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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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If WBA is able to stop Leeds United? 西布罗姆vs利兹联

2020-12-29

比赛分析

解读理由

In my opinion Leeds have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Leeds today is still without central defenders duo Koch/Cooper, but they played without them in last couple of matches. WBA is without key defensive midfielder Livermore (suspension), key central defender Bartley (strain injury), key left defender Townsend (knee injury) and striker Kanu (wrist injury).

Both teams on the paper have the worst defense in league - both teams conceded 30 goals in 15 matches so far, but I see big difference in this department between both sides. Leeds kept clean sheet in 33% of matches, they conceded a lot of goals, but against top teams - 3 against Chelsea, 6 against United, 4 against Liverpool or 4 against Leicester. They were able to kept clean sheet against top5 teams in the table like Aston Villa or Everton. On the other hand WBA kept clean sheet 2 times, but against 17th Burnley and against the worst team in league from Sheffield. I don't see WBA defense as a stronger formation than Leeds defense.

Leeds is one class above WBA with the ball - they have third highest ball possession in Premier League 59.9%, WBA have only 39.8% (18th). Leeds have 424.1 accurate passes per game, WBA only 274.5. Leeds should control the middle zone today without any problems.

Leeds is a team who don't have any problems with creativity - they have 5.5 shots on target per game. In last 4 matches in a row their expected goals scored number didn't go below 1.73. In last round they grabbed vital home win against Burnley and team should be full of confidence.

WBA played 2 matches under new coach Allardyce and I'm not impressed - they lost 0:3 at home against Aston Villa and in last round luckily they avoided loss against Liverpool on away (1:1). Liverpool should score 3-4 goals in first half, WBA had only 18% ball possession in first half(!). WBA in last two matches had 6 shots. Leeds in last 2 matches had 28 shots. I see huge difference in offensive power quality between both teams. Leeds had at least 6 shots in 115 of 116 matches in all competitions with Marcelo Bielsa on the bench. Leeds striker Patrick Bamford have 10 goals so far, so only one goal less than whole WBA team.

For me Leeds is clear favorite here and they have all tools to make a win.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,利兹联队在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。

利兹今天仍然缺少中后卫科赫和库珀,但是他们在最近的几场比赛中没有他们。西布罗姆将失去关键防守中场利弗摩尔(禁赛),关键中后卫巴特利(拉伤),关键左后卫汤森(膝盖受伤)和前锋卡努(手腕受伤)。

两支球队的防守都是联赛中最差的——到目前为止,两支球队在15场比赛中都丢了30个球,但我看到了两支球队在防守方面的巨大差异。利兹在33%的比赛中保持无失球,他们丢了很多球,但在对阵顶级球队时——3场对切尔西,6场对曼联,4场对利物浦,4场对莱斯特。他们能够在面对阿斯顿维拉和埃弗顿等积分榜前五的球队时保持零失球。另一方面,西布罗姆有2次没有失球,但对手是第17位的伯恩利和来自谢菲尔德的联盟最差的球队。我不认为西布罗姆的防守阵型比利兹的防守更强。

利兹联队的控球率比西布罗姆高一级——他们拥有英超联赛第三高的控球率59.9%,西布罗姆只有39.8%(第18位)。利兹联队场均有44.1次准确传球,西布罗姆只有274.5次。今天利兹联队应该控制中场,不会有任何问题。

利兹是一支在创造力方面没有任何问题的球队——他们场均有5.5次射门命中目标。在过去的四场比赛中,他们的预期进球数没有低于1.73。上一轮他们在主场战胜了伯恩利,球队应该充满信心。

在新教练阿勒代斯的带领下,西布罗姆打了2场比赛,我并没有印象深刻——他们在主场0:3输给了阿斯顿维拉,上一轮幸运的是他们避免了客场1:1输给利物浦。利物浦应该在上半场打进3-4球,而WBA在上半场只有18%的控球率。西布罗姆在前两场比赛中有6次射门。利兹在前两场比赛中有28次射门。我看到了两支球队在进攻能力上的巨大差异。在贝尔萨坐在替补席上的情况下,利兹联队在所有比赛的116场比赛中有115场至少有6次射门。利兹联队前锋帕特里克·班福德目前已经进了10个球,所以只比整个西布罗姆球队少进了一个球。

在我看来,利兹是这里最受欢迎的球队,他们有所有的手段来赢得比赛。

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