5/6 last WON in this league! $$$
2024-05-15
比赛分析
解读理由
Brondby IF VS Nordsjaelland
Brondby and Nordsjaelland lock horns in this Danish Superliga Championship Group round 30 battle at Brøndby Stadion very early Thursday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is of a little better average by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of high level by this league's standards. The stakes are high for both teams here and we can expect an intense and probably a pretty physical battle here. I would not be surprised to see many cards given here.. Both teams still have a chance of winning the championship as FC Copenhagen, clearly the best team in Denmark in recent years, have been a little disappointing this season.. Copenhagen do, however, top the standings but Midtjylland have the same number of points to their account – 58 to be precise. If teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker. Nordsjaelland are in 3rd place with 56 points in their pocket. Brondby, too, have taken 56 points. However, Nordsjaelland are definitely the better team here in terms of pure class. They are also the bigger team in terms of players' estimated total market value – according to Transfermerkt.com – a well-known German website. Last season Nordsjaelland were clearly the better of the two teams, taking 2nd place. Brondby grabbed 11 points less - ending up in 5th place. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is "only" 51.12. The visitors' xPTS is 57.56. The winner of this league qualifies for the UEFA Champions League qualification for next season. The team that finishes in 2nd place earns a ticket for the UEFA Europa League qualification – the third-placed team gets a shot at the UEFA Europa Conference League qualification. Qualifying for the iconic Champions League – or even Europa League qualification - would be an excellent achievement for either team! Making it to the group stage - especially in the Champions league would bring a lot of money for the club as well as the players – as bonuses that they have surely negotiated with the club.. However, in my expert opinion Brondby's chances of making it to the top-3 are slim.. Let's take a closer look..
Brondby are definitely the weakest of the top-4 teams. They have netted the ball 55 times and have conceded 32 goals. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is "only" 50.03. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 37.34. The visitors have more firepower and a more solid defence. Their defenders make far fewer silly mistakes than those of Brondby. The hosts will be missing Alves, Klaiber and Tshiembe. Kvistgaarden and Vanlerberghe are questionable. As for the visitors, Marxen is out – Ingvartsen is questionable. With the expected lineups the visitors deserve to be quite clear favourites here. Odds of around 2.45-2.50 are widely available on the betting market. We will take the Nordsjaelland +0.5 goals handicap option with confidence! Brondby have been in rather poor form this month. Furthermore, they have won only one of their last six matches which has seemingly hurt their confidence.. They have now lost two games in a row. In their last game they were defeated by FC Copenhagen. The visitors from the capital city of Denmark took a 3-1 win after generating 3.54 in xG. Brondby managed only 1.16. Before this they lost to Midtjylland 2-3 on the road. The hosts were the better team on the pitch – recording many more goal attempts (21-11), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks (10-3), attacks and dangerous attacks. The xG numbers were 2.87-1.47.
Nordsjaelland have been in fine form in April and May and I have, of course, reacted to this in terms of power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. Indeed, they have won six of their last eight games – losing just once. In the Superliga they have been extremely impressive lately - not lost after the 26th of February! They have looked confident on the pitch and have no obvious weaknesses as a team. I trust their excellent coach a lot – in terms of both tactical skills and as a leader. According to my sources they also have a great team spirit at the moment.. In their last match they crushed Silkeborg 4-1 at home. They were the much better team, recording many more goal attempts, shots on goal (9-2), corner kicks (9-1), attacks and dangerous attacks. Nordsjaelland defended very well as a team – Silkeborg generated only 0.23 in xG. Before this they defeated Aarhus on the road, generating much more in xG than the hosts – 1.87-0.67 to be precise. In round 27 they faced Brondby at home and would have deserved all three points! Indeed, they recorded many more goal attempts (20-11), shots on goal, shots off target (10-3), attacks and dangerous attacks (69-34). It was, in the end, a 1-1 draw but Nordsjaelland generated much more than Brondby in xG.
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布朗比VS北荷兰
北京时间周四凌晨,在丹麦超级联赛小组赛第30轮的比赛中,布隆德比和诺兹雅兰将在布隆德比球场展开较量。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平略高于平均水平。足球爱好者和我们这些极度渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的高水平比赛。两支球队在这里的赌注都很高,我们可以期待一场激烈的身体对抗。看到这里有很多卡片,我不会感到惊讶。两支球队都有机会赢得冠军,哥本哈根足球俱乐部,显然是近年来丹麦最好的球队,本赛季有点令人失望。然而,哥本哈根在积分榜上排名第一,但米特日兰的积分与哥本哈根相同——准确地说是58分。如果两队在赛季结束时得分相等,则得分差将成为决胜局。北荷兰以56分排名第三。布隆比也得了56分。然而,就纯粹的等级而言,北荷兰队绝对是这里更好的球队。根据德国知名网站Transfermerkt.com的数据,从球员的估计总市值来看,他们也是最大的球队。上个赛季,北荷兰队显然是两支球队中更好的一支,获得了第二名。布隆德比少拿了11分,最终排在第五名。他们的期望值(xPTS)“仅”为51.12。访问者的xPTS为57.56。这个联赛的冠军有资格参加下赛季的欧洲冠军联赛资格。获得第二名的球队将获得欧洲联赛资格的入场券,而获得第三名的球队将有机会获得欧洲联赛资格。有资格参加标志性的欧冠,甚至是欧联杯,对任何一支球队来说都将是一项卓越的成就!进入小组赛——尤其是冠军杯——会给俱乐部和球员带来一大笔钱——作为奖金,他们肯定已经和俱乐部谈妥了。然而,在我的专家看来,布隆德比进入前三名的机会很小。让我们仔细看看……
布隆德比绝对是前四名球队中最弱的。他们打进55球,丢了32球。然而,他们的预期目标数量(xG)“只有”50.03。他们的预期进球(xGA)是37.34。客队有更多的火力和更坚固的防守。他们的后卫犯的愚蠢错误比布隆德比少得多。东道主将失去阿尔维斯、克莱伯和齐姆贝。Kvistgaarden和Vanlerberghe是有问题的。至于来访的人,马克思已经出局了——英瓦尔特森值得怀疑。在这样的阵容下,客队无疑是最受欢迎的球队。在博彩市场上,赔率约为2.45-2.50。我们将充满信心地接受北荷兰+0.5个进球障碍的选择!布朗比这个月的状态很差。此外,他们最近六场比赛只赢了一场,这似乎损害了他们的信心。他们已经连输两场了。在上一场比赛中,他们被哥本哈根队击败。这支来自丹麦首都的客队在比赛中获得3.54分,最终以3-1获胜。布隆德比只拿到了1.16分。在此之前,他们客场2-3输给了米特日兰。东道主在球场上表现得更好——他们的进球次数(21-11)、射正、射偏、角球(10-3)、进攻和危险进攻都更多。xG值为2.87 ~ 1.47。
北雅兰在4月和5月的状态很好,当然,我对这支球队的实力评级做出了反应,这反映了球队的纯粹水平。事实上,他们在最近的八场比赛中赢了六场,只输了一场。在最近的超级联赛中,他们的表现令人印象深刻——在2月26日之后没有输球!他们在球场上看起来很自信,作为一个团队没有明显的弱点。我非常信任他们优秀的教练——无论是战术技巧还是作为领导者。根据我的消息来源,他们现在也有很强的团队精神。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场以4比1大胜锡尔克堡队。他们表现得更好,有更多的进球尝试、射正(9胜2负)、角球(9胜1负)、进攻和危险进攻。作为一支球队,北荷兰的防守非常出色——希尔克堡在xG的防守命中率只有0.23。在此之前,他们在客场击败了奥胡斯队,比分比东道主高得多——准确地说是1.87比0.67。在第27轮,他们在主场面对布隆德比,他们应该得到全部三分!事实上,他们会录音
D更多的射门次数(20胜11负),射正,射偏(10胜3负),进攻和危险进攻(69胜34负)。最后,双方1-1战平,但北荷兰在上个赛季比布隆德比创造了更多的机会。作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。
