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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A FINE match to bet on! $$$ 挪甲 奥勒松VS松达尔

2024-05-16

比赛分析

主队奥勒松LOGO

奥勒松

挪甲

已完赛

星期五2024-05-17 00:00

客队松达尔LOGO

松达尔

解读理由

Aalesund FK VS Sogndal


Sogndal host Aalesund for this OBOS-Ligaen round 8 battle at Color Line Stadion in Ålesund very early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest level of Norwegian football. The level of this league is quite low by European standards – for a second tier I mean, Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors can expect a match of rather mediocre level by the league's standards here. Aalesund are having a horrible season so far. Last season they played in the Eliteserien, the first tier, but were relegated after an abysmal season. Indeed, they took only 18 points and allowed over 70 goals. There were a lot of negative things happening around and within the club/team and it does not look good for them at the moment.. They are a pretty big club in terms of financial resources, the fan-base as well as the players' estimated total market value – according to a well-known and respected source, Transfermarkt.com. However, they have not played well as the team and their squad is definitely not worth the around 6.5 million euros listed on Transfermark.com. Yes, they have potential for improvement but the bookies seem to give this potential way too much potential.. Indeed, the biggest bookies who accept the largest bets from customers see Aalesund as favourites – offering them odds of around 2.50 to win here. I strongly disagree and see Sogndal as solid favourites. The Sogndal +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here. They have started the season very well and are in 3rd place! They have grabbed a fine 12 points. Their offense is not quite top-level, mainly due to not having the best offensive players in this league in terms of individual skill. They have still scored a decent 11 goals. Their offense has been even more solid than I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. Indeed, they have allowed only five goals. This is the second-lowest number in this league.

Aalesund currently occupy the 15th place in this league with a total of 16 teams. They have netted the ball only seven times and their defence has been poorly organized. Moreover, their midfielders have not been active enough in defending so far. I believe a significant raise in their level will take some time.. They have allowed 15 goals, only Sandnes have conceded more goals. Aalesund started the OBOS-Ligaen season with a win and a draw but have now lost five of their last six games. In their last match they lost to Valerenga at home 0-2. The visitors recorded many more goal attempts (10-5), shots on goal (8-2) and dangerous attacks. They also generated more in expected goals (xG). Before this they had some luck on their side – "stealing" a point on the road from Mjondalen. The hosts had 55% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (16-12), shots on goal (11-5) attacks and dangerous attacks. Sogndal have lost only two of their last 10 games. In their last game they crushed Sandnes at home 5-1 after an impressive offensive performance. Sogndal recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (13-8), attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they met Levanger away from home and no goals were scored. Sogndal were priced around 3.80 to win the game on the betting market but I still expected a little more from them offensively. The hosts recorded one more shot on goal – 3-2 to be precise.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

奥勒松FK VS索格达尔


北京时间周五凌晨,索格达尔主场迎战奥勒松,他们将在Ålesund的彩色线体育场进行第8轮比赛。这是挪威足球的第二高水平。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是相当低的——我的意思是,对于一个二线联赛来说,足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者可以期待一场按照联赛标准相当平庸的比赛。到目前为止,奥勒松经历了一个糟糕的赛季。上个赛季,他们参加了甲级联赛的精英队,但在一个糟糕的赛季后被降级。事实上,他们只拿了18分,丢了70多个球。有很多负面的事情发生在俱乐部和球队内部,这对他们来说并不好。根据知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,从财力、球迷基础和球员的估计总市值来看,他们是一家相当大的俱乐部。然而,他们并没有像球队一样发挥出色,他们的阵容绝对不值Transfermark.com上列出的650万欧元。是的,他们有进步的潜力,但是博彩公司似乎给了他们太多的潜力。事实上,那些接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司认为奥勒松是最受欢迎的——在这里给他们提供约2.50的赔率。我强烈反对,认为索格达尔是最受欢迎的。索格达尔+0.5个进球的障碍显然是明智的赌注。他们本赛季开局不错,排名第三!他们被罚了12分。他们的进攻不是顶级的,主要是因为在个人技术方面没有联盟中最好的进攻球员。他们仍然打进了11个不错的进球。他们的进攻比我在季前赛的深入分析中所预期的更加稳固。事实上,他们只丢了5个球。这是联盟第二低的数据。

阿尔勒松目前在该联赛中排名第15位,共有16支球队。他们只进了7次球,他们的防守组织得很差。此外,到目前为止,他们的中场在防守方面表现不够积极。我相信大幅提高他们的水平需要一些时间。他们丢了15个球,只有桑内斯丢了更多的球。奥勒松以1胜1平的成绩开始了对利加恩的新赛季,但在最近6场比赛中输掉了5场。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场0比2输给了瓦莱伦加。客队的进球次数(10胜5负)、射正次数(8胜2负)和危险进攻次数更多。他们也产生了更多的预期目标(xG)。在此之前,他们有一些运气——从Mjondalen的路上“偷”了一个点。东道主的控球率为55%,进球次数(16-12次)、射门次数(11-5次)和危险进攻次数都更多。索格达尔在最近10场比赛中只输了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们凭借令人印象深刻的进攻表现,在主场以5比1击败了桑德内斯队。索格达尔的进球次数、射正次数(13胜8负)、进攻和危险进攻都更多。在此之前,他们在客场遇到了莱万格,没有进球。在博彩市场上,索格达尔的价格在3.8左右,可以赢得比赛,但我仍然对他们的进攻有更高的期望。东道主又一次射门,准确地说是3比2。

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