Kalmar VS IFK Norrkoping FK

Kalmar and Norrkoping lock horns in this Allsvenskan round battle at Guldfågeln Arena very early Friday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is pretty average by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of slightly lower than average level by this league's standards. Kalmar dis surprisingly well last season – taking 6th place, but also had some luck on their side in quite a few games. Indeed, they took many more points than they would have deserved in terms of expected points (xPTS). They are a pretty small team for this level in terms of overall financial resources, fan-base, historical success and players' estimated total market value. Indeed, according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, their squad is valued at some nine million euros. This is, in my expert opinion, a little too high. The Norrkoping squad, on the other hand, has an estimated market value of some 14 million which is moderately too low. Kalmar have lost six of the eight games in this league this season and have only six points to their account. Their offense has been okay – they have netted the ball 14 times. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is only 10.24.

Both teams' defences have been surprisingly leaky. Norrkoping have allowed even more goals than Kalmar but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is still a little smaller than the hosts'. Norrkoping have 10 points to their account but have, in all honesty, been erratic. On a good day they can be great but have also been very disappointing in some games. They showed their potential beating Elfsborg 4-2 at home. Elfsborg finished 2nd last season.. The bookies see the hosts as solid favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.30 to take all three points. Taking the visitors potential into account I must disagree. It is a 50/50 game for me so we will take Norrkoping +0.5 goals handicap option. The hosts have lost three of their last four games – the visitors have been better lately as a whole.

卡尔玛VS IFK Norrkoping FK

北京时间周五凌晨，卡尔玛和诺雪平在奥尔斯文斯坎的guldf<s:1>格伦竞技场展开了一轮激战。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是相当平均的。足球爱好者和我们这些极度渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场比联赛平均水平略低的比赛。卡尔马上赛季出人意料地表现出色——排名第六，但在相当多的比赛中他们也有一些运气。事实上，他们拿到的分数比他们应得的期望分数(xPTS)要多得多。从整体财务资源、粉丝基础、历史成就和球员估计的总市场价值来看，他们是一支相当小的团队。事实上，根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，他们的球队价值约为900万欧元。以我的专业意见，这有点太高了。另一方面，据估计，诺雪平队的市场价值约为1400万欧元，略低。卡尔玛在本赛季的联赛中输掉了8场比赛中的6场，他们的积分只有6分。他们的进攻还不错，他们已经有14次进球。然而，他们的预期目标数(xG)只有10.24。

两队的防守都出人意料地漏洞百出。诺雪平比卡尔玛丢了更多的球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)仍然比东道主少一些。诺雪平队目前有10分，但说实话，他们的表现不稳定。在好的时候，他们会很出色，但在一些比赛中也会让人失望。他们在主场4-2击败了埃尔夫斯堡，展现了他们的潜力。Elfsborg上赛季排名第二。博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的球队，他们开出了2.30的赔率来获得全部三分。考虑到潜在的访客，我必须不同意。对我来说，这是一场50/50的比赛，所以我们会选择Norrkoping +0.5个进球障碍选项。主队在最近四场比赛中输了三场，客队整体上表现更好。