In my opinion West Ham has a really good chance to avoid big loss in today's match. +2.5 AH on the away side looks like very good option to play.

In last 9 matches between both teams only time Manchester City won with more than two goals difference.

After run of very disappointing results, in last round West Ham finally bounced back on good track. They won at home against Luton. That was good performance, especially in the offense. West Ham scored 3 goals and had value of 3.17 expected goals scored from 24 shots. Offensive formation confidence for sure is on the very high level. They scored more than one goal in 3 of the last 4 matches.

West Ham have very dangerous and fast players like Kudus and Bowen. They loves to play from counter. In current season Hammers scored goals on the road against top teams like Liverpool, Arsenal or Aston Villa so why not today?

On the other hand, Manchester City defensive formation is without big stability or consistency. In current season Manchester City played 46 matches in Premier & Champions League and kept clean sheet only 13 times. It's very low number, no doubt about that. In last round they had clean sheet against Tottenham, but that was lucky - City had 1.66 expected goals conceded value.

I see at least one goal for West Ham and that should be enough to avoid big loss.

在我看来，西汉姆在今天的比赛中很有可能避免大败。客场+2.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

在两队最近的9场比赛中，只有一次曼城以两球以上的差距获胜。

在经历了一连串令人失望的结果后，西汉姆在上一轮终于回到了正轨。他们在主场赢了卢顿队。这是很好的表现，尤其是在进攻端。西汉姆共进3球，24次射门的预期进球值为3.17。进攻阵型的信心肯定是很高的。在最近的4场比赛中，他们有3场进球超过1球。

西汉姆联有像库德斯和鲍文这样非常危险和快速的球员。他们喜欢打后卫。本赛季铁锤帮在客场对阵利物浦、阿森纳和阿斯顿维拉等强队的比赛中都有进球，那么今天为什么不能呢?

另一方面，曼城的防守阵型缺乏稳定性和一致性。本赛季，曼城在英超和欧冠一共打了46场比赛，只有13场没有失球。这是一个非常低的数字，毫无疑问。在上一轮对阵热刺的比赛中，他们没有失球，但这是幸运的——曼城的预期失球值为1.66。

我认为西汉姆联至少能进一个球，这应该足以避免大的损失。