们的上一场比赛中以2比2战平了主场,尽管他们的状态远未达到最佳。这是一场平衡的比赛——控球率几乎是50%,两队都有4次射正。让我们记住Häcken是一支危险的球队,排名第五。在此之前Malmö取得了两连胜。在第9轮比赛中,Malmö在主场1-0击败了GAIS(第3名),客队在得分和射门方面只获得0.33分。Malmö的数字是8。在第8轮比赛中,Malmö凭借惊人的稳固防守表现,在客场3-0击败Göteborg。东道主没有一次射正。埃尔夫斯堡的水平本赛季下降了很多,他们在积分榜上排名第8。是的,他们本月早些时候在主场3-1击败马尔默,但Malmö有81%的控球率!事实上,这次幸运的中奖可能会对这里的赔率产生很大影响。

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